According to a report released by Observer website on July 2, former US Secretary of State Kissinger once again expressed his views on the Russia-Ukraine conflict in an interview with the British media. Kissinger pointed out that there will be three possible outcomes in the development of this geopolitical conflict. The first is that Russia maintains the status quo on the Ukrainian battlefield, which means Ukraine currently has 20% of its territory, and Donbass. Most areas of will be under the actual control of Russia.
And these areas happen to concentrate the main industrial and agricultural forces of Ukraine. In Kissinger’s view, if Russia stays in Ukraine, it will undoubtedly be a huge victory for Moscow, even if they suffered setbacks in the early stages of the war. , but the role of NATO is not as decisive as the outside world imagines. Secondly, Ukraine drove Russia out of its own territory with the help of the West and regained Crimea . However, this ending will also have a new impact, that is, the West will inevitably have a direct conflict with Russia. .
When talking about the third ending, Kissinger said that this was exactly the view he put forward during the Davos Forum, which would allow the front to return to the position before the war. Although the two sides still maintain a confrontation, Ukraine can have the opportunity to regain Arm yourself while maintaining ties with NATO, but the remaining issues will need to be resolved through negotiations, even if it takes more time. Kissinger emphasized that if the West is determined to help Ukraine completely drive away Russian troops, NATO will have to think about a question: How long do they plan to spend to achieve this goal?
During the interview, Kissinger was also asked how he viewed the current Sino-US relations. Kissinger believed that in fact, since the beginning of the Trump administration, the United States has always focused on the principle of "how to build alliances around China." When formulating China policy, we are very obsessed with getting China to accept the norms of behavior and values set by the West. Kissinger emphasized that this approach is wrong because China is not Europe. For thousands of years, China has been a country with absolute advantages in a fixed area. Unlike Europe, which has to pay attention to the impact of neighboring countries on itself, small countries, there are essential differences.
Kissinger reiterated that formulating policies towards China requires not only long-term policies, but also sufficient strength. More importantly, China must feel that it is treated equally. From Kissinger's latest statement, it can be seen that this American strategist who traveled east and west during the Cold War has not lost his sensitivity to geopolitics even in his twilight years. It is a pity that Kissinger has already left the inner circle of and in Washington. Almost all outstanding American politicians of the same period have passed away. The group of people who are now active in the American political arena have long been addicted to vicious partisanship. China is unable to extricate itself and is simply unable to formulate a strategy that is in line with the long-term and fundamental interests of the United States. This has to be said to be the tragedy of the American strategic community.
In fact, Kissinger adheres to a unified principle when looking at the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Sino-US relations, that is, respecting the opponents of the United States and not just trying to assimilate or even destroy each other. Because both Russia and China have a long history and splendid culture. When facing China and Russia with the experience of dealing with small countries, the results will inevitably deviate from expectations.
The most important thing is that the so-called "values diplomacy" currently pursued by the West neither reflects the so-called " universal values " nor can it resolve differences through diplomatic means. This specious concept is creating more and more contradictions or even conflicts. If the United States cannot realize where its current predicament comes from, it will definitely make the same mistakes again in the future until its hegemony is completely destroyed.
