Do you still remember a property in Hangzhou that has 10,000 people?
To be honest, if I don’t look through the data, I can’t tell whether it is Sunac City, Poly Rongxin and Guangchenyue.
They are the "only two" of 10,000 people who have won new games this year, and the lottery time is still in March. According to the 16 "10,000 people" records in 2019, it is a bit difficult to catch up with the progress in the remaining time this year.
The Hangzhou real estate market, which lacks "ten thousand people", always feels that something is missing.
You say the real estate market is hot, a lot of official transaction data can indeed prove it, but there are always some people who will close their eyes and question the fraud of data.
It’s different when there is “Ten Thousands of People Shake”. These lemon essences will force themselves to say, “When is it, what do people who still buy houses think?” It is an indirect recognition that the real estate market is quite hot.
After all, according to the standard of three to four hundred yuan per navy, the cost of raising ten thousand people is really high, and no developer is willing to spend this in vain.
In the past two years, it has gradually become a habit for home buyers and even evolved into a guide to home buying.
Novice in buying a house doesn’t know where to buy it, so it’s right to buy it with “Ten Thousand People Shake”; there are novices in investment and have no idea how to start real estate projects, so it’s very stable to start at “Ten Thousand People Shake”.
html In April, the transaction of second-hand houses exceeded 10,000 yuan, and the transaction of new houses hit a record high in the same period in the past three years. Even foreclosed houses with a level of tens of millions were quickly sold one by one.Why is the real estate market so popular, why is there still a "ten thousand people" outage?
First of all, you need to have a demand, no matter whether you need to buy a house or invest. Judging from the transaction data, both of these demands in Hangzhou are still in a prosperous period.
If the number of home buyers has not decreased, then there must be more choices.
After the epidemic, Hangzhou relaxed the approval conditions for commercial housing pre-sale certificates, and developers happened to take this opportunity to speed up the sales pace.
opens one day earlier, which means that it can reduce financial costs for one day and stabilize cash flow.
So as the "gold, three, silver and four" have passed, the pace of opening new houses is still like the year-end performance, one after another.
According to rough statistics, from early April to the present, the average number of new houses in Hangzhou is about 2,800 per week. There are 20 to 30 properties registered in a single day. If you don’t pay attention to the real estate market often, you can’t recognize the name of the property.
And as the inverted difference in housing prices of first- and second-hand houses decreases, second-hand houses have returned to the eyes of home buyers.
In addition to 20 new houses that require forced existing house sales, second-hand houses have the advantages of existing houses as a whole, as well as more mature supporting facilities and a clearer school district, which cannot be surpassed by new houses.
and the time cost waiting for delivery is included. Even if the total price of a second-hand house is a little higher, it is completely acceptable.
And the government’s control over the second-hand housing market is not as strict as new housing, and the landlord’s sales price can be adjusted freely. The occasional price war is very interesting.
price limit standard is increased. The apartment type is getting bigger and bigger, and the chances of pure new properties being favored by tens of thousands of people are getting smaller and smaller.
It can be said that it will be difficult for Hangzhou to have a brand new "Ten Thousand People Shakes" next.
To date, Hangzhou has produced a total of 26 new "Ten Thousand People Shake" projects. Except for the three projects of Vientiane City Xingfuli, Sunac City, Rongxin Poly and Guangchen Yue, the remaining 23 are sold out. Most of the "Ten Thousand People Shake" real estate projects born in
Excellent Blue Collar Show, Rongxin Lantian, China Railway Construction West Lake International City and other projects were delivered, and some people immediately fulfilled their dream of "making millions" at that time.
htmlIn 019, the main force of "Ten Thousand People Shake" became "long-term hoarding" and "policy-based red market".Golden Hezhuang, Tianducheng Binqin Apartment, Longhu River and City... These old buildings at the bottom of the box have become popular in the real estate market because they have failed to break through the price limit.
The happiness of Vientiane City in the north of the city just happens to ride on the east wind rising north of the city, and the Jinshanghe Chenzhang is a benefit under the existing house sales policy.
In the first half of this year, I was still chewing on the remaining inventory for 19 years and there was no new output.
Therefore, in the past six months, "Ten Thousands of People Shake" is like a mobile red flag, spinning in the three plates of Xingfuli, Sunac City, and Heguang Chenyue.
However, as long as the property market moves forward, new opportunities will emerge.
The new policy on double limits has given rise to another inverted reversal: the price difference between new houses and future new houses.
This mechanism will disclose housing prices in advance in advance, and then leave the option entirely to the buyer. From the current perspective, housing prices of the same type of land remain the same or rise.
The government sends a signal to home buyers that house prices will not fall through price limits. The sector that is already very popular will be even more popular, and those with large price differences between new houses and new houses in the future will also be popular.
With this, there are high probability that there will be new areas with tens of thousands of people, including Gouzhuang, Dajiang East, Sandun North and Future Science and Technology City, which all have a rich lottery base.
1) Gouzhuang's latest price limit is 30,500 yuan/㎡, which is 1,500 yuan/㎡ higher than the high-rise buildings of Dexin Canal Yunzhuang and Rongxin Dafa Hongyang Qinlan in the area.
The highest number of registered households in Yunzhuang, Canal is 7469, and Qinlan is 7351, which is a little short of breaking through 10,000 people.
Unfortunately, Qinlan's senior management has been sold out, and Xingfuli has been closed this year, and the remaining Canal Yunzhuang is invincible and has a great chance.
2) Dajiangdong's latest price limit is 19,000 yuan/㎡, which is 1,200 yuan/㎡ higher than the current price.
needless to say, as long as there are small apartments that will appear, there will be 10,000 people who are stable and the scale of this market will be large, and it will occupy the first choice for Dajiangdong lottery for a long time. If other new platforms do not have super advantages, it will be difficult to shake.
3) Sandun North, I mean Sandun North, where the price limit is still 28,100 yuan/㎡. The latest price-limited land in the region has not been listed yet, and housing prices are likely to rise in the future.
But no matter whether it rises or not, the existing house sales project that will be launched in the market next - Jianfa Jinhui Sandun North Project is very likely to be shaken by tens of thousands of people.
Lin'an and Fuyang's price limits are close to 30,000 yuan/m2. There is no reason not to grab the main urban area of West Lake with a price of 20,000 yuan. Its inverted difference advantage must be found in the entire Hangzhou.
4) The latest price limit for the core area of the Future Science and Technology City is 36,100 yuan/㎡, which is 1,600 yuan/㎡ higher than the previous price limit for the fine decoration of 34,500 yuan/㎡.
The best record for the lottery of Vanke Sky City in Metro is 8933 households, and it is a shortcut for tens of thousands of people to shake. It is similar to Sunac City, both of which are TOD subways. As long as there are low-to-large housing prices, it can be said that it is not difficult to get "10,000 people".
Future Science and Technology City 2.0 Hangzhou Language Lanting is also a potential stock. The number of registered users at the last opening was 4,784, and the price of fine decoration was 29,000 yuan/㎡, which was 7,100 yuan/㎡ lower than the price limit in the core area!
Hangyu Lanting is about to be liquidated. Whether it can hit a new high depends on the last batch of senior executives.
In addition to these new inverted markets, the old markets in Hangzhou that have been "stolen for a long time" are also potential stocks.
"Dove King" Ocean Xixi Mansion, the Dajiang Star that "covered until moldy"... They may be "golden Hezhuang" or "hujingju". Before the price of
was released, no matter how much it was, it was empty talk.
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Article source: Hangzhou real estate market trends
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