If you want to talk about which fish is the most popular in recent years, California bass is undoubtedly the top traffic at present. Although the price of adult fish is still at a low level, the enthusiasm for investing seedlings in the country remains unabated, which shows the vitality of the California bass industry. However, at the beginning of this year, a tycoon cold wave came. Related seedling companies generally reported that due to the low water temperature, the current egg laying volume of parent fish has declined severely, and the supply of water splashes and North Korean seedlings on the market is tight, and the low temperature also affects seedling cultivation in external ponds, and the survival rate and growth rate are facing great challenges.
Recently, in response to the current situation of seedling companies and the enthusiasm of farmers to invest seedlings, the 2021 California bass market market and the forecast of seedling volume, we have conducted in-depth exchanges and discussions with many industry veterans. Let us listen to their unique analysis and insights. (Included in California bass seedling purchase information)
Guangdong Liangshi Aquatic Seeds Co., Ltd. Chairman Liang Jianhui
With the upgrading of domestic aquatic products consumption, the market consumption of California bass has increased year by year. California bass breeding has also developed from several professional towns in Foshan area of Guangdong Province and the Taihu Lake Ring District of East China to more than 20 provinces across the country. After more than 20 years of development history, this fish still has huge room for future.
In the past 2020, fish prices slowly fell, and breeding profits were compressed. However, relatively speaking, all links of the entire seedling, feed, circulation, processing and other industries are becoming more mature. At the same time, the concepts and technologies of farmers are also constantly improving, and the industry will also develop in a more stable and healthy direction. In the future, with the further growth of the scale of California bass breeding, more and more outstanding enterprises and peripheral funds will also join in to jointly promote the development and growth of the industry.
At present, the national demand for bass seedlings in California exceeds 50 billion. We strive to achieve a coverage rate of 20%-30%. Therefore, we also need to integrate some high-quality resources in the industry and strive to achieve the beautiful wish of 10 billion high-quality varieties. We have been focusing on innovation and promotion of California bass for ten years, investing millions of yuan each year in technology research and development. In the past two years, we have focused on promoting the new variety of "Youyuan No. 3". This year, we plan to produce about 1.5 billion water splashes, with 80 million to 100 million seedlings. The sales market has covered all the core breeding areas of the country.
In the future, we will also follow the principle of "focusing on the aquatic seed industry and casting a brand in science and technology", strengthen scientific research investment in the development of good seeds, biotechnology, etc., work hard on seedling quality and production scale, and establish a complete supply system for Youzhou No. 3 good seeds through complementary cooperation across the country, and at the same time, continuously upgrade the after-sales service system and quality to provide more breeding friends with high-quality seedlings and ensure the breeding benefits.
Foshan Nanhai Bairong Aquatic Products Co., Ltd. Market Service Department Duan Chengjia
In recent years, California Water splash production has gradually increased. At present, it is difficult to have huge profits in breeding in the past few years. However, the quality of parents in the market is of different quality and low standard scale, which still determines that this fish will maintain a relatively good price range. has been at a low level since the current adult fish market this year, but the enthusiasm for investing seedlings has not diminished. It can be seen that the overall market demand this year will still be higher than last year. The main growth areas will be concentrated in the central and northern China markets, as well as the traditional four major fish main breeding areas in the South China market.
For bass breeding, the national breeding trend is still gradually rising, and the high threshold for breeding costs and certain technical bottlenecks determine that market customers are particularly cautious in choosing high-quality seedlings. Bairong California bass seedling breeding is the first in the industry to adopt indoor workshop seedling breeding methods. It is less affected by weather factors. In addition, our company has invested heavily in the layout of California bass seedlings in recent years, and has formed an integrated production model of parental self-spring, cultivation, breeding and standard-coarse production. It is currently progressing smoothly. Our company's Bairong California bass No. 1 has obvious advantages in growth speed and disease resistance. The overall number is above 40%. The market recognition is constantly improving. This year, our company plans to place the total number of Bairong Bay No. 1 seedlings in the market is expected to be 1.5 billion water splashes and 100 million standard seedlings.
