According to the latest news, domestic oil prices may see a sharp rise, because as the new week begins, the price increase of refined oil products is expected to continue to expand. It is the fifth working day of this round of pricing cycle. The change rate of crude oil is 3.98%, and the current expected increase is 260 yuan/ton, which is significantly larger than the previous working day. It is much beyond the red line of price adjustment, and has gradually entered the range of large increases. If the large price increase is implemented, the cost of daily driving for car owners will continue to rise. In addition, since the specific oil price adjustment time is 24:00 on January 3, 2023, the current pricing cycle is already halfway through, which shows that the price adjustment window is getting closer and closer.
Of course, if converted into a liter price, the oil price is expected to increase by 0.21 yuan/liter to 0.24 yuan/liter, which continues to rise compared with the previous several pricing days. For ordinary private cars, it costs 10.5 more to fill a 50-liter tank of gasoline. Yuan -12 yuan, which is a significant increase from last week's expected refueling cost, which means that car owners are initially expected to have further increase in refueling costs. After the first refined oil price adjustment of the New Year is implemented, the domestic retail price limit of gasoline and diesel will show a significant increase, corresponding to the "first increase" in the prices of No. 92, No. 95 gasoline and No. 0 diesel in the new year.
Secondly, as the expected increase in domestic oil prices continues to increase today, the statistical data indicating a new round of oil price adjustment has achieved a "five consecutive rises" trend. Oil prices have maintained an upward trend, and now the latest expected increase has far exceeded the price adjustment red line. In addition, with the current pricing cycle already halfway through, the cumulative increase in refined oil prices is predicted to exceed 250 yuan/ton, which is much higher than the 50 yuan/ton price adjustment red line stipulated in my country's "Petroleum Price Management Measures", and since the beginning of the pricing cycle, the oil price is expected to continue to rise. With reference to the current predicted upward trend, it is basically a foregone conclusion that domestic oil prices will adjust and rise, and if the upward trend continues in the later period, then, The price of gasoline and diesel may see a sharp rise. At that time, the prices of 92-octane gasoline and 95-octane gasoline will rise significantly, making it relatively expensive for car owners to fill up a tank of gasoline.
In a nutshell, referring to the latest price adjustment reference indicators, domestic oil prices may usher in a sharp rise. The current increase is expected to be 260 yuan/ton, which is further expanded than the previous few pricing days, and the price adjustment is getting closer and closer. Of course, as an ordinary consumer, you need to always pay attention to the dynamics of oil prices, so that you can be mentally prepared in advance and save money by filling up on the eve of rising oil prices. Furthermore, domestic gasoline and diesel prices are adjusted every 10 working days based on changes in crude oil prices in the international market, and the price adjustment takes effect at 24:00 on the day the price adjustment is released. Oil prices are currently expected to rise far beyond the red line of 50 yuan/ton, and will still maintain an upward trend. Therefore, there is almost no suspense about a new round of refined oil price increases.
In overseas markets, international oil prices rebounded significantly, rising to their highest level since early December. Russia said it may cut production in response to the oil price limit policy early next year. In the natural gas market, global gas prices have fallen this week due to warmer weather expectations and weak demand; the EU's natural gas price limit policy was officially introduced this week, with the price ceiling set at 180 euros/MWh.
In the past week, as of the close of December 23, the price of WTI crude oil futures for delivery in February 2023 closed at US$79.56/barrel, an increase of 7% from the end of last week; the price of Brent crude oil futures for delivery in February 2023 closed at US$83.92/barrel, an increase of 6.2% from the end of last week. WTI The prices of crude oil and Brent crude oil have both surged significantly, and are still in the rising range. Although the U.S. stock market is closed due to Christmas, it is expected to continue to rise in the future. After all, the current global oil supply is tightening and heating up.
In summary, domestic oil prices may see a sharp rise. In view of the latest crude oil price adjustment rate of 3.98%, the oil price is currently expected to increase by 260 yuan/ton, which is expanding from the previous working day, and the price adjustment is getting closer. Therefore, it is comprehensively predicted that the next refined oil price adjustment may rise sharply. Moreover, the current international oil price still maintains an upward trend, and global concerns about tightening oil supply have intensified.
