According to China Taiwan website , in the recent "nine-in-one" election in Taiwan, the Democratic Progressive Party suffered an unprecedented defeat, which means that the Democratic Progressive Party is gradually losing the support of the people on the island. Subsequently, Tsai Ing-wen, as the chairman of the Democratic Progressive Party, announced her resignation, which meant that the island was about to usher in a political reshuffle, but Tsai Ing-wen did not sit still and wait for death.
In this "nine-in-one election", the Democratic Progressive Party suffered a disastrous defeat. Someone must stand up and take responsibility. Then Tsai Ing-wen herself and Su Zhenchang, the head of the Taiwan administrative team as her deputy, became the main targets of the political opposition within the Democratic Progressive Party.
Just after the "nine-in-one election" ended, some members of the Democratic Progressive Party, led by Wang Shijian, demanded that Su Zhenchang resign. However, with Tsai Ing-wen's support, Su Tseng-chang temporarily remained as the head of Taiwan's administrative department. Tsai Ing-wen's purpose of doing this is very clear, that is, she hopes to postpone the meeting of Taiwan's "Legislative Yuan" in February next year.
Tsai Ing-wen
If it is Su Zhenchang who comes out to "introduce the policy plan", then there will be no doubt who the DPP will send to compete in the "election" in 2024. Tsai Ing-wen undoubtedly hopes to let Su Zhenchang, a political ally, take over her job.
However, the DPP itself is not monolithic. The faction headed by "Deputy Leader of Taiwan Region" Lai Ching-te has always hoped to replace Tsai Ing-wen. Of course, they cannot sit back and watch Su Tseng-chang continue to be the head of the administrative department, so they attack Su Tseng-chang and his team on various occasions, which puts great political pressure on Tsai Ing-wen and Su Tseng-chang.
According to poll data released by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, 52.6% of the people on the island are dissatisfied with Su Tseng-chang's governance. Currently under attack from the opposition within the DPP, Su Zhenchang's administrative team is already crumbling.
Su Zhenchang
Therefore, Tsai Ing-wen envisaged that Su Zhenchang should be postponed until February next year, and the plan to succeed him in the future is already hopeless. So under the circumstances of great internal and external pressure, for Tsai Ing-wen, "abandoning the car to save the commander-in-chief" and actively promoting the resignation of Su Zhenchang's administrative team became the best choice.
It is reported that Tsai Ing-wen has made up her mind to reorganize the existing administrative team after the upcoming "Legislative Yuan" meeting in January. At that time, Su Zhenchang will actively choose to "step down", and his successor is likely to be the current secretary-general of Taiwan's "security department" Gu Lixiong.
As a member of the Lai Qingde faction, Gu Lixiong made his fortune when Lai Qingde took office as the head of the administrative department in Taiwan. It was Lai Qingde who promoted Gu Lixiong to serve as the financial director of the administrative department.
Lai Qingde
There is reason to believe that Tsai Ing-wen is taking the initiative to express goodwill to Lai Qingde by reorganizing the administrative agency and actively transitioning the power of the administrative department in exchange for the political support of the political faction headed by Lai Qingde in the next two years. This is a quite typical transaction.
This also means that the political reshuffle within the DPP is accelerating. In the foreseeable future, it has become a trend for the faction headed by Lai Qingde to dominate. Lai Ching-te has also appointed Cheng Li-jun, the former head of the cultural department of the Taiwan authorities, to go to the "DPP Central Committee" to register for election as chairman of the Democratic Progressive Party.
With Tsai Ing-wen herself unable to come forward, there are currently few politicians in the DPP who can compare with Lai Qingde, so there is basically no suspense about Lai Qingde's election.
Cross-Strait Relations
But this is not good news for cross-Strait relations, because Lai Qingde is a political radical within the Democratic Progressive Party. He has been hailed as a pioneer of "Taiwan independence" in the past. If he succeeds Tsai Ing-wen, he may be more active in provoking the mainland on cross-strait issues and leaning closer to the United States.
So as long as the DPP is still in power, there will be no fundamental change in cross-strait relations. Neither Tsai Ing-wen nor Lai Qingde are trustworthy.
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