Source: Taiwan Strait Network
Huang Jie
Taiwan Strait Network February 7th (Reporter Lin Lianjin of the Straits Newspaper/Taiwan Media/Photo) Last night, the highly-watched voting results of the revocation case of non-party Kaohsiung City Councilman Huang Jie was released. The votes agreed to the revocation were 55,261, which did not reach the threshold of 72,892, and it was less than the 65,391 votes who did not agree to the revocation, which meant that the "revocation" failed.
Regarding the failure of "stop the war", Pang Jianguo, a professor at the Chinese University of Culture in Taiwan, said in an interview with a reporter from the Guide last night that it is related to factors such as the voter structure, voters' impression of Huang Jie, and the mobilization of blue and green resources. This time, the DPP's full support is an important reason why Huang Jie can survive the crisis.
The success of "Slaying the King (Former Taoyuan City Councillor Wang Haoyu)" was regarded as the first victory of the Kuomintang's "anti-Lai Pig" and igniting the public's confidence in "slaying the victory" and even regarding the "slaying the victory" as the outpost of the Kuomintang's "anti-Lai Pig Referendum" in August. Now that the failure of the recall case will affect the Kuomintang's subsequent "anti-Lai Pig" actions?
In Pang Jianguo's view, Huang Jie is not so distinctly equated with "pro-laid pig". "Laid pig" is related to the health of the people on the island and is a major livelihood issue. The people's attitudes towards "people" and "things". Therefore, how the "anti-laid pig" trend will develop depends on the mobilization and operation of the Kuomintang. Liu Chenfang, the leader of the "Stop the Witness" group, also said that although the "Stop the Witness" was not successful, it does not mean that the "anti-Lai Pig" will not succeed.
1 The DPP has devoted its entire party to the PoWang Jie
0 The Taiwan authorities' "Election Conference" released relevant data on the evening of the 6th. The total number of voters in the revocation case of Huang Jie, a member of the 3rd 9th Election District ( Fengshan District ) of Kaohsiung City Council was 291,566, with 121,110 votes, with a turnout rate of 41.54%, with 126,652 votes, of which 65,391 votes were dissatisfied with the revocation, accounting for 54.20%; 55,261 votes were agreed to the revocation, accounting for 45.80%, and 458 votes were invalid. Among the valid recall votes, the number of votes that do not agree to the recall is more than the number of votes that agree to the recall.
According to relevant Taiwan regulations, the number of voters in Fengshan District is 291,566. If you want to pass the recall threshold, the number of votes to agree must reach 25% of the total number, that is, 72,892 votes, and the number of votes must be higher than the votes that do not agree to the recall, and the removal case can only be established. However, the results of the "Stop the Clash" voting showed that the vote of consent did not meet the threshold, and it was also less than the vote of disagreement, which declared the failure of the "Stop the Clash", which means that Huang Jie retained the position of Kaohsiung City Councillor.
Pang Jianguo said that he was not surprised by the failure of "stop the war". He analyzed that, first of all, the voter structure in Fengshan District is that green is greater than blue, and the recall case is difficult.
Second, after "defeating the king" passed, it brought a sense of crisis to the DPP. Therefore, this time Tsai Ing-wen ordered "to defend Huang Jie". Subsequently, the DPP used a large number of political resources and devoted the whole party to protect Huang Jie, which is also the key reason why Huang Jie was able to pass the test. Therefore, after the voting results came out last night, Huang Jie cried and thanked Tsai Ing-wen.
Third, Huang Jie is not much the same as Wang Haoyu. She is "likable" and is not as disliked by the whole people as Wang Haoyu, which arouses public anger. In addition, Pang Jianguo also believes that Huang Jie was out of the question of "Lay Pig" and did not express his opinion, but he was not so clear that he could equate with "Lay Pig" and failed to inspire some voters to come out to vote for "stop the victory".
Why does the DPP support Huang Jie? Pang Jianguo said that, first, it is to block the Kuomintang’s “anti-Lai Pig” offensive, and second, it is to plan the 2022 Kaohsiung City Council Members’ election. The island media person Zheng Shicheng also mentioned that the reason why the DPP strives to protect Huang Jie is not only to curb the recall fires launched by the Kuomintang, but also to prevent Huang Jie, who is already well-known across Taiwan, from running for elections with "sympathy votes" after being removed, threatening the green camp votes in the 2022 Kaohsiung City Council Members' Election and even the 2024 "Legislator" election.
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When the result of the "stop victory" was released, the Kuomintang stated that although it failed to eliminate the public opinion representatives who disregarded the people's food safety, the citizens had fully expressed their dissatisfaction.
KMT also emphasized that during the "Stop the Czech", the first and second phases of joint signing were passed. Obviously, Fengshan voters have accumulated a rebound in the question of Huang Jie's political questions. However, in the third phase of the voting, the DPP authorities used political resources to suppress public opinion and devoted the ruling party to fully escort it, which also makes people question the improper operation of administrative forces, including the "Stop the Czech" spokesperson was "checked" by the police, the "Stop the Czech" promulgation board was urgently demolished, and some neighbors did not receive voting notices at the last moment of the voting. The people will see the various actions of the ruling party, and the counterattack wave will not stop.