For customers who are currently investing in seedlings in the low temperature period, the most important technical point is whether the seedlings are stressed or not in the pond, and the strength of the anti-stress ability. On the one hand, is the seedling germplasm. How to choose a manufacturer that wants to continue to grow in the seedling industry requires customers to think carefully and screen; on the other hand, on the technical side, the temperature difference, water quality difference, and seedling physical fitness are usually dominated by three factors.
Foshan Guangman Aquatic Seedling Farm General Manager Zeng Qingping
After New Year's Day, Guangdong was affected by the strongest cold wave, with the temperature dropping sharply by 10℃, and the low temperature has continued to this day. This brings a huge challenge to the laying of eggs in California bass fish. At present, only the braids in the greenhouse can produce a small amount of eggs. Compared with the previous high temperature, the egg laying volume dropped by 40%-50%, and to a certain extent, it affects the quality of seedlings.
According to first-tier market information, from October last year to the present, the survival rate of standard seedlings in California is generally low, mainly manifested as viral infection. Most of them start to mature or die suddenly until 5-6 and 6-7 days, but this year the success rate of farmers who have sheds is relatively high. I think there are reasons for climate abnormalities, and there is also the fact that California bass breeding has been very popular in the past two or three years, and the breeding area has surged. Once large-scale and intensive breeding is developed, the risk of virus cross-infection increases, and climate change leads to disease outbreaks.
In terms of seedling investment, Guangdong is the earliest region in the country to invest seedling investment, and the current seedling investment rate is predicted to be about 30%. Since Guangdong's fish prices remained at 7.5-8 yuan/jin for a long time some time ago, the market has recovered in the past two days. The fish prices have been raised to 10 yuan/jin, but it has decreased by 2-3 yuan/jin year-on-year. The low fish prices have led to a large inventory on the market, which has affected the pace of the next round of seedling investment and the enthusiasm of farmers to invest.
In addition, because the success rate of seedling cultivation at this stage is relatively low, farmers who plan to release seedlings will be more cautious. Some people are still waiting for the opportunity to invest seedlings. The weather forecast shows that there are still a few cold air before the New Year, and the peak period of seedling investment may occur after the New Year. Overall, whether the amount of seedlings invested this year will increase or decrease depends on the price of adult fish in California later. If the sales cannot be opened during the Spring Festival due to the epidemic, the amount of seedlings invested may be lower than in previous years.
For the company itself, the production plan for California bass seedlings in 2021 will increase by more than 20%. Not long ago, a new large customer with a water surface was developed. The current sales market has covered two lakes, Jiangsu, Fujian, Jiangxi, Henan, Yunnan, Guizhou and Sichuan.
General Manager of Guangzhou Dequan Fisheries Co., Ltd. Deng Deji
In recent days (mid-January), many seedling farms have basically been suspended, including us. The water temperature in Guangzhou has dropped to 5℃-6℃ (shallow pond). You need to wait until the temperature rises before making seedlings again. Last year, my seedling farm could produce 5-6 million to 6 million water splashes a day, or even 10 million, but this year it could not achieve half of the output last year. At present, the entire market's seedling supply is very limited. The market in Guangdong Province is short of seedlings, and a small number of them are in the markets of other provinces. The price of splashes has been stable at around 130 yuan/10,000 yuan, and the high price will last longer than last year. Our seedlings are mainly sent to Guangdong, Guangxi and Sichuan. Now, three or four batches of seedlings have been marked in Guangdong's coarse field. The survival rate of seedlings in some areas has reached 30%-40%, especially the success rate of having a shed will be higher.
This year, based on customer orders and its own production capacity, we tentatively produce about 20 million North Korean seedlings and 500 million to 600 million water splashes, which is an increase compared with last year. Among them, Guangzhou Zengcheng has always been our key market. In the past two years, traditional grass carp and rofia breeding have made meager profits, which has forced farmers to turn to high-value varieties such as California bass. It is precisely because they are emerging breeding varieties that everyone is more cautious in the selection of seedlings and daily management. The stocking density is generally between 5,000-6,000 tails/mu, and the breeding profit can range from 5,000 yuan to tens of thousands of yuan. The breeding benefits of early fish production in August and September are higher.
