(This article is compiled by the official account Yuesheng Guide (yslc688), for reference only and does not constitute operational advice. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
Jump refers to the stock price or index that was originally above or in the moving average combination. One day, it suddenly crossed the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages, opened at a short distance, and still failed to return to the moving average at the close. Because it looks like a person jumping down from a cliff, the consequence must be broken into pieces, so it is called a desperate jump, which means that the pattern has a strong bearish effect in the future.
The technical characteristics of the desperate jump are as follows:
(1) appear at the beginning of the long-term downward trend or the end of the medium-term rebound of the long-term downward trend, and occasionally appear at the beginning of the medium-term adjustment of the long-term upward trend.
(2) The stock price or index opened low, opening below the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages at the opening, and still failed to return to above the moving average at the close.
The technical meaning of the desperate jump: bearish in the future, sell.
jumped to the market and fell below the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages, indicating that more bulls in the market have joined the short camp. In order to make a deal, it is even hesitant to place orders below the wood, and the supply and demand relationship is seriously unbalanced. The result of the vicious cycle is that more panic trading has surged out, leading to an acceleration of the decline. The power of the bears is unprecedentedly powerful, and the remnants of many parties can only give in step by step, almost without any resistance.
Breaking Jump Whether it appears in the early stage of a long-term downward trend or at the end of a medium-term rebound, it is all about leaping and closing when the stock price has turned downward. When traders see Jueming Jue, those with positions should spare no expense and sell crazily without leaving any position; those without positions should never take the risk of entering the market, because Jueming Jue rarely appears at the bottom.
As shown in Figure 1, Yinyi shares (000981). The stock price rebound encountered the downward pressure of the 60-day moving average , and jumped downward to close out a positive line , but the closing price of this positive line fell, so it is called a reverse positive line or a false positive line. The negative line is deceptive.
If you look closely, you will find that this inverted positive line directly crossed the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages and did not return to above the moving average at the close. It is a desperate jump of the inverted positive line. A desperate jump was closed in the downward trend. It is like a huge round rock rolling down the hillside, and someone has added force to it, and the speed and strength of the subsequent decline will be faster and stronger. Traders should not imagine that the stock price will stop the decline soon. Isn't it a more pleasant thing to clear your position, hide aside, and watch the stock price fall?
jumped violently and then closed the form of a poisonous spider, which is also a bearish signal. Dangerous alarms are constantly ringing in my ears, and if I still turn a deaf ear, it is inevitable that I will slide into the abyss of losses.
Figure 1 The bearish effect of the desperate jump pattern in the downward trend is very strong
As shown in Figure 1, Chongqing Beer (600132). After the stock price rebounded, it encountered downward pressure on the 60-day moving average and jumped downward to close out a desperate jump pattern, which is an extremely clear bearish signal and sell.
The big negative line that jumped desperately fell below the moving average and was bearish in the future and sold. The big negative line that jumps through the desperate situation is still the 60-day moving average, the seventh rule of Ge Nanwei sells, sells.
Figure 2 The stock price closed at the end of the mid-term rebound, indicating that the rebound ended
As shown in Figure 2, East China Technology (000727). The stock closed two desperate jump patterns one after another. The first one appears after the stock price falls below the 60-day moving average. When the stock price falls below the 60-day moving average, the 60-day moving average is still rising, and traders holding positions can barely continue to observe the position.
Then the stock price jumped downward, leaving the desperate jump pattern of the limit down and long shadow. At this time, traders can first make qualitative analysis and then make quantitative analysis. As mentioned above, the 60-day moving average was added to the trend chart, which is only used for qualitative trends, so look at the direction of the 60-day moving average in a qualitative manner. When the 60-day moving average closed and jumped, it was a sign of a trend change, at least it was no longer a bull market. The desperate jump is a relatively strong signal of swallowing down, closing bearish signals in a non-bull market and selling them with clearance.
