Crimea Bridge 2 days after the explosion occurred, the Ukrainian capital Kiev, a sound of explosion sounded.
According to the Ukrainian Independent News Agency, citing officials from Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, it was reported that on the morning of October 10, local time, the attacks launched by Russian armed forces on Kiev have killed 8 people and injured 24 people.
And Ukraine's overall Zelensky also said on his social media: (Russia) is trying to destroy us and erase us from the earth.
In fact, people are not unfamiliar with the scene of the explosion in Kiev. It happened when the Russian-Ukrainian conflict began.
seems to be a cycle of reincarnation. When this scene happens again, its content or connotation is obviously different. At the beginning of the year, most people believed that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict was about to end. But now it is extremely worrying: Could it be that the situation in Russia and Ukraine is going to be led into a dead end?
If you want to explore this issue, you must lengthen the timeline and do a global analysis. Because it will be obvious that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has been roughly divided into three stages - of course, this is just my own discussion, and it is just a throwaway to attract jade.
2. Three stages of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict
The first stage: it is from the beginning of the conflict to the withdrawal of troops from Kiev. In summary, this stage is that at the beginning, the Russian army was unstoppable and attacked near Kiev in one fell swoop, and even entered the suburbs. And successfully took down all kelsson , as well as zaporoze south, and besieged Mariupol Steel Factory.
At this moment, almost all public opinion and professional judgments are discussing when Ukraine will negotiate (surrender). Did Zelensky escape from Kiev? But then, the Russian army suddenly announced the withdrawal of troops from Kiev...
Therefore, the battle at Mariupol Steel Plant became a landmark event in the first phase. Finally on May 20, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that it had complete control of the Mariupol Steel Plant and the first phase ended!
Now analyze this first phase: Although the battle at Mariubo Steel Plant was the victory of the Russian army. But the hidden worries have been exposed. Because everyone knows that if we can win Kiev at this stage, it will obviously be more meaningful than taking over this steel plant. Why didn't it take it?
At that time, there was news online that: Putin was deceived by his own people. I thought I had bought up important figures in Ukraine and took Kiev like taking things out. But no expectation that the "activity funds" were swallowed up by Russian themselves - of course it must be emphasized that this is just a rumor on the Internet.
The so-called wind and waves cannot rise, obviously because the Russian army did not fight well in the first stage, and it can even be called "slow". However, it was covered up by the victory of Mariupol Steel Plant. It is also this "lack" that gives NATO and Ukraine time and confidence.
As a result, the so-called aid from NATO, led by the United States, began to enter Ukraine continuously. Because Zelensky has overcome this period, he is obviously much more active than before and has the confidence to start talking or being tough, Putin, who is challenging Russia. This led to the second stage, which became very confusing.
The second stage is simpler and clearer than the first stage. Because it is mainly a series of offensives and defenses carried out by these four states - whether it is military, public opinion, or sanctions. The final ended with the referendum of these four states and the merger into Russia. The reason why
is also called confusing is mainly because at the end of this stage, Ukraine actually had the strength to launch a counterattack.And who is bombing, Zaporo Thermal Power Plant ? This makes the whole situation seem incomprehensible.
If we talk about it in a realistic manner, it is obvious that Russia won, and the four states of Ukraine have all become Russia's territory.
But if you look at the entire situation in Russia and Ukraine, there is a possibility of reversal. No matter what happened before, the Russian army was absolutely taking the initiative, but now the offensive and defensive momentum is changing hands.
The two are superimposed together, so how can we outsiders not be confused? But even if you are confused, you may have a feeling: Russia seems to be unable to fight, at least this is the form of the battlefield.
combined with the performance of all parties - especially NATO, it is obvious that the situation in Russia and Ukraine has become a dilemma. It was in this confusing state that the third phase ushered in: the Crimea Bridge was bombed with the leakage of the North Stream pipeline as the landmark event. Two days later, the explosion sounded again from Kiev.
Talking about the bombing of Kyiv, we must first talk about the bombing of the Crimea Bridge.
Who does the Beixi Pipeline? There is no conclusion! But when Russia bombed the Crimean Bridge, it was Ukraine.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova said, "The Kiev regime's response to the destruction of civil infrastructure proves its terrorist nature!" This is the characterization of the incident by Russia!
At the same time, Ukrainian "Perthur Truth" quoted anonymous sources as saying: blowing up Kerch Strait Bridge is a special operation of the Ukrainian National Security Bureau.
And the even more serious thing about this incident is that the Crimea Bridge is not only an important supply line for the Russian army's southern line, but also the time when it was bombed, it is also a birthday gift from Ukraine to Putin (October 7).
can therefore be interpreted as: it was an accurate and even humiliating blow to Russia and Putin from the two levels of material to spirituality! Therefore, it is inevitable that Kiev will be bombed again.
One: Ukraine's counterattack achieved substantial results and regained the strategic location bonus Mann - making Russian more embarrassing.
The second: The Nord Stream pipeline leaked (bombed), at least for a certain period of time, Russia lost the bargaining chips to engage in resource games with EU . And resource chips are the ones Putin can do the best, even the most powerful.
The third: Crimea Bridge, Russia's characterization is civil infrastructure, regardless of whether it assumes the role of a supply line or not, it means that Russia defines Ukraine as a "terrorist action."
, you will find that if Russia does not fight back at this moment, it will inevitably fall into greater difficulties or be passive. But at the same time, this bombing of Kiev also seems to be aware that the situation is quite unfavorable to Russia.
As for whether it is imported into a dead end because of this? The author holds an observation because introducing the situation into a dead end is the most unfavorable option for Russia, which means that this conflict will continue for a longer time. And for the Ukrainian people, it also means a greater disaster - it seems that it is only beneficial to the United States.
Therefore, comprehensive analysis is probably a "irrational" revenge act by Russia. However, as soon as this start begins, it means that the probability of conflict escalation soars, so it still needs to be observed.
But no matter what, the author looks forward to this Russian-Ukrainian conflict, returning to rationality, and ending as soon as possible!