The most anxious thing should be US Secretary of State Blinken. On November 21, the world is not concerned about the World Cup held by Qatar, but the country's state-run Qatar Energy Company announced that it would sign a 27-year natural gas supply contract with China, with a tot

text | Liu Lanchang

often says "big chess" online, but this time "big chess" is really here. The most anxious thing should be US Secretary of State Blinken . He will visit China soon, but he was beaten by the "killing stick": not to mention that the "strategic environment" that had been "reshaping" for two years has become invisible, even "dollar oil" may be washed away. What other tricks are there to stop China’s revival?

1, Qatar supplies natural gas to China, which is the starting ceremony of this "extremely grand strategic cooperation between China and the Arab world ". On November 21, the world is not concerned about the World Cup held by Qatar, but the country's state-run Qatar Energy Company announced that it would sign a 27-year natural gas supply contract with China, with a total value of approximately US$61 billion. This is the "longest" gas supply agreement on the planet's history, and China will steadily obtain 4 million tons of natural gas supply in the next 27 years.

Politicians and economists around the world certainly cannot ignore this unprecedented long-term energy contract, especially as the Russian-Ukrainian war accelerates a century of great changes. However, the author thinks of an unnoticed issue, that is, the number of this contract is a bit strange, why is it not an integer, not 25 or 30 years, but 27 years. 27. This number seems to have no special meaning in Chinese civilization and Arab civilization.

Suddenly, a flash of inspiration flashed and I understood: 22+27 equals 49. That is to say, 27 years will be added in 2022, and by 2049, the founding of the People's Republic of China will be 100 years after its founding. This is the day we have planned to realize the great rejuvenation of the nation. So, is the meaning here still need to be said?

2, Saudi Arabia is the origin of "dollar oil" and "petrodollars". In the 1970s, the United States took advantage of internal conflicts between Arab countries to develop , Saudi Arabia, and established the oil industry as a strategic ally, supported the Saudi oil industry, and used the US dollar to settle oil transactions, laying the foundation for the oil-dollar. This time, China, Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries have promoted economic cooperation to a strategic level, including energy and other large-scale infrastructure projects, and the international economic community is extremely concerned about the promotion of local currency settlement . RMB settlement of oil and gas trade is carried out in areas such as crude oil and natural gas trading, as well as in-depth oil and gas development and clean low-carbon energy technology cooperation.

cannot be ignored, yes, China is currently the world's largest petrochemical energy importer. Half of the world's top ten oil reserves come from Arab countries; at the same time, Russia has conducted 50:50 natural gas settlement with China and expanded its scope to commodities such as oil and coal. It is estimated that the market share of the RMB will only increase in the world's energy market.

At the same time, after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, many countries that did not listen to the US baton, such as India, are using non-US dollar settlement petrochemical energy transactions. Some European countries have to accept "rouble oil" and "rouble natural gas".

Some experts in some countries say that due to the international settlement function of the US dollar, the status of the "petroleum dollar" is still quite solid. However, the "gap" of the dam has been opened, and the collapse of the dam may also be like the "Berlin Wall".

The author believes that the largest user is China and the largest producer is not the United States. Then the foundation of US dollar oil will be shaken and the foundation of "RMB oil" will be established. After waiting for the middle of this century, the world's energy pattern will definitely be a different scene.

3. The basis of any strategic cooperation is interests. It should be emphasized that the fundamental reason for Saudi Arabia and other Arab countries from pro-US to "distancing the United States" and "rejecting the United States" is interests. When the United States is their biggest customer, they must not be "pro-US", but when the United States has also become an energy exporter and has to compete for its largest share, the United States has become their "largest competitor". Against this background, the United States will also command them to increase production and attack Russia. How can they obey "dollar oil" again?

There is another more important thing. Under the general trend of world emission reduction, Saudi Arabia and other countries understand that economic transformation is "nearly imminent", and if it doesn't turn, it will be done.Therefore, Saudi Arabia cooperates with China not only because China is Saudi Arabia's number one exporter, but also because China is a supporter of Saudi Arabia's transformation. Saudi Arabia plans to spend $1 trillion to build the "New Future City" (NEOM), and Saudi Arabia wants to develop the automobile industry, communications, photovoltaics, smart industries, digital economy, and other rising sun enterprises, all of which are China's first choice.

So, when US Secretary of State Blinken wants to "reshape the strategic environment" and reassemble the Eurasian friends that Trump offended, will the Chinese giant who has been " alliance with " tradition and wisdom be left alone?

So, we will suddenly realize that we will see an "extremely grand strategic narrative" and an "extremely grand strategic layout". The new term for the prosperity of Chinese civilization and Arab civilization may be the "collection of palaces" of Chinese diplomacy this year, but isn't its far-reaching strategic significance necessarily linked to the day when our great national rejuvenation in the middle of this century?

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