Putin 's chess is getting worse and worse. With the support of a group of flattering people, the head of state could no longer see the chessboard. Since the Ukrainian armed forces launched a counterattack in early September, the Russian army has lost nearly 20,000 square kilometers of occupied areas.
Putin's recent mistake is:
1, and some mobilization orders were issued. This caused Russians to flee their homes one after another. In a few days, more than 200,000 people fled. The departure air tickets increased by hundreds or thousands of times in the short term. There was panic in the country, and anti-war demonstrations and marches were increasing, and many places of the recruitment center were destroyed; Russian Ministry of Defense did not relax but blocked, and arranged conscription offices on the border, arresting many "new recruits" who met the conditions.
After the slow recruitment of troops, Russia did not have enough training venues and strategic supplies, and had to send these people to the front line of Donetsk for simple training, which is completely different from the Ukrainian army receiving complete military training in the UK and EU countries; winter brought more difficulties to the Russian army: there was not enough winter clothes, and every winter in history was the time when the Russian army suffered the most casualties, whether it was Stalingrad is still the Soviet-Finn War, and the proportion of soldiers frozen to death ranks first among all countries; as more and more ammunition databases were accurately positioned by Ukrainian Himas , the Russian army began to find some inventory from decades ago, the weapons were old and even had launch security issues. After seeking help from Iran and other countries, they barely got some military drones, and did not play much role in the battlefield. At the same time, the forced recruitment of new recruits will only bring more unstable factors to the front line. They will spread bad news to the front line army and take the lead in surrendering to Ukraine.
2, unilaterally annexed four regions of Ukraine: Khlsson (Cherson), Zaporoze (Saporischschja), Donetsk (Donezk) and Luhansk (Luhansk). This sets an extremely bad example internationally, which is a counter-effect for the weak countries in the world. They are afraid of powerful neighbors and are worried that the next one will be their turn if they don’t say anything at this moment. After all, only a dozen of more than 190 countries are powerful, which has caused Russia to be unprecedentedly isolated in United Nations . Many of Russia’s closest allies have not admitted the annexation, including Belarus ;
At the same time, the annexation area is more than 100,000 square kilometers, which looks great, which has aroused the support of some right-wing populists in the country, and actually caused greater military trouble: the army that is not rich has to be distributed on a wider front line, exacerbating Russia from offense to defense, and passive defense is waiting for the Ukrainian armed forces to break through the position. This can be seen from the recent continuous shrinking of Russia's front line and concentrating on the two places (Luhansk and Donetsk) to complete the "minimum goal of special military operations".
3, the continuous " nuclear threat " triggered a strong rebound. Moscow's early nuclear threat made Western countries quite afraid and even made preparations early. Britain, France, the United States and other countries have begun to inspect their silos , and the Ukrainian army also closely guards the "red line". But this nuclear threat was weakened with the counter-offensive momentum of the Ukrainians .
Russia's latest "red line" is that the four Ukrainian areas that announced their annexation also belong to Russian territory and are protected by Russia's " nuclear protection ". This completely angered the Ukrainian leadership. After the US President Biden released the "apocalypse" theory - Russia's use of nuclear weapon is tantamount to triggering the doomsday, and the United States will not sit idly by - Ukrainians have received nuclear protection from Western countries as promised, and even if Russia is driven to the shelves, it is not daring to act rashly. In the eyes of the outside world, Russia has once again magnified and completely lost its credit. It is better not to declare these areas as Russian territory.
4, frequently replace the commander of the "Military Special Operations". As multiple fronts were broken by Ukraine, Putin frequently changed combat commanders, and two commanders from the five major military regions were replaced.The unstable military leadership and morale caused greater defeat. The newly appointed front-line commander General Sergej Surowikin started his "three fires"...
