Since the Roy case was overturned by the Federal Supreme Court, abortion rights have been delegated to the state level, increasing the polarization of the voter group. The Democrats have seen this and tried to disintegrate some Republican voters through abortion rights. The banner of "abortion rights" has been positioned by the Democrats in the midterm elections.
Even in Texas, the Democratic Party and related groups that support abortion rights have invested about $25 million in advertising, trying to describe the Republican Party as an extreme group that "injects abortion doctors into prison and forces those women who are raped to have an abortion." Force Republican candidates to stand up and make statements, and no matter how Republicans express their opinions, they will put the candidates in a disadvantageous situation.
If Republican candidates express support for abortion or limited abortion rights, it is tantamount to being self-destructive from the basic base of voters. In the runoff election on November 8, even if these voters do not stand up to vote, in swing state , it will be a serious harm to Republican candidates.
If Republican candidates express opposition to the right of abortion, then those female voters in rural areas will inevitably lose, and in the swing states with a slight difference will have very serious consequences. That is, no matter how the Republican candidate responds, he will put himself in a disadvantageous situation.
The correct way for Republicans is to not engage in too much in abortion rights with the Democrats, and make appropriate statements based on the election environment of the state, and to pull the campaign issue into inflation , immigration, etc., replace the defensive with offensives, and disintegrate the opponent's basic market so that they can make a breakthrough in the midterm elections. However, Herschel Walker, the Republican Senate candidate in , Georgia , did not handle this aspect well.
Georgia's danger: In the midterm elections for the Senate seats this year, in addition to Arizona , Colorado and New Hampshire , it is generally believed that Nevada and Georgia's Democratic senator seats are most likely to be flipped by the Republican Party. In order to protect Raphael Warnock's seat in Georgia, the Democrats frequently amplify the "stains" of Republican Senate candidate Walker in order to protect Raphael Warnock's seat in Georgia.
Walker was previously revealed to have paid for his ex-girlfriend's abortion fee (with a check signed by Walker) and had a son. Recently, the Democratic Party has added fuel to the fire, and it was revealed that Walker had asked his ex-girlfriend to have a second abortion and used his son's conversation to portray Walker as a very irresponsible father. Walker said he did not pay the fee and he did not know the woman's situation.
Walker has been opposed to abortion before. This time, "inconsistent words and deeds" were portrayed by the Democratic Party as a negative black character such as lying, having a weak position and an incompetent father. In Georgia, a state with a black population of 32.3% (2020), there are a large number of black voters and communities, and the Democrats have the intention to kill Walker.
Walker now needs to get out of the vortex set by the Democratic Party as soon as possible and adjust its campaign strategy. In the swing state of Georgia, the polarization is particularly serious, and the overall environment this year is still beneficial to the Republican Party. The so-called "stains" of individuals may not have an excessive negative impact on candidates like in the past.
And the news that is good for Walker is that Trump has finally started to act. His MAGA Political Action Committee invested $750,000 in advertising costs to stand up for Walker, criticizing the Democratic Party’s immigration and tax policies, and directing Walker’s fire point to Democratic candidate Warnock.
Wisconsin federal senator dispute: Democratic Senate candidate Mandela Barnes put out an advertisement denied his position of not funding the police system and abolishing the Immigration Bureau. However, he was randomly slapped in the face and was revealed to have previously stated on social media that he needed to have a T-shirt with the "Abolishing Immigration Bureau".This is good news for Republican Senate candidate Ron Johnson, who is running for reelection, which is widely seen as one of the most likely seats to be flipped by the Democrats this year.
Pennsylvania federal senator dispute: John Fetterman (D) will go to a rally in rural areas, who previously claimed that he would have a particular attraction to the working class and was a test for the lieutenant governor. Since Fetterman recovered from a stroke, he has rarely participated in face-to-face publicity, but instead puts the campaign more on social media and TV advertising. At the same time, the debate between Fetterman and Mehmet OZ is scheduled for October 25, which is relatively late, revealing the Democrat Fetterman's lack of confidence in his performance on the spot.
Federal Supreme Court: released the latest "family portrait", see the picture above, Ketanji Brown Jackson in the upper right corner replaced Stephen Breyer. Although the liberal Jackson provided by Biden entered the Supreme Court, it still cannot change the conservative pattern of the Supreme Court. After the Republican Party overturned the right to abortion at the federal level, it can be foreseeable that major changes will be made in LGBT and voting rights in the future. In the short term, the Democratic Party will be quite passive in the judicial level, and in the long term, there will be some hope. Jackson was born in 1970 and is still young at the age of 52. The Democratic Party can still expect her to exert her heat for decades.
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