The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has lasted for half a year, and now the world's attention to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has dropped significantly. To be honest, the game between Russia and Europe will have a profound impact on the global geopolitical pattern,

Vice Chairman of the Russian Federation Security Council Medvedev even directly warned that "Europe will have no Russian natural gas available."

Russia announced a gas cut to Europe and did not provide a deadline for resuming gas supply. This shows that Russia's dissatisfaction and anger with the EU have reached the extreme.

Russia uses the death of its breath as a bargaining chip, which also shows that Russia has issued an ultimatum to Europe. Obviously, at this moment, Russia is probably ready to completely withdraw Russian natural gas from the European market.

Why Russia is doing this? I’m afraid there are three purposes. First, it is to protest against Europe’s collusion with the United States in imposing price limits on Russian natural gas.

The second is to put pressure on Europe to keep its distance from Ukraine and not to continue to provide weapons to Ukraine.

The third is to use the end of life as a bargaining chip to let Europe lift sanctions on Russia and resume the use of Nord Stream 2 .

Obviously, the game between Russia and Europe has now entered a very intense stage. Now Europe is purchasing American liquefied natural gas at high prices to make up for the natural gas gap.

For Russia, Russia’s purpose is clear. Since Europe continues to plan to get rid of its dependence on Russian energy and insists on aiding Ukraine. Then Russia might as well play its energy card as soon as possible and let Europe respond to Russia's demands.

In fact, without Russian energy, everyone knows that Europe will be hit hard. However, it depends on whether Europe can afford to get rid of Russian energy.

And this price is obviously paid by European companies and European people. Some experts say that it will take 2-3 years at the earliest for Europe to get rid of energy dependence on Russia. If Europe completely gets rid of Russian energy, Russia will lose its biggest bargaining chip in balancing Europe.

Now that Russia has played this card, it depends on whether the people and companies in Europe can bear it. If Europe cannot bear it, it can be expected that companies in Europe will suspend production and close down, and people will take to the streets to protest.

If Europe and Russia confront each other to the end, Europe will undoubtedly experience an economic recession in the short term, which will obviously affect countries around the world that use Europe as their export market.

Obviously, the fierce game between Russia and Europe is a lose-lose situation. Now it depends on whether Europe is willing to respond to Russia's demands and reach a compromise with Russia.

The second thing: The US media warned that the United States’ containment of China will trigger a global depression!

The article believes that the Biden administration has turned friction with China into another unwarranted cold war, bringing the world economy to the brink of an abyss. Given global interdependence, any destabilization of China threatens to undermine Western living standards for decades while turning the most vulnerable economies into failed states.

The article stated that 2/3 of China's exports go to North America, Western Europe , multiple major economies in East Asia, Southeast Asia, and Russia and Australia. The actual impact of China's exports is much greater. If the United States insists on containing China, it will have a devastating impact on the global supply chain.

Obviously, the publication of such an article by the US media is undoubtedly an early warning to the top brass of the US government. The impact of the new coronavirus epidemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the world has been obvious enough.

But compared with these two factors, China, as the engine of the global economy, undoubtedly has a greater influence on the world.

From a global economic perspective, China's commodity supply provides a solid guarantee for the low-cost lives of people in the United States and Europe.

During the COVID-19 epidemic, without China's masks, protective clothing, and medical equipment, the United States and Europe would undoubtedly be in a worse situation when facing the COVID-19 epidemic.

Obviously, global trade has deeply tied China to the world. If China catches a cold, the world will sneeze because of it.

The US media is undoubtedly aware of China’s important role in the global supply chain. In fact, China does not export revolution; it does not export hunger and poverty; and it does not trouble other countries. China has done enough for the world.

What reason does the United States have to suppress China? If the United States suppresses China, there is no doubt that China will respond. The United States has always formed cliques in the international community. How can the game between China and the United States not affect other countries?

If the relationship between the two countries is not good, it will definitely affect economic and trade relations, and the impact of economic and trade must be mutual. Therefore, if China and the United States fight back and forth, the result will definitely be a lose-lose situation.

If the United States continues to increase its pressure on China, as the US media has said, it is entirely possible to trigger a global depression. Obviously, the United States cannot be the winner.

The third thing: India’s economy is overtaking, a period of opportunity for India’s economic development!

US media said that according to the GDP data of various countries released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), India, a former British colony, successfully surpassed the United Kingdom in the last three months of 2021 and became the fifth largest economy in the world. And India's lead has widened further in the first three months of 2022.

Relevant data shows that the Indian economy is likely to achieve growth of more than 7% in 2022, and global capital's favor for India continues to increase.

Obviously, in the context of the expected global economic downturn, the Indian economy's growth rate of 7% is enviable.

For us, our country’s economy has been the locomotive of world development since the reform and opening up. In the past year or two, our economy has faced certain challenges, which has made us even more aware of the importance of economic development.

What is economic growth? From a micro perspective, people have jobs to do, their incomes are increasing, and their lives are getting better and better. When we see the substantial growth of the Indian economy, we certainly hope that we can overcome the negative impact of the epidemic on the economy as soon as possible.

From a global perspective, this is indeed a period of opportunity for India's development. On the one hand, the United States is increasing investment in India to some extent in order to win over India. On the other hand, as the cost of our manufacturing industry increases, our low-end manufacturing industry is shifting.

On the international stage, India is obviously torn between the United States and Russia. Obviously, India is a country with potential. As for whether India can realize its potential, of course, it will take time to prove.

To a certain extent, we are under pressure, and for us, what we have to do now is to solve our own internal problems, complete industrial transformation and upgrading, and become an advanced technological innovation country.

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