On January 26, 2023, due to the fall in international oil prices, domestic oil prices will begin to adjust after the Spring Festival. However, the actual situation is not a price decline with the fall in international oil prices, but a certain proportion of upward adjustment, that is, a price increase.
According to relevant industry experts and analysis of the current refined oil price adjustment mechanism, domestic oil prices may rise significantly by 200 yuan/ton after the Spring Festival, and diesel and gasoline prices at gas stations across the country will increase.
Domestic oil prices generally refer to the price of Brent crude oil. During the Spring Festival, the market price showed the first high price of 89.09 US dollars per barrel this year, but after that, it began to gradually fall back. The intraday price of
html on January 26 has fallen below $86, with the overall decline this week reaching 1.5%. In other words, the price recovery has not continued as investors expected, which has led to the possibility that prices in the domestic market will rise.
In addition to London Brent, U.S. oil is not doing well. The price of U.S. crude oil futures fell to 80 US dollars per barrel during the session, and was quoted at 80.37 US dollars per barrel on January 26. The overall decline during the Spring Festival was 1.6%.
But friends who are familiar with related fields should know one thing, that is, when our country regulates oil prices, it generally follows the same pace as the international prices of and , that is, they fall and rise at the same time. Why did the decline in international oil prices this time cause the domestic oil prices to rise?
Does this mean that this price adjustment is a unilateral internal adjustment by my country?
Oil price adjustment is actually based on
national regulations. When adjusting oil prices, it must be determined based on international market prices. However, there is actually a premise here, that is, the data sampling period is ten working days of effective market data.
Within these 10 working days, both US oil and London Brent experienced varying degrees of rise and fall. Although the results were both declines, the magnitude did not expand too much. The gap between market data and earlier actual data did not show much, which resulted in the country having to comprehensively determine the price before determining the price.
After this round of price increases, the price of gasoline and diesel per liter may increase by about 0.16 to 0.20 yuan. Combined with the price drop a year ago, the basic price has returned to its original level.
But according to the time cycle, in fact, the date of this oil price adjustment will actually be implemented at 0:00 on February 4, 2023. There are still a few working days in the time cycle, which means that if the market changes again at this time, the oil price may change.
Although the situation of the international market is difficult to determine, based on probability and international market conditions, perhaps decline will become the main tone, which means that the price recovery may change. However, if domestic oil prices drop, there will be no more changes taking into account market stability.
And among the 200 yuan per ton price increase speculated by experts, there is actually a part that should have increased before the Spring Festival but has not yet been increased. This is included in it. People may not need to be too sensitive to price fluctuations.
So how should people deal with the frequent fluctuations in oil prices?
Strategies for coping with oil prices
In fact, many people have suggested before that you should refuel more when the oil price is low, and try to avoid using vehicles after the oil price reaches a high level.
But gasoline or diesel is different from other products. Long-term hoarding has no practical benefits and can only increase the risk of the perpetrator. So how should people respond to oil prices?
Perhaps the only way is to increase productivity and then replenish gasoline or diesel in an orderly manner. Although this is obviously a replica of the previous suggestions, it is just that the weight has changed. If we look at the issue of oil prices rationally, it is essentially a commodity.
The price of goods depends on the market and consumer attitudes. After the premise that the market cannot change is determined, the only thing that can be effectively changed is consumer attitudes. However, it may not be possible to expect companies to proactively approach consumers.
In this state, consumers can only consider increasing their income or changing their expenditure ratio to meet their daily needs for oil. Although this may indeed lead to an increase in the cost of living for car owners, this is only the only way under the premise that new energy is not enough to fully adapt to the social industry.
But from another perspective, perhaps after the oil price rises and the price rise due to changes in energy costs takes shape, the country will also see certain changes, but it may be difficult to say what the effect will be.
Oil prices have affected people's daily travel to a certain extent, and the cost of the transportation industry will also change to varying degrees after changes in oil prices.
Although the overall oil prices have risen and fallen, the increase is greater than the decrease every time, which also makes people more sensitive to price increases.
The development of new energy has indeed led some people to believe that the change in oil prices will mainly fall in the future. However, the adaptability of new energy and product issues have always been matters of concern to people. Until these two premises change, perhaps oil prices will always be a rigid issue in social development.
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