What is the deep meaning behind Russia and Ukraine’s intensive statement this time?
According to Russian Satellite Network, TASS and other Russian media reports: "Commander-in-Chief of Special Military Operations" Surovikin said for the first time that the overall situation of the conflict is "tensive", especially the situation in Khlsong is unsettling, and the Russian army may be forced to make "hard decisions."
At the same time, he also stated in the statement that "The enemy is a criminal regime that pushes Ukrainian citizens to death. We and the Ukrainians are the same nation. We both hope that Ukraine can become a country independent of the West and NATO and become a friendly country to Russia."
This statement happened to be completely contrary to the words of the Ukrainian Defense Minister yesterday.
According to the Russian Issue, Ukrainian Defense Minister Leznikov recently stated: "Ukraine will definitely not become a neutral country, and the lobbyists of the Kremlin should not expect this."
In fact, behind the intensive statements of senior officials from Russia and Ukraine, we should recall a sentence that Medvedev said. He believed that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine would have two outcomes. One is that Russia won seven states including Donetsk , Lugansk , Khelson, Zaporoze , Kharkov , Odessa , Nikolayev , and completed the tasks of "demilitarization" and "denaziization". The other is to establish a pro-Russian regime in Kiev to end the conflict.
So judging from the current statements between the two sides, the Russian side obviously wants to realize the latter.
The reason behind it is also very simple. The Russian-Ukrainian conflict consumes too much for the Russian army. Even if it mobilizes another 300,000 troops, it is unable to eat the vast land of Kharkov and the two southern coastal prefectures.
After Surovijin took office, his greater change lies in the war model rather than the power of confrontation between the two sides, so his tense status on the front line cannot be changed in the short term.
In the latest statement, Surovijin said that he might be forced to make "hard decision" . I think this decision is not to retreat, but to give everyone a bottom line.
Surovikin is famous and established as "fan fighting element" . Since taking office, it is not difficult to see that his fighting style is even more fierce.
As for the counterattack in the Khlsun region, it is heartbreaking.
In view of Surovijin's origin in the commander-in-chief of the Air Force, the measures adopted by the Russian army are very likely to be to launch strategic bombing on the Ukrainian positions, and even some towns used by the Ukrainian army to defend and transit.
In many attacks, the drones used by the Russian army are posing a heavy burden to the Ukrainian army. On the one hand, it is difficult to prevent. Batch drones will always cause certain casualties, and on the other hand, it will cause a serious burden to the air defense system .
At present, the Russian army obviously intends to reconnaise and consume the Ukrainian army's air defense power in the form of drones, so as to make some space for the Russian Aerospace Army's fighter and bomber .
Zelensky said that since October 10, 30% of Ukraine's power plants have been destroyed, and although the blows suffered by military commands and logistics warehouses are not obvious, they are believed to be not too light.
plus the Russian army is currently making frequent changes in Belarus , and it is very likely to send troops to the western Ukraine region to disrupt the overall logistics deployment.
Therefore, Ukraine's long-lasting combat capabilities need to be re-evaluated. Once NATO military aid and various humanitarian rescue materials are difficult to reach the front line, the Ukrainian army will find it difficult to resist the Russian army's overwhelming artillery advantage.
If the frontline war makes breakthrough progress, Moscow's next move may be to force Ukraine to change its government team.
The current Ukrainian regime is very complex, mainly composed of three factions.
On the one hand, Zelensky was independent of the United States and Russia. He originally wanted to continue to cultivate his own team, but the failure of intelligence work one after another forced him to revoke the important position of his confidant.
The second aspect is that the West is constantly infiltrating into the Ukrainian government, which has played a very negative impact role in the early stages of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and during negotiations.
The third aspect is the Ukrainian army. This faction has no position, but it is very disgusted with the radical tactical methods of Kiev and NATO.
There are not many choices in front of Putin . One is to establish a pro-Russian military government, and the other is to support the pseudo regime in the form of "referendum elections".
Zelensky and the West will not surrender, and it will inevitably lead to the end of Ukraine's division.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, most of its heritage was inherited by Russia, and Ukraine followed closely behind. The two countries finally came to a situation where brothers were franchise. I am afraid that no one would want to see it.
Of course, it is too early to say these things now. It is not Moscow or Kiev, Berlin, Paris, , Washington , but the Ukrainian people.
As long as they think that there is no need for the Zelensky government and the Ukrainian army to continue the war, the public opinion basis of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be collapsed and the conflict will not be far from the end.
On the contrary, if they want to firmly drive the Russian army out of their homes, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will still be far away. Even if the Russian army achieved absolute victory, the Ukrainians would not let their rule rest assured.
