Today's United States and Iran are particularly inconsistent, and they are competing against each other and never stop.
Countless people say that this is because Iran used an Islamic revolution that shocked the world in 1979, which caused the United States to suffer too much.
In short: That revolution made the United States' investment in Iran for decades was wasted, and the Pahlavi dynasty that the United States supported became a thing of the past, making the United States lose Iran, one of the arms of the Middle East. ( Saudi and Iran)
This is a loss of interests, allies and geopolitical losses.
triple loss.
The subsequent Iran hostage crisis , 52 US diplomats and citizens were taken hostage by Iran, which made the relationship between the two countries a dead end.
Although the hostage crisis was finally resolved peacefully, the two sides formed a grudge and became today's situation.
(Islamic Revolution)
So is this cognition really accurate?
Will a major Middle East power bet on the way to death in such a straightforward way?
If you really look at the problem like this, it will be a misunderstanding of history.
To understand this issue, we must start from the three periods of the Pahlavi dynasty in Iran, the Cold War, and the post-Cold War.
(Cold War)
First look at the current situation of the Pahlavi dynasty in Iran.
The establishment of the Pahlavi dynasty in Iran is behind the shadow of Britain and the United States, which also gives this dynasty a pro-British and American gene.
After World War II , due to the continuous deepening of the Cold War, Britain and the United States became one, and Iran became a pro-American country as expected.
What does this pro-American mean? The answer is that the Soviet Union is hostile, and it also means that it is also that it is disgusting from the neighboring Arab countries that are pro-Soviet and anti-Israel (Israel).
This made Iran usher in double pressure from the Soviet Union and the Arab world after taking sides.
This pressure was unaffordable by Iran at that time.
So how to deal with it? Should we stick to traditions and keep Iran from changing, or should we turn to the embrace of the United States, gain Western friendship and strengthen our own strength by fully Westernizing ?
This is a dilemma and a must-have choice.
is completely westernized, and if everything goes well, it means releasing domestic productivity. Use self-reliance to complete Iran's industrialization process and strengthen the country's strength.
Only when the country is strong can it have more autonomy and self-protection capabilities. After such plans, Iran, one of the best powers in the Middle East, started a road to a strong country with its vast oil resources and a large population in its territory.
King Pahlavi hopes to use the method of releasing productivity and developing industries to strengthen Iran and offset pressure from the Soviet Union. At the same time, it can also affect the brother countries around Saudi Arabia and Iraq .
Be the leader of the Middle East world and let your brothers follow you. This is the root cause of Pahlavi's "white revolution".
(King Pahlavi)
So what exactly is the content of this white revolution?
is actually very good from the starting point!
Agriculture: Reallocate domestic land by land reform, curb the land area of large landlords, strengthen the national land ownership rate, and allow more farmers to own land.
’s ultimate goal is to complete agricultural modernization under the leadership of the country, realize mechanized agricultural production, and allow more farmers to be liberated from the land and participate in industrial production.
After the land reform, the Pahlavi government also reformed natural resources and industry.
stipulates that domestic forests, pastures, natural shrubs, etc. become the property of the whole people and belong to the government. The ownership of the owner is purchased at a fair price, realizing the nationalization of water resources and improving the efficiency of resource development and utilization.
(Iranian farmland)
Industry: In order to ease the contradictions of the landlord class in the mainland, the Pahlavi Dynasty also used the change of the shareholding system of state-owned enterprises to lead the landlords who lost land in land reform but harvested funds, guided the industrial production, and transformed with the shareholding system of , realizing the exchange of industrial and agricultural capital, allowing Iran to complete the upgrading of its industrial structure.
In order to take care of the interests of workers, the Iranian government even stipulates that the dividend ratio of industrial enterprises must be paid 20% of the profit each year to benefit the working class.
even sold the company's shares to workers and established "Worker Welfare Bank" and "Worker Credit Cooperative" to take care of the interests of the working class. The series of measures of
are very effective and have also brought prosperity to the Iranian economy.
There are also political, cultural and educational fields that come with economic changes, one by one, and it can be said that they are all beneficial to the country and the people, reasonable and attractive!
If everything can be done as I wish, then King Pahlavi's dream of "the fifth most powerful country in the world" will also have a little shadow. (Although it is exaggerated, it is not a dream to really implement it steadily. Being the No. 1 power in the Middle East is not a dream)
(Iran in the secular era)
But this dream is still broken in the end, and the root cause is in three aspects!
