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India and Pakistan have been struggling for several years, and it is still a stalemate. Border relations are sometimes good and sometimes bad, and maybe one day they start to make trouble again. Let's analyze their strengths and weaknesses.
Defense Strategy
According to foreign media reports, India's actual defense spending begins to grow at a rate of 6.3% per year, and it is estimated that by 2025, India's defense spending budget will reach US$39.8 billion. And India is also the world's largest buyer of conventional weapons, and it is expected that in ten years, India will spend more than $100 billion on defense modernization within 10 years. But this is just the appearance, because some outsiders think that Pakistan has nuclear weapons and they will rely on strategic deterrence to offset their opponents. In addition, despite the large amount of national defense expenditure, so far, no India has seen any obvious advantage over Pakistan. Moreover, India's military purchase corruption is very problematic. There is a lot of water in the astronomical data, and it may be all in the pockets of senior officials.
(Corruption in India is daily, so the arms procurement data is very watery)
Pakistan believes that India's large-scale procurement of arms has posed a threat to South Asia's peace and bilateral relations. Therefore, in 2009, Pakistan began to invest a lot of money to achieve military modernization with the help of major countries such as the United States, weakening some of India's conventional forces threats.
(Excellent motorcycle performance, but unfortunately it is not useful in border conflicts)
If both sides compete for hegemony, there are two factors that restrict the decisive ability. First, the terrain, ground troops are often helpless in densely populated cities and rugged mountainous areas. In plain terrain, it is conducive to maneuvering, but lacks cover. Second, military technology and military quality. When an army with relatively high military quality compares its opponent with higher military technology, the opponent's advantage will not become obvious (provided that the strength levels of both sides are close). But quantity will cause changes in quality, and it will not work if the gap is too large. For example, Iraq vs. the United States. In the Gulf War in 1991, the United States' individual soldiers' quality was 16-20 times, and by 2003, it rose to 58 times. The comparison data skills advantage of Indians and Pakistan on paper is 3.5:1. But the outside world expressed doubts, because apart from the motorcycle acrobatics performance, it was not clear how high the Indians were. For example, the conflict between the Air Force often prevented the Indians from falling off the plane by themselves. Even if they were turned on, Pakistan shot down the Indians.
(India crashes are also daily, I don’t know what to do if the war starts)
Battlefield environment
Kashmir The northern region is basically a high-altitude mountainous area, and the environment here is harsh. The large-scale mobilization of troops on both sides is greatly hindered here. Moreover, there will be large-scale snowfall here in winter, which will affect the maneuverability of fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters. There are not a few large-scale military operations opportunities here in the year.
( Kashmir region controlled by Pakistan, , the environment here is harsh and transportation logistics is difficult)
In the canal area, Pakistan is on high alert, and the river itself hinders India, so Pakistan has an advantage.
is in the southernmost border area, with some plains and desert areas here. More suitable for mechanized military operations. In 2002, India was attacked by the Lashkar (India believes that the organization is an extremist organization supported by Pakistan), and launched a combat operation, deploying 500,000 troops on the India-Pakistan border. However, due to the backward mobilization mechanism, it took two weeks to complete the assembly, delaying the fighter jets. Pakistan has time to prepare for war, resulting in India being forced to cancel its combat plan. Indian Army was scolded by the country for this. Although this place is very suitable for armored forces to conduct mobile combat, it lacks strategic value and loses it has no impact on Pakistan. Instead, it allows Pakistan to use space to exchange time and prepare for war.
(The plains are conducive to armored forces assault, but India gathers slowly in the area. After entering, it was discovered that Pakistan is ready)
Both sides deploy military forces. The main force of India's military is basically deployed in central India, far away from the border. I can't understand India's poor defense mobilization mechanism. Every time there is something, Indians probably have to drink a cup of Assam milk tea slowly and then pick up their guns to go to the front line. In 2001, it took India five days to launch a general mobilization of armed forces after the Mumbai attack. It took India three weeks to discover Pakistani military forces involved in the 1999 conflict. Since 2001, India has not changed anything except for strengthening border vigilance. Even if the defense mechanism is changed, it cannot change the decision-making time of Indian political leaders.
(Every time an extremist organization attack occurs, the border is particularly tense, but India's mobilization ability is too poor and the army is very slow to assemble)
In contrast, 80% of the Pakistani army's troops are deployed on the border, most of which are at the forefront, and the danger warning mechanism is constantly being improved. Since 2012, the Pakistani Army has adopted a new military deployment plan. As long as an extremist organization launches an attack, 25% of the reserve battalions can be mobilized immediately to occupy the border defense position.
Comparison of the forces of the three armies
Navy, India's ability to use aircraft and cruise missiles to strike targets on the shore is quite limited. The strike range of surface ships is less than 290 kilometers, and only has medium air defense capabilities. In order to prevent air defense, they could only avoid the other party's air strike range and block the port from a long distance, but in fact they were difficult to operate. Because Pakistan has a long coastline and it is difficult to identify ships, it is difficult for India to distinguish between Pakistan and neutral countries' ships, and random attacks can easily lead to international disputes. Moreover, Pakistan has begun to take action to reduce the risk of port blockade, increasing its seven-day strategic oil reserves in 1999 to the current 30 days. Moreover, the conflict between the two countries will trigger international intervention, and their conflicts will be short.
(Although the Pakistan Navy is a little weak, its personnel training and response measures are much stronger than India)
Air Force, India has obvious air superiority over Pakistan, which is mainly reflected in the number of air force combat aircraft. Currently, the proportion of combat aircraft in India to Pakistan is 2:1. And new models of combat aircraft are being introduced continuously. However, there is no gap in early warning capabilities between the two sides (both sides have introduced and equipped with advanced Western early warning system aircraft) so India does not have the ability to take the initiative to destroy the Pakistani Air Force, nor can it master the air supremacy , or provide effective support to the ground forces while fighting with Pakistani air force.
(The "Erics Eye" early warning aircraft purchased by Pakistan can fully prepare for war)
Army, the overall ratio of the Indian-Pakistan army is 2:1. According to some military media surveys, data released shows that the Indian army has about 1.15 million people, while Pakistan has 550,000 people. But this is just a reference data, because the army level in various war zones in India is not the same. India has 36 divisions, of which 9 are in the eastern region and 18 are on the Indian-Pakistan border, but 15 of them are infantry divisions with limited offensive capabilities. Indian armored forces are all in central India. Among the 22 divisions in the Pakistani side, 18 are on the Indian-Pakistan border. (There are 2 armored divisions) Therefore, both sides have equal military strength on the border. In addition, Pakistan still has a team of 7,000 people on the border with Afghanistan. In terms of armor strength, the training level and quality of India's team are not high, and the technical level of self-propelled artillery is still in the 1970s, and the number is small. In contrast, Pakistan has three times the number of self-propelled artillery that is the Indian army.
(Every time the top Indian political leaders are in conflict between the two countries, the slow response time is a big problem)
To sum up, in addition to the dazzling motorcycle acrobatics and large-scale weapon model exhibitions on the military parade, India has no significant advantage to Pakistan, but it is in danger of being eaten by the Pakistani army in some areas. Reference Materials: If you have any comments on "India-Pakistan Conflict", please leave a message below to discuss! (Please support various original articles and physical books of Yipinwen team, independent, professional and informative)
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