[The US "Taiwan Policy Law" hurricane hits, how do both sides of the Taiwan Strait respond? 】
Xiong Dayun
Special Professor of Yamanashi University, Japan
Editor's press
Zhao Quansheng [Looking at the world overseas] Editor-in-chief:
The US Congress is planning to pass the Taiwan Policy Act will undoubtedly trigger another round of crisis in Sino-US relations and the Taiwan Strait. This time, we invited 18 scholars from the United States, China, Japan and Singapore to participate in the quick review under the title [Taiwan Policy Law] and the Game between China and the United States].
Scholars and units participating in this quick review:
Pu Xiaoyu University of Nevada
Xiong Dayun University of Yamanashi University
Zhao Quansheng University of America American University
Chapter Nianchi Shanghai East Asia Institute
Yin Yanjun Kanto University, Japan,
Wang Zai Bang Taihe think tank
Zhao Hongwei Japan, 日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本日本Shanghai East Asia Institute
Wu Guo Allegheny College
Qi Dongtao National University of Singapore
Wu Xuanxuan Odogming University
Lin Hongyu Huaqiao University
Zhang Dongning University of Washington University ( Seattle )
Zhang Dongning Northeast Normal University
Han Rongbin University of Georgia
Xiong Dayun
Special professor at Yamanashi University, Japan
The United States "Taiwan Policy Law" hurricane hits, how do both sides of the Taiwan Strait respond?
The U.S. Federal Senate Foreign Relations Committee voted to pass the Taiwan Policy Act of 2022 on September 14, which is now being sent to the Senate and House of Representatives for review. It is reported that before the passing of the bill, the Foreign Relations Committee had repeatedly negotiated with the US State Department, and revised several clauses that over-examination of the US's manufacturing of two Chinas or one China, and the United States' attempt to split China was concealed. Despite this, if the bill is finally signed and passed by the US President, it will inevitably lead to subversive damage and even collapse of Sino-US relations.
Originally, the United States has formulated many relevant laws to deal with relations with Taiwan so far, which can fully meet the measures against Taiwan that the United States needs to take. The reason why the US Congress and the government are now sing double acts and enacting such a law is that American politicians have gained the sweetness of inspiring the Russian-Ukrainian war, and thus attempted to copy it on both sides of the Taiwan Strait to make double profits. Anyone with discerning eyes can see that in the Russian-Ukraine war, Russia , Ukraine and even NATO were both losers, only the United States obtained a huge profit of killing three birds: stopped the centrifugal tendency between NATO and the United States and regained control of NATO. It is one of them; Ukraine used as a proxy to tangle with Russia, and fought with no bottom line sanctions. Establishing Russia, weakening its national strength, and completely eliminating the U.S.'s roadblocks on the road to continue to dominate may be realized. The second is ; through economic sanctions and selling arms not only make a fortune in the United States' energy industry and military-industrial complex , but also injecting a needle into the United States to prevent economic recession, it is three.
pictures are from the US Parliament website.
Review of the Russian-Ukrainian war, we can see that the United States has done its best to this end and try to give it the biggest ones. First, it lures Ukraine to join NATO to stimulate Russia's security crisis nerves; Second, it uses any means to cultivate pro-American agents in Ukraine, implements the United States' policy of containment against Russia, and intensifies the conflict between Russia and Ukraine; Finally, it alienates the awareness of the same origin of the Russian and Ukrainian ethnic groups, provokes cultural confrontation between Russia and Ukraine, and even supports the Ukrainian armed forces to encircle and suppress the eastern Ukrainian region, leading to domestic and regional confrontation. The result was that Russia had a strategic misjudgment and rushed to provoke, which made it difficult for itself to get out of the war. Putin The bold words "Give me 20 years and give you a powerful Russia" may be difficult to fulfill.
Compared with the United States’ policies that have been issued and are now being introduced, and the Taiwan Democratic Progressive Party authorities cooperate with the United States to implement a series of counter-instructions, can’t help but give people a strong stimulation that the two are “very similar to Nair”!
pictures are from the Internet.
The United States has publicly stated that China is the "most serious competitor" of the United States and that China is "the only number one opponent capable of challenging the United States to dominate the international order." Although President Biden has expressed his "four no intentions" towards China many times, , the United States' actions are more honest and he is working hard to build a siege to encircle and suppress China at all times and everywhere. American politicians probably believe that among the many measures and steps to encircle and suppress China, taking the Taiwan Strait issue as a breakthrough should be the best card with the lowest cost and highest returns in the United States. Therefore, even if some explicit provocative provisions in the bill were implicitly treated, they were used to intensify the confrontation between the Taiwan Strait, which eventually led to no substantial change in the purpose of conflicts and even wars in the Taiwan Strait to sell their rape.