First of all: Such a huge national transformation requires massive funds to support it, and Iran cannot handle this massive investment.
Secondly: Whether it is an allies of the United States, Britain, or the Soviet Union, they will not be happy about the rise of a Middle East power, which also makes the security situation in Iran very delicate and nervous.
Last: The Shiite priest class in China was very dissatisfied with the secular reform of King Pahlavi, which was equivalent to shaking the foundation of the church class, and priests had a natural mass base among the Iranian people. The superposition of these three factors in
may not be a problem when the economy is prosperous and developing, but if the international and domestic environmental changes cause economic depression, it will cause serious consequences.
So, after the economic depression, a countermeasure led by the church class came, and an anti-change alliance emerged.
All of this also made Iran usher in an era of turmoil after changes, which in turn triggered an era of change.
When the king became a thing of the past, Iran had a new government.
(Khomeini)
This is the current situation in Iran, so what impact does the Cold War have on the hostility between the United States and Iran?
Let’s go back to the Cold War era and take a look!
The era after World War II was the era of the Cold War. The characteristic of this era is that the United States and the Soviet Union compete for control around the world. Therefore, this influence has been influenced by the United States and the Soviet Union.
Let’s first look at the influence of the Soviet Union.
After the Soviet Union became a superpower, Central Asia became the territory of the Soviet Union. After having this springboard, it also gave the Soviet Union the possibility of actively entering the Middle East.
This puts Iran under pressure from the Soviet Union.
If Iran chooses to pro-Soviet, this may not be a pressure, but historical inertia makes him pro-Soviet, so Iran can only face the pressure from the Soviet Union.
Similarly, with the help of the Soviet Union and the continuous incitement of war by Israel, the Arab world, where the surging Arab movement is very hostile to the United States.
This made Arab countries such as Egypt , Syria and other Arab countries have close ties with the Soviet Union.
With the support of the Soviet Union, Egypt's Nasser took back Suez Canal , and even thought about building a unified Arab world. All of this went against the interests of the United States!
(Nasser)
This makes Iran's pro-American stance particularly embarrassing in the Arab world!
Say you are a brother, you are deaf.
say you are the enemy, you are the Arab brother again.
This is the price of pro-Americanism in the Pahlavi Dynasty. It is not popular and has encountered double pressure to cause a security dilemma.
is in a security dilemma, and Iran certainly needs to strengthen its military preparations.
As a result, military expenditure remained high and became a burden on the country and also affected the White Revolution.
So the big event in 1979 came.
After that, Iran chose to pro-Soviet in order to ease the relationship between the surrounding areas and prevent it from being embarrassed.
It was inevitable that it would be possible to re-called brothers with Arab countries. Moreover, the Soviet Union was particularly strong at that time and did not show any fatigue, which made Iran think that its team was correct.
(Brezhnev era)
After the Soviet Union, we are looking at the influence of the United States.
If the Soviet Union's influence was more political, the United States' influence was more economic.
The globalization that emerged after World War II has greatly increased the demand for oil, and has also allowed Middle Eastern countries to get rid of poverty and become rich, living a good life, and making the Middle East strategic position increasingly important.
is rich and has a lot of trouble. The biggest trouble with
is " does not suffer from nullity but does not suffer from unevenness ".
This round of oil wealth has benefited the Middle Eastern countries.
But the one who benefits the most is not Iran under the threat of the Soviet Union, but the Gulf countries represented by Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Kuwait .
They and Iran believe in Islam, but their schools are different! The different schools of
have caused many conflicts between the two sides.
The subsequent oil crisis , and the US breaking contract in 1971, decoupling the US dollar from gold, and the collapse of the Bretton Woods system , causing the world economy to fall into great turmoil.
(The birth of the petrodollar)
After the turmoil, in order to maintain financial hegemony, the petrodollar came to the forefront and became a weapon for Americans.
This change has caused the United States to start working hard in the Middle East based on its economic interests and dollar hegemony.
One Iran is not enough to support the petrodollar.
, Saudi Arabia and Iraq, which are inconsistent with Iran, have become allies of the United States, which makes Iran’s status awkward.
So, the Middle East split into two forces.
A bunch of the United States is the United States' petrodollar alliance, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq.
Another is pro-Soviet Egypt and Syria. The emergence of the two major factions,
, was the aftermath of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union, and was also a common routine in the United States at that time.
