It is said that it is unreliable because we have never watched most of the movies in the nomination for Golden Horse 53. The only one that is released in mainland theaters is "July and Ansheng".

said it was unreliable because we have never seen most of the movies in the nomination of Golden Horse 53. The only one that is released in mainland theaters is " July and Ansheng " .

said it was unreliable because we have never seen most of the movies in the nomination of Golden Horse 53. The only one that is released in mainland theaters is " July and Ansheng " .The five best drama films, "I'm Not Pan Jinlian" schedule is November 18, and the Golden Horse Awards awards are November 26. The film was shortlisted for five heavyweight awards, and it can win one or two, which will add a lot of fire to the mainland's release. How scheming and the best of the withdrawal will be delayed.

However, do you think that winning the Golden Horse will promote the box office in the mainland? This depends on how to promote it. The concept of the Golden Horse Awards is very small for the "small town youth" who controls the box office trend of the mainland.

"One Thousand Sentences" was released two weeks before the Golden Horse Awards. You can also get some popularity

, but we still want to make a first-round prediction. This prediction, only scores based on your own preferences. To put it nicely, it is "follow your inner arrangements", but it is actually just a random guess. Anyway, there are still nearly two months left, and I was in the middle. Maybe we are happy and still make medium-term predictions. The final ultimate prediction is that we must project every year.

. The four participants in the prediction are as follows (scoring order)

. The beans: university teacher, doctor of film, visiting scholar of Taiwan Normal University, long-term attention and research Taiwanese movie

gray wolf: Communication University of China doctor of film, long-term research on Taiwanese movies in Asia Trends and changes in movies

Takeshi: PhD in film at Nanjing University, long-term attention and research on Taiwanese movies

Falling wind: Senior media person, more than ten years of mainstream movie media Golden Horse Award prediction and comment experience

Each person scores the nominees in a five-point system, and adds the cumulative results and rankings to obtain. The higher the score, the greater the predicted chance of winning

Best plot

"Goodbye Wacheng" 4+3+3.5+3.5=14

"I am not Pan Jinlian" 3.5+2+4+3.5=13

"August" 3+3+3.5+2=11.5

"All the Wind" 2.5+2.5+3+3=11

" Trees Big Wind" " 1+2.5+2+1=6.5

Best Director

Zhao Deyin "Goodbye Wacheng" 3.5+3+3.5+3.5=13.5

Feng Xiaogang "I am not Pan Jinlian" 3+2.5+3.5+3=12

Zhong Menghong "All the way is good" 3+3+3+3=12

Johnnie To " Threesome " 2+2+2.5+2=8.5

Zeng Guoxiang "July and Ansheng"2+2+2+1=7

Best new director

Zhang Dalei "August" 4.5+3+4+4.5=16

Cheng Weihao " Little Girl in Red" 3+2+2+3.5=10.5

Huang Jin " One Thought of Ignorance " 2.5 +2.5+3+2.5=10.5

Zhu Xianzhe "Termites" 2.5+2.5+2.5+2.5=10

Xu Xuewen , Ou Wenjie, Huang Weijie "The Tree is Trying to the Wind" 1+2+2+1=6

Best Actor

Ke Zhendong "Goodbye Wacheng" 4+2.5+3.5+4=14

Xu Guanwen "All the Wind" 3.5+2.5+3+4=13

Zhang Jacky Cheung "Dark Heaven" 2.5+2.5+2.5+3=10.5

Fan Wei "The problem that is not a problem" 2.5+1.5+3+2.5=9.5

Leung Ka Fai " Chilling War 2" 2+1.5+2+2.5=8

Best Actress

Wu Kexi "Goodbye Wacheng" 4+3+4+4=15

Fan Bingbing "I am not Pan Jinlian" 3+2+4+3=12

Zhou Dongyu "July and Ansheng" 3.5+2+3+3.5=12

Ma Sichun "July and Ansheng" 3.5+2.5+3+3.5=12.5

Xu Weining "Little Girl in Red" 1+2+1+2=6

Best Supporting Actor

html ml6

Quin Pei《Beijing Meets Seattle's Unparalleled Love Letter》3+2.5+4+3.5=13

Lin Bohong 《Liu Lan Coffee House》3.5+2.5+2.5+4=12.5

Natto 《All the Wind》3.5+2.5+3+3=12

html l0 Zeng Zhiwei "One Thought Ignorance" 2+3+3+3=11

Lin Xue " Lao Li " 2.5+3+3+2.5=11

Best Supporting Actress

Lu Yijing "Debusy Forest" 4.5 +3+3.5+4.5=15.5

Jin Yanling "One thought of ignorance" 3+3+3.5+3=12.5

Wu Yanshu "Beijing Meets Seattle's Untwo Love Letter" 3+1.5+2+4=10.5

Li Xing "The Tenant Downstairs" 2.5+2+2.5+3=10

Liu Bei "One sentence is worth ten thousand sentences" 2+2+2+2.5=8.5

Best new actor

Jinba "The Soul on the Leather Rope" 4.5+3+4+4.5=16

Chen Tingni "Out of Control Lie Words》4+3+3+4=14

Kong Weiyi》》3+3.5+4+3=13.5

Hu Zitong》》》5+5 Steps 》2.5+2+2.5+2.5=9.5

Chen Yu》《As long as I grow up》2.5+2+2.5=9

Best original script

Zhao Deyin "Goodbye Wacheng"4.5+3.5+4+4=16

Zhang Dalei "August"4+3.5+4.5+4=16

Long Wenkang , Wu Qiwei, Mai Tianshu "Tree attracts wind"3.5+2.5+3+3.5=12.5

Chen Jieyao "As long as I grow up"2.5+2.5+2.5+2.5=10

Xue Xiaolu , Jiao Huajing "Beijing Meets Seattle's Love Letter" 1+0.5+2+3=6.5

Best adapted script

Lin Yongchen , Li Yuan , Xu Yimeng , Wu Nan "July and Ansheng" 4.5+2.5+4+4=15

Zhaxi Dawa , Zhang Yang "The Soul on the Leather Rope" 4+3+3.5+4=14.5

Meifeng, Huangshi "The Problem That Is Not a Problem" 3.5+3+4+3.5=14

Liu Zhenyun "I'm Not Pan Jinlian" 3+2.5+3.5+3=12

Huohuo, He Xin, Tan Guangyuan "Lao Li" 2.5+3+2.5+2.5=10.5

Editor of this issue: Luoshanfeng

Contact [Movie Taiwan], please send an email 771539504@QQ.COM