visits Taiwan from to Singapore and from south to north? Are there "blocks" when flying north to South Korea and Japan? "Additional drama" after the visit to Japan and South Korea? Flying from Philippines US military base to Taiwan? Replacement "shrinking interviews"?
Taiwan Culture University professor Qiu Yi posted a message on social media early in the morning on July 31 to advise Pelosi : "It's really weird," he said, when Pelosi " "I may fly to Taiwan to meet with Tsai Ing-wen at any time", Biden 's new coronavirus test result changed from negative to positive again, and it is even more serious! Qiu Yi said: "Biden is calling Pelosi to come back and give Pelosi a way to get off the ladder. Pelosi, a veteran, should understand and turn around."
Pelosi silently boarded the stage on July 30 A US Air Force C-40C transport aircraft with the call sign SPAR19 was tracked by tens of thousands of netizens from San Francisco and Hawaii to Guam . It was not until Pelosi was about to finish her trip in Hawaii that Pelosi's office issued a press release on July 31 stating that the order of Pelosi's visits to the Asia-Pacific region was Singapore, Malaysia , South Korea and Japan. The press release did not mention Taiwan, neither "possible visit to Taiwan" nor "no visit to Taiwan."
Pelosi’s suspense continues.
On Sunday, July 31, 2022, a man used a magnifying glass in front of a newspaper reading column in Beijing to read the " Global Times " report on US House Speaker Pelosi's Asia trip. ( Associated Press picture)
"Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi has left for Asia, but whether she will visit Taiwan is still a mystery." Singapore's "Lianhe Zaobao" said on July 31 that Taiwan's former Democratic Progressive Party "legislator "Guo Zhengliang speculated that Pelosi's first stop was in Singapore, so she "may visit Taiwan from south to north from Southeast Asia" to avoid the Taiwan Strait . If Pelosi travels to Taiwan from Southeast Asia, she may fly from eastern Taiwan to Taipei Songshan Airport, so that she can avoid the more sensitive west coast of the Taiwan Strait and the East China Sea, and avoid a direct collision with mainland China. He said that the advantage of this is that the US aircraft carrier "Reagan" is nearby and can protect Pelosi all the way.
After arriving at Singapore Changi Naval Base on July 22, the "Reagan" appeared again in the South China Sea last week.
It was previously expected that Pelosi would travel south from Japan to Taiwan and then continue her journey to visit Malaysia and Singapore. However, if this route is adopted, it will include a sensitive route through the East China Sea. Taiwan media person Zhang Youhua believes that China’s designation of an exercise area in the Pingtan area of Fujian means that if Pelosi visits Taiwan from south to north, she will not fly to Taiwan from the Taiwan Strait, but will travel from the Philippines and Taiwan via The bus between strait and flies to Taiwan.
However, Guo Zhengliang said that he believed that mainland China would not "make a strong response" because Pelosi may take the route from south to north to Taiwan. He said: "As long as Pelosi gets elected, it will be a sensitive matter."
On July 31, the spokesperson of the People's Liberation Army Air Force announced that the new-generation aerial tanker Yu-20 has been put into training and preparation for the new era. Experts believe that this is a declaration that the People's Liberation Army is fully capable of "reaching the eastern part of Taiwan Island" for combat.
Taiwan's " China Broadcasting News Network " said on the 31st that although Taiwan was not included in the official itinerary announced by Pelosi's office, outsiders expected that she would still have the opportunity to "suddenly visit Taiwan" during the itinerary. For example, after Pelosi ends her trip to Malaysia, she will visit Japan and South Korea. This is the time when she is most likely to land in Taiwan, and the time is expected to be August 2 and 3. DPP "legislator" Wang Dingyu speculated that at present, if Pelosi's visit to Asia does not include Taiwan, "the itinerary does not need to be kept secret to this extent, so looking at it this way, the chance of visiting Taiwan is still high."
Shen Yi, director of the Cyberspace International Governance Research Base at Fudan University, analyzed on Weibo on July 31: "Pelosi took off from Hawaii, and the route was Midway , Wake Island , Marshall Islands , etc. It is clearly visible that according to the schedule, it should be in the direction of Singapore. This wave of planned visits to Taiwan is quite embarrassing. ; The second risk point is when flying north to Singapore, Malaysia, and South Korea and Japan, the middle will naturally pass through the airspace around Taiwan; the third risk point is after the visit to Japan and South Korea is over, whether to add drama when returning; the fourth risk point may be substitutions Shrinking the visit?"
According to a report by France Internationale, sources said that Pelosi "may visit Taiwan via Clark U.S. Air Force Base in the Philippines on August 4" and meet with Tsai Ing-wen in Taipei. On the afternoon of the 5th, his special plane will land at the Yokota U.S. Air Force Base in Tokyo and then meet with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.
(Source: Global Times)
[Editor: Wang Rongfei]
[Source: Global Times]
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