After Tsai Ing-wen expressed his statement on the "stop of the war" action that he could not sit idly by", the DPP went from senior party affairs, mayor, "legislator" to city councillors to mobilize successively to accompany Huang Jie to sweep the streets and build momentum. Even Wu Yinong, chairman of the Taipei Party Committee of the DPP, and "legislator" for more than a day, also made a special trip south to help Huang Jie. The green camp is so "a large army is approaching", Su Weishuo, a doctor in the "anti-Lai Pig", sarcastically said that he thought he was electing the leader of Taiwan.
Pang Jianguo said that in the "stop of the victory" offense and defense, compared with the DPP's full support, the performance of the Kuomintang, especially in the voting stage, gives people a feeling of "struggle but not doing all the effort".
In fact, after Tsai Ing-wen's order, the "stop victory" has become a blue-green party duel. Looking at the Kuomintang’s “stop victory” action, although it worked very hard, it still made people feel that the election was cold. At the "Jie Stop Night" campaign the day before yesterday, although Kuomintang Chairman Jiang Qichen and Zhao Shaokang, who had just returned to the Kuomintang, joined hands to make a short film, calling on voters to vote for the removal of Huang Jie, and even members of the "Jie Stop" group kneeled down to urge votes. However, these still cannot compete with the DPP's full outflow.
Kaohsiung CityFormer News Director Wang Qianqiu also mentioned that at the end of the "stop the victory", he did feel that the party department did not want the atmosphere of the blue and green showdown to continue to rise and go to extremes. Compared with the DPP's full efforts to save Huang Jie, she hopes that the Kuomintang Central Committee will help more in other battles in the future.
3 has urged many "anti-Lai Pig" votes?
Originally, the "defeat of the king" was successful in January, the Kuomintang was motivated, and the confidence in "defeat of the victory" increased greatly. In early February, a joint signing operation of the "defeat of the Rai Porcelain" (referring to the removal of the "defeat of the Rai Porcelain Legislators") was launched. The joint signing of the "anti-lai Porcelain referendum" was also progressing smoothly. Now, what impact will the failure of the "defeat of the Rai Porcelain" have brought?
Pang Jianguo said that Wang Haoyu was dismissed, which was like a "fire" burning up, hoping to be more prosperous. However, now there is a feeling of "fire being extinguished". The failure of the "stop of the war" will have a negative offsetting effect on the joint signing of the "Chopin Committee". As for the "anti-Lai-Pig Referendum", Pang Jianguo said that the "anti-Lai-Pig Referendum" is still different from the "stop of the war". "Lai-Pig" is related to the health of the people, and the "anti-Lai-Pig" on the island has high public opinion, and it is still "popular spirit is available". Next, it depends on how the Kuomintang mobilizes.
Last night, a blue camp person analyzed that last year, the Kaohsiung mayor's by-election, Li Meizhen of the Kuomintang won 33,561 votes, with a vote rate of 27.67%, and Chen Chimai of the Democratic Progressive Party won 82,698 votes, with a vote rate of 68.19%. This time, the Democratic Progressive Party mobilized from Tsai Ing-wen to the grassroots level, and still only received 65,000 votes. It was not as good as the last by-election. The Democratic Progressive Party's support has dropped significantly, and the Kuomintang has rebounded from 30,000 votes to 55,000 votes this time, which is also considered a gain.
Kuomintang Kaohsiung City Councillor Huang Shaoting said that even though the entire DPP mobilized strongly and all elites were released, it still received only 65,000 votes of disagreement, indicating that the "anti-retaliation vote" proposed by the Green Camp did not gain the recognition of the public. It can be said that "winned face and lost the inner world." In this "stop of the victory", the Kuomintang successfully equated the "stop of the victory" with "disagreement of the victory" with "disagreement of Tsai Ing-wen's opening of the Lai Pig", which resonated greatly at the grassroots level in society and indeed has urged many "anti-rai Pig" votes.
Wang Qianqiu said that although it was a "little shrimp" vs. a "big whale", even if you win such a result, you will still be honored even if you lose. For the Kuomintang, the number of votes agreed does not equal the support of the blue camp, but it also shows that the atmosphere of disagreement with Tsai Ing-wen and distrust of the Democratic Progressive Party has been warmed up.
Liu Chenfang, the leader of the "Stop the Clash" group, also said last night that although the "Stop the Clash" was not successful, it does not mean that the "anti-Lai Pig" will not succeed, because "people's health cannot compromise, and health cannot be divided into blue and green." Wang Mingzheng, the initiator of the "Clash of the Clash", also foresaw the next step, and will inherit the experience of "Clash of the Clash" to "anti-Lai Pig, and cancel the Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai-Lai
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