The second desperate jump appears in the downward trend, and is sent out at the same time as the selling signal that falls below the convergence triangle, with a stronger bearish effect, and clearance and sell.
Figure 3 The desperate jump is strong and bearish. You should clear the stock in time. As shown in Figure 3, Northeast Pharmaceutical (000597). The stock also closed two desperate jumps. The first Jue Ming Jump fell below the 60-day moving average at the same time, which is the eighth selling point of the 60-day moving average. The gap in Jue Ming Jump is to break through the gap downward, and after Jue Ming Jump, the Valley of Death appeared again. There are so many bearish signals sent in the downward trend, and it is really not enough to stay for a long time and sell them.
The stock price did not fall rapidly next, but instead went out of the passive repair pattern, and the short-term moving average combination gradually bonded. The bonding closed in the later stage of the second desperate jump, and the stock price fell below the moving average bonding pattern, completing the poisonous spider pattern, which is still a clearance and selling signal.
The moving average bonding in the downward trend is mostly the main shipment. Bearish patterns such as Breaking Jump, Death Valley and Poison Spider are to announce this fact loudly to traders.
Figure 4 closed a desperate jump in the long-term downward trend. Whether it is long-term or short-term, you should clear the position
. As shown in Figure 4, new Huangpu (600638). The stock's desperate jump appears in the early stages of a downward trend. After the stock price peaked and fell, it fluctuated repeatedly around the 60-day moving average, and finally closed the rising wedge technical chart. At the end of the wedge-shaped rationale, the stock price and the 5-day, 10-day and 20-day moving averages successfully stood above the 60-day moving average, but the 60-day moving average turned from upward to downward, indicating that the medium- and long-term trend has turned weak. At this time, a limit down negative line completed the desperate jump pattern.
At the same time, this mid-yin line fell below the rising wedge and moving average bonding pattern. A downward breakthrough gap is formed, sending a 60-day moving average Gennanwei selling signal. This is really a key K-line that appears at a critical position. For traders, it is also a critical moment to make a decision. Clearing positions is the only choice to avoid the risk of falling.
Special reminder:
(1) The K-line of Jue Jue Jue can be a negative line or a positive line, which does not affect the technical meaning of Jue Jue Jue. But if it is a negative line, the bearish effect of this signal is stronger.
(2) The desperate jump does not require the cooperation of trading volume. However, if the trading volume suddenly increases significantly on the day of the closing jump, it means that there are major shipments, or public traders sell panic, and there may be a sharp drop in the future.
fishing line
fishing line shipment method is a more common method of luring inducing multiples in the main dealer to use false pull-ups, main force against each other during the stock shipment period, attracting followers and then selling chips. It mainly appears at the high or relatively high levels of the stock. Sometimes, due to special reasons, cash is needed to be redeemed at low levels.
After fishing, most of the stock prices will open low and close low the next day after shipment. Under the mechanism of A-share T+1, the retail investors who were pulled up and followed up will suffer serious losses on the first day.
This method of trading is extremely lethal, and investors who are trapped often cannot get out of the trap for several years.
Fishing line morphological characteristics
In the real-time trend of individual stocks on the day, the main force quickly raised the stock price and began to basically maintain a certain slope upward, with an increase of more than 7%. Then, suddenly, the straight line plunged sharply, and the main large order seller captured all the buying orders chasing the rise below, forming a graph similar to a "fishing rod" and a "fishing line" that was fishing.
classification of fishing line
1) Upward fishing line
Due to the influence of the news surface or excessive speculation, the dealer often chooses to push up the market at the traditional technical support points to attract retail investors to follow the trend. When there are enough follow-up markets, reduce buying, maintain the angle of time-sharing rise, continue to attract popularity, and start to ship in large quantities after the market popularity is activated.
2) Downward fishing line
Due to continuous rise, the stock price has reached the target position of the dealer and the dealer has made a lot of profits. At the same time, due to the continuous rise, the market popularity is quite exciting, and a large number of follow-up markets have accumulated. Moreover, the dealer believes that the market is about to end and there is no time to ship in the high range. At this time, the dealer is willing to choose this method to ship.
