2016 Trump and Hillary competed for the US president. At that time, the whole world believed that Hillary would win the election, and her team's campaign received congratulations before the vote. The final result was beyond everyone's expectations, and Trump defeated Hillary to win the election.
2020 Biden comes out to challenge Trump, and most people are optimistic about Trump at this time. As the president of the United States, Trump is still relatively qualified and has a high support rate at the grassroots level. But in the end, Biden won the election, which was mixed with various conspiracy theories, but it has become a certain fact and no one can change it.
Trump is not idle after losing the presidential throne, but plans to participate in the 2024 presidential election. He has made a lot of preparations for this and often makes speeches in public. Trump's call for president is currently very high, and the people of the country also hope that he will become president.
is actually unlikely, almost zero.
In 2016, Trump was still a recruit within the party, and people had no hope for him to become a leader within the party. Trump squirted about other candidates during the party's election, which actually achieved miraculous results, which made him gain enough attention. Later, Trump became the leader of the Republican Party and also a presidential candidate.
Trump continued his previous style in the presidential campaign and counterattacked and became president. His success has certain necessity, but more accidental.
On the 15th of last month, Trump announced his participation in the 2024 presidential election. However, the challenge he faces is not only the Democratic candidates, but also the pressure from within the party. Trump's opposition within the Republican Party is growing louder and louder. Before the 2024 election year, multiple candidates will come out to compete with Trump.
Trump's campaign for president is a friendly route, and he has indeed sought a lot of benefits for the people. From the perspective of the United States, Trump’s approach is fine, but the United States is an elite-dominated country after all, and the interests of the elite must be put first. Trump has not fully considered the interests of the party, and it is unknown whether he can become the leader of the party this time.
From the perspective of national game, Trump is not a "qualified" president. During Trump's reign, he devoted himself to the economy and put the United States first in everything. He never launched a war to the outside world. Instead, he further reduced the United States' military operations overseas.
The Russian-Ukraine war has not ended yet, and the future may be a long-term war. Biden has all-round support for Ukraine. Once Trump comes to power, it is likely to shrink its support for Ukraine. The United States’ support for Ukraine is related to the confrontation of the camp, and the United States is the leader in the confrontation of the camp. If the United States leaves this camp, the situation in the Russian-Ukraine war may be reversed, at least eased. This is something that Europeans and Americans don’t want to see.
camp confrontation has always been the theme of this world, before it was the Soviet Union and the United States. After the collapse of the Soviet Union , China and the United States became the main line of confrontation. Although the confrontation is not conducive to both sides' economic development, it is not our will. We have always advocated cooperation rather than confrontation between us and the United States. However, one mountain cannot withstand two tigers. Even if China does not want to fight, the United States has always followed the jungle law in the international community and must find a strong opponent as an imaginary enemy.
From the perspective of camp confrontation, China, Russia and Europe and the United States obviously belong to two camps. Previously, Trump and Putin and were fighting fiercely, and were once suspected of "interference with Russia". There is no fight against Trump at home. Compared to Biden's full encirclement and suppression, everyone accepts Trump's becoming president. Will a person so popular in China and Russia become president?
There are still two years left in the presidential election, and there are many variables in between. Even if Trump can break out of the party, the probability of becoming president is almost zero.
