Ukraine has been in a big light in the past two days.
Especially on October 9 local time, although Russian President Putin stated that the bombing of the Crimea Bridge was a "terrorist attack", and pointed out that the "the author, executor and customizer of the case are the Ukrainian intelligence department" .
But in the view of Kiev , it can destroy Russia's important infrastructure and obtain "personal certification" by Putin, which is the greatest recognition of Ukrainian intelligence and special operations capabilities. Many senior Ukrainian officials, including Ukrainian President Zelensky , did not hide their compliment on social media platforms at all.
But what I never expected was that under the surface of Ukraine, there is actually the deep worry of the Zelensky government . How can I see
?
10, according to Belarus Capital Television, Chairman of the Belarusian National Border Defense Commission Anatoly Rabo revealed in an interview that Ukraine destroyed almost all the bridges on the Ukraine-Baibo Border and laid a large number of mines on the border roads, even including three rows of anti-tank mines.
This is not over yet, because in addition to the original border guards, Ukraine has also sent more territorial defense forces, "They target the border guards of Belarus, fire in the air from time to time, and carry out aerial reconnaissance for a long time." has already made Belarus feel pressure.
. Just 4 days ago, President Bai Lukashenko pointed out at the Military Security Conference of the Ministry of National Defense that Ukraine has gathered 215,000 soldiers to the Ukraine-Baibo border and is preparing to build a shooting position. This is undoubtedly an act of "border provocation" .
Interestingly, on the evening of October 8, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Belarus also submitted a diplomatic note to Ukrainian Ambassador to Belarus Kizim, which included the content of "The Kiev regime plans to attack Belarusian territory" . However, this statement was strongly opposed by Kizim at the time.
Various signs indicate that Ukraine has a strong sense of defense against Belarus .
Although Lukashenko recently said that although White side participated in Russia's special military operation in Ukraine, it did not send troops to Ukraine , nor would it send troops to kill anyone, but was helping Ukrainian refugees in need of relief.
In Kiev's view, since Belarus has admitted to participating in Russia's special military operations, it is the enemy of Ukraine. No matter what reason Lukashenko is currently doing, whether he complains or pretends to be simple, he cannot regain the trust of Kiev.
On the contrary, when the situation before has almost no room for Lukashenko to "mount a fence" , if Russia is defeated, then Belarus is likely to face the Polish and Ukraine's troops, and even be pushed back by Western and domestic opposition forces.
In view of this, no one in can guarantee that Lukashenko will not bet on "family and life" , and decisively sent troops to attack when necessary and cooperated with Moscow without reservation.
Don't forget, after Crimea Bridge was bombed, all parties predicted that Russia would make a military response, which led to further escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. In response, Russian media claimed that Putin would make a decision on after careful consideration, and the Russian side will hold Russian Federal Security Conference on on the 10th, and a result will naturally be discussed at that time.
does it require Belarusian cooperation? No one can say that. After all, the White side has repeatedly mentioned the provocative behavior of the Ukrainian army on the White-Ukrainian border and the so-called diplomatic notes on "Kiev's plan to attack White-Terminal territory". seems to be laying the groundwork for possible subsequent military operations to achieve the effect of famous divisions.
As expected, Lukashenko and Putin have reached an agreement to form and deploy regional joint forces within two days, which may add more uncertainty to the war situation in Russia and Ukraine.
Of course, Belarus is just a hidden worry. What Zelensky government is most worried about at present is not the pressure from the front line, but the "hidden arrow" suddenly shot from behind.
The day before the Crimea Bridge was bombed, Turkey Presidential spokesman Kalin revealed to the US media CNN that negotiations on the situation in Russia and Ukraine "will likely resume at some time." Although the negotiations partly involve Ukraine, the key is that "the hope of reaching a new agreement between Russia and the Western world."
Note that Zelensky just ordered the implementation of the decision of the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Committee, that is, is definitely not possible to negotiate with Russian President Putin . But in a blink of an eye, Türkiye, as a member of NATO and an important mediator of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, ruled that "negotiations will be resumed." Has been approved by the Kiev regime?
What’s more interesting is that this does not seem to be wishful thinking from Turkey. US National Security Council Strategic Communication Coordinator Kirby suddenly stated on the 9th, claiming that the situation in Ukraine should be found through diplomatic channels.
Immediately afterwards, Turkish media broke the news again that Turkish is planning to organize negotiations between Russia and the West, and the relevant suggestions of have even been submitted to Washington through diplomatic channels, including setting the negotiation location in the Turkish capital Istanbul - Russia and Ukraine's last few negotiations were held here.
As relevant news continues to be disclosed, Kiev will naturally feel panicked, is afraid that the negotiations will be completely dominated by Russia and the West, which will eventually lead to the Zelensky government becoming a "sacrifice".
Note that Türkiye’s idea for this negotiation is that the four Western countries, including Russia , France , Germany and Britain , , United Kingdom , , Western countries, did not mention Ukraine at all. In addition, the idea of has been positively evaluated by "influential people in Washington" , and it is only a matter of convincing Russia to participate.
. Among these four countries, although the United States has the greatest strength in aiding Ukraine, the Biden administration has just been "backs" from the Gulf countries. No one can say whether it will make "OPEC+" increase crude oil production by in exchange for "OPEC+" to increase crude oil production in in order to avoid a loss in the midterm election.
As for France , it is also overwhelmed by energy issues. Its domestic refinery and oil depot have been on strike for 10 consecutive days. A violent incident occurred at a gas station, resulting in a driver being stabbed multiple times. Just two days ago, large-scale protests broke out in Paris against NATO and EU .
German life is not easy. The Scholz government just launched the 200 billion energy subsidy plan, , but it was strongly opposed within the EU, claiming that it promotes inflation and undermines the unified EU market. But if the subsidy road is blocked, Berlin may have to re-choose "North Stream". The situation in
UK is even more complicated. Although he is still insisting on aiding Ukraine and anti-Russia, the current Prime Minister Tras has no ability to deal with the UK's economic problems and the energy crisis. Its support rate is only 13%, far lower than the 43% of the opposition Labor leader Starmer, and 53% of respondents believe that Tras should resign.
In other words, the United States, Britain, France and Germany have difficulties. These are not only the reasons for their negotiations with Russia, but also conditions that Russia can use. Once the five countries sit at the negotiating table, in order to reach an exchange of interests, Ukraine may serve as a bargaining chip for the West.
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