According to Taiwan media reports, more than two months left before the "nine-in-one" election vote in Taiwan, various polls have been released. Ke Zhien's camp recently commissioned the Kuomintang think tank "Taiwan Policy Research Foundation" to conduct a poll. The results showed that Kaohsiung citizens were 69.3% satisfied with Chen Chimai's political performance and 20.4% were dissatisfied with Chen Chimai's support, Chen Chimai's support was 47.5% and Ke Zhien's support was 25.1%. In terms of optimism, Chen Chimai has 68%, while Ke Zhien has only 6.9%. Chen Chi-mai and Ke Zhien have the most disparity between the ages of 30 and 39. Taiwanese scholars bluntly said that many of these people were those who took action to strike South Korea two years ago and would not turn in just two years.
Picture source Taiwan media
It is worth noting that 54.4% of those who voted for , Han Kuo-yu in the 2018 mayoral election, currently 54.4% support Ke Zhien, and 20.1% will turn to Chen Chi-mai. 7.5% of the mayor vote for Chen Chimai in 2018 will be transferred to Ke Zhien, and 83.1% support Chen Chimai.
Further analyze the age of supporters. Ke Zhien has the highest support rate between 40 and 49 and over 70 years old, and the most difficult group to increase votes is between 30 and 39 years old, only 7.8%. On the contrary, Chen Chimai has obvious advantages in the 30 to 39-year-old ethnic group, with support as high as 52%, while another major ethnic group in the 60 to 69 years old, as high as 58.3%.
Regarding the dilemma of exploring young votes, Ke Zhien's camp said that there is still a lot of room for hard work to convince the young generation. Ke will not give up, and will continue to win the recognition of the young generation, and will also strive to break the stereotype of young people for the Kuomintang , and talk more directly with young people to reverse the stereotype of young people about the Kuomintang candidates.
Ke Zhien said that the Kuomintang think tanks have polls from various counties and cities every month to grasp the real polls in each constituency. Compared with the poll results in August, the polls in September have improved by about 7%. The polls show that the results and progress are the same as their recent feelings about entering the constituency. Through joint activities with city council members and various activities, we all feel the support of voters for themselves and are no longer so unfamiliar with Ke Zhien. Ke pointed out that think tanks have internal referral polls every month, which is to reflect real public opinion. However, some of the various polls in online media now have high error values. I believe that the polls in think tanks are credible, but polls are all reference values. It is the most important thing at this stage to be able to grasp which areas need to be strengthened.
Chen Qimai's team said that the internal polls of other institutions did not respond to the situation because they did not see the complete information. At this stage, they are focusing on municipal affairs. Welfare, construction, public services, etc. are the responsibilities of the mayor. The governance does not involve ethnic groups, parties, or age. They solve problems one by one, such as villages, houses or military villages, etc., which have accumulated over the past long-term problems. Chen Chimai responded to the poll in a joint interview with the parliament this morning and said that citizens will be a real team.
Liu Zhengshan, director of the Institute of Political Science at Sun Yat-sen University, Taiwan, analyzed that Chen Chimai far surpassed his opponent in several poll support levels, mainly by fighting for two years in his current position for four years, and the relevant political achievements gradually achieved, which all voters could see; secondly, Chen overlapped with the epidemic during his tenure, and had good reviews on the epidemic prevention performance, and no corruption cases were reported. Even if there were casualties in the fire in the city in the city, the city government team would quickly stop the bleeding. Although municipal issues such as electricity jump and sinkhole have been criticized by the blue camp, they have not formed strong public opinion pressure. The city government has won TSMC to invest in Kaohsiung, and this big bonus is far beyond other small points.
Liu Zhengshan bluntly stated that Kaohsiung had been dismissed by-elections of South Korea and mayor by-election more than two years ago, and many voters had lost interest in the blue camp. Ke Zhien came to Kaohsiung to run for the election. The tasks and positioning assigned to him have always been unclear. He could not play the role of a hen and could not win the attention of young people. In addition, the overall environment is different from Han Kuo-yu's trip to Kaohsiung four years ago, and it is difficult for the Blue Camp to focus on its efforts. Many of the 30-39-year-old ethnic groups who support Chen Chimai were supporters of South Korea two years ago and would not turn in just two years. For Ke Zhien, it is possible to shorten the gap and fight to reverse the victory unless he can regain the strength of the blue camp within just two months before the election. (Editor: Fang Yanyan)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-