(Middle East)
But all of this deeply hurts Iran's interests.
As the continuation of the Persian Empire , Persian and Arab countries have been fighting for thousands of years in order to compete for dominance in the Arab world, and the contradictions between the two sides are irreconcilable.
When Iran was a US ally alone, it was okay to say that Saudi Arabia also became an US ally, which made Iran feel uncomfortable!
With the support of the United States, wouldn’t it be a big trouble if Saudi Arabia fights against Iran?
The strength of the Gulf countries has soared, which has made Iran extremely worried and has also caused Iran to fall into a debate between pro-Soviet or pro-US, and then two factions have emerged.
These are all signs of the final breakdown of the US-Iran alliance. You have supported my thousand-year-old mortal enemy.
The Pahlavi dynasty in Iran under pressure was thinking that it is the most important thing to be strong, so he created the "white revolution" and finally caused trouble, and the dust returned to the soil!
Then, a new Iran chose to fall into the arms of the Soviet Union without hesitation and find new world power to support it, which became inevitable.
(Khomeini)
This is the influence of the Cold War, so what happened in the post-Cold War era?
is still related to Iran's basic contradiction and the foundation of the country!
The Cold War came to an end with the collapse of the Soviet Union with the Gulf War, and also made the Middle East, which once competed with the United States and the Soviet Union, the Middle East where the United States and the United States galloped.
Looking at Iraq, who had fought with him for eight years, being punished by the United States, it was fake to say that Iran was not afraid.
But no matter how scared Iran is, Iran can only continue.
This is related to the three elements that determine the national actions: interests, security, and honor.
And these three elements are another reverse logic on the Iran issue, has the first honor, security is second, and interests are third.
Now Iran was born from the Islamic change in 1979!
So what is the slogan for this change? Execute God's will to overthrow King Pahlavi.
This is destined to be unable to soften Iran. If it really softens, isn’t it equivalent to disobeying God? This is the honorary level and the first reason why Iran has always been anti-American, the spirit of founding the country. The second reason for
is historical reasons!
Iran is a country with a long history and glorious past. In this way, the people of the country will have a sense of national pride!
This kind of remembrance of the history of the empire makes them particularly proud. If they are proud, they will think that bowing their heads cannot be done. If Iran really wants to be softer with public opinion base like
, it is estimated that there will be problems.
(Persian Empire)
Honor, we are looking at security.
honor prevents Iran from surrendering, but not surrendering means that security is threatened.
This is why Iran has always sought to develop nuclear weapon . In Iran's view, having nuclear weapons is equivalent to having self-protection capabilities.
Historical glory makes them unable to soften them. Reality needs to make them have nuclear weapons. After considerations based on history or reality, Iran, whether moderates, conservatives or hardliners, supports the development of nuclear weapons .
This certainly makes the United States even more dissatisfied, because the emergence of nuclear weapons is equivalent to an imbalance in the Middle East and affecting the interests of the United States.
Similarly, possessing nuclear weapons will also help achieve Iran's interest demands.
(Iranian scenery)
So what exactly does Iran’s interest demand? This needs to be considered from three dimensions: small, medium and large.
Small aspects: is to relieve international and domestic pressure, develop economic and people's livelihood, but without nuclear weapons, others will not listen to you seriously.
aspect in : Iran needs to gain dominance in the Arab world and gain an advantage in competition with Saudi Arabia and Iraq. This is determined by the Iranian historical attributes, and it is also destined by the differences in race and religious factions.
Major aspects: Iran also has a dream of a big country, and this dream is closely related to honor, security, and interests.
However, these three aspects are small, medium and large, and they all have structural contradictions with the United States.
small aspects, the United States does not want a strong country in the Middle East that can fight against big powers, which will lead to a core of rights in the Middle East, so the United States does not want Iran to develop. The same is true for the aspects in
.
Iran, which has gained dominance in the Arab world, really wants to lead my brother to rebel. What should I do with its own petrodollar? Looking at the general direction of
, it is a conflict of civilizations.
The three major civilizations in the Eurasian continent were once difficult to deal with. If there is another rise in the central region, it will be a headache to think about it.
is based on this, when looking at the relationship between the United States and Iran, it is actually based on actual interests.
As for the so-called religious issues and political issues, the United States is not Vatican . It has no religious constraints and is not a morally flawless person. It is like the Saudi king.
that's not a problem!
is a matter or a reality needs...
