The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been fighting for more than half a year. EU seems to finally remember that it is an economic alliance and should put business in the first place. As for the political alliance in ideological , the importance can be fully put in the future. Considering that China has always been the EU's largest trading partner, the EU may begin to make up its mind to continue to deepen China-EU relations. The US government did not expect that its series of operations would push Europe into China's arms.
EU Foreign Policy and Security Representative Borelli's statement made a few days ago is somewhat meaningful. He specifically pointed out that economic relations and security relations should be viewed separately. In the past, the EU's economic relations were closest to China and Russia, while the EU relied on the NATO military alliance led by the United States.
[The EU now thinks of re-examining the relationship between the United States and Europe]
However, in recent times, the relationship between China and Russia and the EU has been alienated. Needless to say, Russia has been developing to this day, and the EU's series of sanctions have basically completely broken down Russia-European relations; as for China-Europe economic and trade relations as "ballast stone", there have been constant noises in recent times, mainly because some political groups in the EU with ulterior motives deliberately ignore the basic fact that China and Europe are important economic and trade partners, deliberately exaggerate "The EU depends on China" and advocate "China-Europe Dealership".
Can China and Europe be decoupled? I believe the EU should have a clear idea. The collapse of Russia-Europe relations has made the impact on the EU's economic ecology obvious. If you get into China again at this time, you can imagine the EU's next situation. If it were in the past, the EU might have wishfully thought that the United States would "reach out a helping hand" when Europe needs help. But many signs show that the EU is no longer naive.
[EU Foreign Policy and Security Representative Borrelli]
Borrelli pointed out that even the historical alliance of the United States and Europe, the prospects are no longer stable in terms of the current geographic pattern. Entrusting security to the United States is not enough to keep the EU alive. Borrelli also stressed that the EU's future foreign policy focus will focus on regaining autonomy in security. The implication is to gradually get rid of the constraints of the United States.
Europe is unwilling to continue betting on the United States for many reasons. Borrelli hinted that even if the United States now supports Europe, this situation may change with the 2024 presidential election.
In fact, Borrell's words are still a little more implicit. In fact, there is no need to wait until the 2024 presidential election. If the Democrats lose in next month's midterm elections, the Republican Party regain control of the Congress, and perhaps the US-EU relations will begin to go up and down from then on. It is obvious that due to the United States' own political system, Europe is not very optimistic about the prospects of US-Europe relations. After all, the relationship between the United States and Europe was relatively cold in the office of Trump, and Biden only got closer after taking office.
[US-European relations are largely affected by changes in the US political trend]
The political reason is second, because there is still some time before the US midterm elections. In fact, economic disputes are the place where the EU has the greatest opinion on the United States, and it is also the main reason why the EU began to put China-EU economic and trade relations first.
This has to be said that there is not very pleasant energy transaction between the United States and Europe. As we all know, before the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia was the largest supplier of natural gas in Europe, accounting for 55% of the share. However, after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia's gas supply to Europe has been greatly reduced, and the EU has had to import more expensive liquefied natural gas from the United States and other countries. In the process, the U.S. transaction share increased sharply, from 28% to 45%.
[Legified natural gas is popular in Europe, and the United States takes the opportunity to speak out]
But this transaction is hard to say a win-win situation. The United States made a lot of money, but Europe suffered a lot of losses. The reason is that the United States knows that Europe is short of breath, but regardless of the ally, it gives a "friendly price", but instead takes advantage of the situation and raises the price. If Europe wants to buy American liquefied natural gas, it will cost four times the price.
This caused dissatisfaction between Germany and France, and fiercely criticized the United States for its approach. German Economy Minister Robert Habeck accused the asking price of US liquefied natural gas exporters "too expensive". He did not say the specific amount, but only said it was described as "astronomical numbers".
Habek also mentioned that when the price of crude oil rose, the United States asked the EU for help. The EU released its national reserves without saying a word to curb oil prices. Now that Europe is in trouble, the United States should repay you and help curb natural gas prices.
[The United States' approach to robbing has made Europe realize the importance of China-EU economic and trade relations]
French Finance Minister Bruno Lemayer Chapter 2 is more blunt: The conflict between Russia and Ukraine must never lead to the United States' "economic domination" over Europe, and it cannot allow the United States to dominate the global energy market. A more balanced relationship must be established between the United States and Europe.
As the main economies of the EU, Germany and France can also reflect the current trend of the EU to a certain extent. This may explain why Borrelli, who has always been extremely pro-American in ideological terms, also tends to "re-examine the relationship between the United States and Europe." If Europe alienates the United States politically, it will be closer to China economically. In China-EU economic and trade relations, there will naturally be fewer interference factors.