In the past two months, Guangdong farmers have begun to invest seedlings one after another, but fish fry is prone to water mold disease after being put into the pond recently, especially the success rate of seedlings in outer ponds is very low. Therefore, it is recommended that farmers in outer ponds should postpone the time for seedlings and wait until the temperature stabilizes before investing. Farmers with sheds can invest seedlings at any time.
Foshan Xinrong Aquatic Products Co., Ltd. General Manager Fu Weidong
Recently, due to the cold wave, the California bass seedling cultivation in Waitang has had a great impact, and the survival rate and growth rate are facing great challenges, but the impact on the factory seedling cultivation is not great. Instead, it has entered a relatively smooth period at this stage. However, the supply of splashes in the Guangdong market is insufficient, and the Waitang seedling farm has basically stopped production, and only a small number of parents in the greenhouse are laying eggs.
Our two companies, Xinrong Aquatic Products and Dongfeng Fisheries, produce Gadefong No. 1 water splash, currently mainly supply local pond farmers in Guangdong (most of which have greenhouses), as well as factory seedling customers in East China, Central China, Sichuan and other regions. At present, there are a lot of increase in the ordering of seedlings this year, and the supply is insufficient due to the cold wave. We have gone through the fifth year of factory seedling cultivation and have been constantly improving our process. Every year, the success rate of seedling cultivation is relatively high in 11 months before winter, from January after winter to before the Chinese New Year, so farmers can avoid the important and seize the opportunity to put it in.
For the California bass seedling market this year, I believe that the benefits of California bass breeding will move towards stable and minor profits, and there will be obvious demand growth in markets such as Guangdong, Henan, Hubei, and Hunan. However, whether the breeding scale grows depends on the survival rate of seedlings. The market demand is there, but the survival rate of seedlings has become a bottleneck restricting the development of the industry. finally reminds the majority of breeders: we should always pay attention to weather changes in the near future, adjust and control the feeding volume, and haste will not be achieved.
Zhuhai Kangyida Biotechnology Co., Ltd. Chairman Dong Yansheng
We currently have 3 California bass seedling breeding bases, namely Zhuhai breeding base, Guangdong Yingdeqinli Cooperation Base, and Hubeishan Cooperation Base. Although there is a cold wave this winter and the low temperature will affect the spawning of fish, our Yingdeqin Carp Breeding Farm has a local factory that provides a large amount of hot water for free for the cultivation and standardization of fish fry, so it is not affected by the cold wave. The cultivation of fish fry is relatively smooth, and the seedling cultivation is about 40%. This year we plan to produce about 300 million casino bass fry, mainly Yuba No. 2.
So far, although there are about 120 million orders from customers in Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan, Hunan, Hubei and Henan, since November 2020, all the water splashes we produce have been cultivated and standardized, and we plan to sell them to the outside world when the weather picks up after the Spring Festival. The market for California bass in the past two years is relatively good and the breeding benefits are also good, but this is not the norm. Businesses should have psychological expectations. It is estimated that the amount of seedlings invested will increase significantly this year, especially in Hunan, Hubei and Henan.
The quantity and quality of California bass seedling breeding has always been a hurdle for the development of California bass breeding. To solve this problem, breakthroughs must be made in seedling cultivation equipment and technology. In view of the current situation, in addition to using industrial waste heat temperature control to cultivate fish fry, we also use intelligent feeding for feeding, and the water quality monitoring system will be put into use later. I believe that should improve the survival rate of customers' seedling breeding. The seedling breeding farm must first select and breed good fish and cultivate healthy and strong fry. At the same time, strengthen technical services for fry after-sales to guide farmers to carry out scientific breeding.
As for Kangyida Company, it can take advantage of the advantages of the Institute of Animal Life Sciences, Business School, Animal Hospital, Breeding Test Base, GMP Animal Medicine Factory, Feed Additive Factory, Aquaculture Water Quality Controller Factory and the past 25 years of experience in aquatic health breeding and disease prevention and control to strengthen research on California bass breeding technology and disease prevention and control, and at the same time provide technical training for customers, actively guide farmers to carry out scientific breeding, and provide supporting products to do a good job in breeding and disease prevention and control. I hope to contribute to the healthy development of California bass breeding in my country!
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