China Taiwan Network, October 5th According to the Hong Kong China Review News, Yin Naiping, a former "legislator" of the People's People's Party and an adjunct professor of the Department of Finance of National Chengchi University, said that the 2018 election should theoretically have a "pendulum effect". Unfortunately, the Kuomintang failed to win the approval of voters and instead saw the rise of the "third force". If Han Kuo-yu wins in Kaohsiung , another force representing the Kuomintang may branch out . Supporting South Korea is not necessarily a Kuomintang force, but more like a "third force." He also believes that the Kuomintang is disintegrating, especially when Ma Ying-jeou has been in power for eight years, public dissatisfaction has continued, and support has begun to loosen .
He also pointed out that middle voters and the political environment have allowed the rise of the "third force", which will accelerate the split of the Kuomintang . Young people are also dissatisfied with the DPP. Once the "third force" splits from the blue and green parties, it will have a much greater chance of growing.
Yin Naiping believes that the non-party Taipei Mayor Ko Wenzhe represents a "third force". He analyzed that "Ke Wenzhe is paired with Song".
He analyzed that Han Kuo-yu can observe that now Han Kuo-yu is helping the Kuomintang to gain momentum in the south. If Han wins in Kaohsiung in the future, it will represent another force of the Kuomintang and may branch off into . Because support for Han Kuo-yu is not necessarily a KMT force, it can be classified as the "third force." The same principle applies to the Tainan mayoral election. There are "alternative" candidates, which shows that the structure and orientation of voters are changing.
Yin Naiping also predicted that perhaps after two more elections, the Kuomintang will be divided. What will this "new situation" be like in the future? Don't know about . He said that in the past, the New Party and People First Party split from the Kuomintang, but they still could not stand up. Now it seems that the middle voters and the political environment have allowed the rise of the "third force", which will naturally accelerate the split of the Kuomintang. Young people are also dissatisfied with the DPP. Once the "third force" splits from the blue and green, it has a much greater chance of growing.
was asked whether the "third force" would form a party? Yin Naiping said that it is too early to tell, but it is undeniable that the Kuomintang is disintegrating, especially when Ma Ying-jeou has been in power for the past eight years, and just like the DPP Tsai Ing-wen is now in power, public dissatisfaction continues. The Kuomintang's support began to loosen, and it became disappointed with the DPP and began to leave the DPP. In the past, the DPP faction existed to support the party, but now these supporters are also wavering.
He said that Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party could not win the polls, and to a certain extent she started to limp and was kidnapped by the green camp faction.
was asked if is replaced by Tsai Ing-wen, will the Green Camp be more cohesive? "At least I haven't seen it yet!" He said that because the Democratic Progressive Party faction is so powerful, anyone who comes to power will let other factions share the pie.
Yin Naiping said that Taoyuan Mayor Zheng Wencan of the Democratic Progressive Party seems to go beyond blue and green. His governance methods are relatively neutral and have no radical ideology. However, if Zheng Wencan wants to "move up," factions within the DPP will still block or check him. (Editor Xiaokang)
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