Characteristics of fishing line shipment techniques
1) Change the steadily counter-high on the previous time-sharing chart to a low-level rapid volume-raising or high-level sideways oscillating, and quickly fall down when the down-level buying market accumulates to a certain level;
2) Generally, it is operated once a day. If the market is in good condition at this time, it will be repeated several times. Then, the oscillation trend will be maintained at the position of smashing the market. However, there will usually be a rapid pull-up process at the end of the trading market to repair the K-line pattern and maintain the illusion of not falling on the market. The K-line is either a high-opening and a long lower shadow, or a cross-line with a long upper and lower shadow, or a small positive and small negative line;
3) The intraday oscillation is fierce and a large amplitude, and a diving pattern with huge amplitude is common on the time-sharing chart, and sharp pulling and plummeting are the main characteristics.
Main force tracking source code:
MID:=(2.97*CLOSE+LOW+OPEN+HIGH)/6;
Main force: (20*MID+19*REF(MID,1)+18*REF(MID,2)+
17*REF(MID,3)+16*REF (MID,4)+15*REF(MID,5)+
14*REF(MID,6)+13*REF(MID,7)+12*REF(MID,8)+
11*REF(MID,9)+10*REF(MID,10)+9*REF(MID,11)+
8*REF(MID,12)+7*REF(MID,13)+6 *REF(MID,14)+
5*REF(MID,15)+4*REF(MID,16)+3*REF(MID,17)+
2*REF(MID,18)+REF(MID,20))/210,COLORRED,LINETHICK2;
IF(main force=REF(main force,1),main force,DRAWNULL),C OLORRED,LINETHICK2;
IF(main
fishing line index source code
D3:=((REF(HIGH,1)+REF(HIGH,2)+REF(HIGH,3))/3+(REF(LOW,1)+REF(LOW,2)+REF(LOW,3))/3)/2;
MA21:MA(CLOSE,21),colorFF00;
Moving Trend Line 1:=LLV(MA(CLOSE,9),9);
Moving Trend Line 2:=LLV(MA(CLOSE,13),13);
Moving Trend Line 3:LLV(MA(CLOSE,21),20),LINETHICK3,colorFFFF;
move trend line 4:=LLV(MA(CLOSE,34),34);
move trend line 5:=LLV(MA(CLOSE,55),55);
move trend line 6:=LLV(MA(CLOSE,89),89);
move trend line 7:=LLV(MA(CLOSE,144),144);
A 1:=Moving trend line 1=REF(Moving trend line 1, 1);
A2:=Moving trend line 2=REF(Moving trend line 2, 1);
A3:=Moving trend line 3=REF(Moving trend line 3, 1);
A4:=Moving trend line 4=REF(Moving trend line 4, 1);
A5:=Moving trend line 5=REF(Moving trend line 5, 1);
A6:=Moving trend line 6=REF(Moving trend line 6, 1);
A7:=Moving trend line 7=REF(Moving trend line 7, 1);
A8:=MA21-Moving trend line 30.099;
A9:=CROSS(CLOSE, MA21);
Fishing line:=Moving trend line 3=REF(Moving trend line 3, 1) AND (COUNT(D3=2 AND MA21 moving trend line 3*1.001 AND D3=MA21 AND CLOSE=D3 AND D3-MA210.1 AND MA21-moving trend line 30.25;
DRAWTEXT(FILTER(fishing line, 3),LOW*0.98,'Xiao\nya\nHead '), color33FF99;
If you want to know more about the current A-share stage operation skills and formula codes, or if you have any questions, you can follow the official account Yuesheng Guide (yslc688). More future market operations and stock technical analysis methods are waiting for you to learn, and there will be a steady stream of practical goods!
Statement: This content is provided by Yuesheng Guide, which does not mean that the investment news recognizes its investment views.
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