The United States is more than 12,000 kilometers away from Taiwan. To implement the Taiwan policy law, it needs regional helpers like NATO. looks around Taiwan’s neighbors, and Japan is the only one with this intention and ability. , Shinzo Abe , a group of right-wing politicians led by former Prime Minister Abe , are not only cheering for the United States' encirclement of China, but also taking advantage of the situation. There are also many such people among the intellectual elites. For example, in an interview with a reporter from Asahi Shimbun , Kitaoka publicly stated that Japan should not only strengthen the Japan-US alliance and strengthen its role in the mechanism of the seven Western countries, but also form the "Western Pacific Alliance" to gather hundreds of millions of people to fight against China, which shows how great its ambition to confront China. Kitaoka is not an ordinary person. He has served as the Japanese ambassador to the United Nations for three times, the president of the United Nations University, and the chairman of the Japanese international cooperation agency. He is an important think tank of the Japanese government. His thoughts and propositions reflect to some extent the mentality of the Japanese government. The current Kishida government, who vowed to inherit the will of Abe, has profoundly shown that the Japanese government has not only followed the United States, but also followed suit, and has shown active leadership in the United States to formulate a more tough policy of siege and suppression against China.
The reason why Japan has the myth that the unification of the Taiwan Strait will endanger Japan's national security is that although Japan has signed a peace and friendship treaty with China, it has not fundamentally changed the strategic thinking that has long regarded China as an imaginary enemy country in history. Therefore, it can be said that for the United States' Taiwan policy law, Japan will be the most active in promoting and even supporting its implementation in the future.
pictures are from Xinhua News Agency.
In fact, whether the Taiwan Policy Law can be implemented in detail after it is passed depends largely on Taiwan's attitude. Judging from the current situation, the DPP has made great contributions to the introduction of this bill, and undoubtedly sincerely welcomes the United States to implement it immediately.What about the Taiwanese people? The author heard a Taiwanese scholar say that after nearly 20 years of brainwashing, many Taiwanese people are excited to hear that the United States wants to list Taiwan as a quasi-NATO country. The author doesn't believe this statement very much. If this is true, I am really sad for Taiwan. Don’t you know that once the Taiwanese people fight with the mainland as the Ukrainian , they can’t speak the same way as Ukraine, which has an area of more than 400,000 square kilometers. It’s self-evident that their tragic fate will greatly surpass Ukraine.
Taiwan was ceded by Japan, which is a symbol of China's decline. Taiwan's return is a symbol of China's realization of national rejuvenation and washing away historical shame. Therefore, the Chinese people's will to reunify the motherland is indestructible. The author hopes that the people of Taiwan will not fall into the trap of the United States in sowing the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, entering the trap of war, join hands with our compatriots in mainland China, achieve cross-strait unification in a peaceful way, and avoid the tragedy of fighting each other. If the ruling authorities of the Democratic Progressive Party of Taiwan insist on bringing wolves into the house and refuse peaceful reunification, the mainland people will definitely be forced to adopt non-peaceful methods to realize the long-cherished wish of national reunification! As a result, you can only pray for the people of Taiwan to protect yourself. Faced with the provocation of the United States and the situation where the DPP authorities use the United States to seek independence, as Taiwanese scholar Zhao Chunshan said, the Taiwanese people are facing a historic choice: Choosing independence means choosing war, and choosing unification can enjoy peace.
It can be said that after the United States’ Taiwan policy law is passed, will bring great obstacles to China's grand cause of peaceful reunification across the Taiwan Strait, and the disasters brought to the Chinese people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait will not be avoided. What should I do in ? The author tends to regard it as a hurricane with the birthplace of the United States and Japan, whose storm center is rushing to China. In the face of such a situation, we should master and utilize the laws of nature. When hurricanes attack, we should not make unnecessary sacrifices. We should implement and make comprehensive mobilization of , prepare for disaster prevention, ships enter the port and people go ashore, avoid their edge, and minimize material losses caused by storms. After the hurricane, disaster relief and reduction will be carried out, losses will be included, financial information will be taken into account, disaster relief shortcomings will be found, post-care measures will be formulated, and disaster relief measures will be fully implemented to prepare for secondary disasters after the hurricane passes. In short, the United States has become more and more provoked China and created various troubles. One of the purposes is to anger China and induce it to make strategic mistakes. The US-China competition is a long-term strategic game process. At a time when China's comprehensive national strength is not yet comparable to the United States, we should be prepared for long-term combat and adopt flexible and maneuverable strategies and tactics. You hit yours, I hit mine. Sometimes avoid the real and make the weak, do not confront the front, and reduce unnecessary losses; sometimes concentrate your efforts, see the opportunity, and smash the weak points to let them know where to go; sometimes surround the points and attack support, lure the enemy into depth, wipe out all the enemy in one fell swoop, and consume their vitality.
In short, for the United States, try to avoid head-on military conflicts, seek peaceful coexistence for peace and development in Asia and the world, and win-win cooperation; for Taiwan, move with emotion, explain reason, and benefit from it, strive to understand the righteousness of the reunification of the motherland, cut off the black hands on the island that hold the American self-respecting, do your best to strive for peaceful reunification with the greatest patience. If this can be done, the Chinese nation will be blessed!
This article was exclusively published by Overseas World Platform, and the text only represents the author's views