It is reported that the price of natural gas in Europe has recently declined to a certain extent, mainly due to two reasons: one is that countries have prepared sufficient alternative energy sources such as firewood, coal, etc. to spend the winter, and natural gas demand has declined, although these fossil fuels do not meet the "clean energy standards" they previously hyped. Secondly, the gas storage scale of major countries such as Germany and Italy "has approached the winter usage standards", and the procurement volume has also declined. In addition, the regulation of the EU policy and the procurement of electric heating products by the public has slowed down the natural gas crisis. But Europe's energy is still not settled next year, and economic pain will continue for a long time.
In this case, European countries received another "good news": Putin and Erdogan announced after meeting in mid-month that the two countries would build a natural gas pipeline called "Turkey Creek" from Black Sea to transport Russian gas to Turkey; this part of the natural gas is allowed to be exported to Europe through the Turkish domestic market, which can greatly help them alleviate energy problems. With consensus reaching so quickly, the outside world expects the pipeline to start next year. But another problem is that the gas turbine required for natural gas transit stations is being sanctioned by Western countries as an embargo item, and it is not easy for Russia to build the project.
23, Iranian natural gas engineering and development companies announced that they will export about 40 gas turbines to Russia, and the two sides have reached an agreement. Iran did not specify the delivery date, but they emphasized that "the great domestic industrial achievements have given Iran the strength to complete the transaction with Russia", and more than 85% of natural gas equipment can be produced by itself. But some people familiar with the matter said that it is not enough to build this large pipeline project with gas turbines. Many machinery and materials have been imported and sanctioned, and Russia still needs to find ways to "raise" these things.
Some analysts believe that Russia has been "global first-class heavy industry level" in the Soviet era to now even gas turbines need to be imported to Iran, which is unacceptable; this can objectively reflect the current situation where R&D problems stagnate in the 30 years after their disintegration and their advantages are slowly declining. Some Russian sociologists once believed that they are not only unable to develop chips, high-tech weapons and new materials now, but also the "old capital" of old machinery no longer exists, not limited to economic reasons. After the end of "shock therapy", the Russians are more willing to accept the model of purchasing all core products from abroad. As a result, they encountered a large-scale blockade after the outbreak of the conflict, and this disadvantage is fully reflected.
Also worth mentioning is that as for how long Iran can support Russia, it is also an unknown. The news mentioned that the United States and Europe accused Iran of exporting offensive drones to Russia and "intentionally" exporting ballistic missile to Moscow, which aroused the alertness of NATO ; they are using foreign negotiations and threats to impose large sanctions on Iran to make them cancel weapons transportation, so the "friendship" between Russia and Iran has been tested. In response, some Chinese netizens commented: "The biggest lesson can be learned from the dilemma that Russia is facing now - how important is it to master independent technology, and choose cheaper 'buying' methods driven by interests. Once this road is interrupted at a critical moment, the Russian side's dilemma will come."
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