On Tuesday local time, according to the latest poll released by British Yuguan Company, about 83% of Conservative MPs believe that Tras has performed poorly as prime minister so far, while 55% believe that she should voluntarily resign.

Even if the new Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunter overturned "almost all" tax cuts, the dissatisfaction with Prime Minister Tras within the British people and the Conservative Party has not reversed.

On Tuesday (October 18), local time, according to the latest poll released by YouGov, about 83% of Conservative MPs believe that Tras has performed poorly as prime minister so far, while 355% of people believe that she should voluntarily resign . It should be pointed out that the support rate of is even lower than that of former Prime Minister Boris Johnson in the late stage of .

(Source: Yuguan)

But the Conservatives have just held a vote of distrust against Johnson , and the second vote of distrust case cannot be held within one year. Therefore, if Tras does not voluntarily abdicate, he can only repeat the situation where a large number of cabinet members resigned not long ago and "forced the palace" Johnson.

Time, the voices demanding that Tras step down have become increasingly urgent recently, and it seems that it has gone from pre-Christmas to Halloween (November 1), and some media even said that "just this week." Last weekend, several party members have publicly demanded that Tras resign immediately.

Who will replace Trass?

This also makes the outside world pay more and more attention to a question - who will take over the Conservative Party leader and serve as British Prime Minister after Tras stepped down? Yuguan Company's latest investigation also responded to this.

In a survey from October 17 to 18, when 530 Conservative MPs were asked about "who do you hope will take over the party leader after Tras resigned", 32% chose Boris Johnson , far ahead of second-place former Chancellor Rich Sunak (23%), current Secretary of Defense Ben Wallace (10%) and Legislative House Leader Penny Modant (9%) ranked third and fourth.

(Source: Yuguan)

When the question changed to "Do you think these people can be competent in the role of prime minister?" Johnson still ranked first with a crushing advantage. 42% of the respondents believed that he could perform very well, 10 percentage points higher than Wallace, the second place; another 21% believed that Johnson was "not bad", and a total of more than 60% had a positive attitude towards Johnson and was also the leader.

(Source: Yuguan)

In addition, according to data from gambling website Oddschecker, Johnson is also second only to Sunak with a 23.16% probability.

(Source: Oddschecker)

It is worth mentioning that when Johnson first stepped down, Oddschecker and Yuguan both accurately predicted the popular candidates to participate in the competition for the Party Heads.

At that time, the top four with the highest probability of taking over Johnson in Yuguan poll were Wallace, Modant, Sunak and Trass. But Wallace said before the election that he was mainly concerned about his work and would not run for the prime minister.

. At that time, the top two most likely on Oddschecker were Sunak and Trass, and the two finally met in the "finals".

This article is from Cailianshe