Ukrainian will be the second Yutoslavia .
The referendum of four Ukraine is underway, and the polls before the referendum show that the four states will be very likely to join the Russian Federation.
How should we deal with the newly joined Russian Federation?
Medvedev wrote on Telegram: "A referendum will be held, and the two republics of Donbas and other regions will be accepted into Russia. The Russian armed forces will greatly strengthen the protection of all joining regions. Russia announced that for protection, it is possible to use not only mobilize forces, but also use any Russian weapons, including strategic nuclear weapons based on the new principles."
In other words, the escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been defined as a war between Russia and NATO organizations. The condition for the start of a hot war is that supporters behind Ukraine attack Russian territory and national security.
Russia uses nuclear weapon only two conditions:
1. Hostile forces attack the national security of the Russian Federation, and Russia cannot respond with conventional weapons.
2. Russia is threatened or attacked by hostile forces with nuclear weapons.
No wonder EU High Commissioner for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Borrelli asked China to prevent nuclear proliferation in dialogue with Foreign Minister Wang Yi. Borrelli refers to Russia's announcement of clear use of nuclear weapons in part of its mobilization.
Russia-Ukraine conflict will enter a long-term situation. The Russian Federation has escalated the scale and depth of the war against Ukraine, from maintaining Lugantsk and Donetsk independence to maintaining the national security of these two places as part of the Russian Federation after the referendum.
Ukraine loses these four places, superimposed by Crimea, will become an inland country, the Kiev government will rely on Warsaw forces to confront Moscow, and Polish dreams of acquiring Ukraine. The United States needs Poland as a strategic buffer zone for the confrontation between the Western world and Russia, which means that a "Munich conspiracy" in the new era is brewing.
The former Soviet Union's political puzzle for strategic security Ukraine is now facing the "sheep" by Western countries and Russia. Who should Kiev enter?
China has given four clear suggestions on resolving the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Each suggestion is based on a neutral standpoint, and China, which is good at presumption, must have supporting plans. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kureba did not agree to the proposal of the Chinese Foreign Minister, and Zelensky maintained a fighting attitude. He said that if the Russians do not want to die, they will stand up to resist the Russian partial mobilization order.
The United States expressed firm opposition to the referendum in the Russian-controlled area. Biden cited international law and norms to criticize Russia legally and morally. He said the United States opposed any force-based expansion of territory.
Overall, when the referendum of the four Ukraine places is in progress, whether to join the Russian Federation is the only multiple-choice question, or a judgment question. The Kiev government has issued a decree that all people participating in the referendum to support joining the Russian Federation will be confiscated. The Ukrainian army continues to drop bombs into vegetable markets and residential areas outside the city of Donetsk. The people in the Russian-speaking areas in the city will fight to the end more unswervingly, and under the siege, everything will be renewed.
