Text︱ Zhang Youhua
On December 18th, Taiwan’s “election committee” did the most unethical thing. Originally, the election of Chiayi mayor should have been concluded with the “nine-in-one” plan. Now it has become a playoff, and then he maliciously changed the voting from Saturday to Sunday , which means that his purpose is to boost Li Junli's momentum, but I can tell you that in this playoff, Huang Minhui has won.
I can say it with certainty, but I dare not include the vote rate or turnout rate, because his turnout rate in this playoff must be low, and his vote rate will also be low, and will not be as high as 's "nine-in-one" election . His turnout rate is about 45%, not more than 50%, so it is difficult to estimate.
I used to estimate the votes from October 5th to November 26th. I dare to estimate the votes because there is an integrated process, that is, every county and city can see it. But this is the only one I dare not estimate, because whether his turnout rate is high or low will affect the constituency. Although it will not affect who wins or loses, his turnout rate and whether he gets votes cannot be calculated now. After the voting closes at 4 o'clock this evening, in about an hour to two hours, we will know the result. Huang Minhui should be the winner.
I can definitely tell you that there are three reasons, because my friend in Chiayi recently told me that big figures in the Democratic Progressive Party, including Su Zhenchang, went south to support him on the "pre-election night". The second thing is that there is an international concert held in Chiayi City. When Li Junli entered the venue, everyone bowed politely and quietly expressed their congratulations, but Huang Minhui entered the venue very enthusiastically. You should know that this concert, as I told you in the past, was silent when Tsai Ing-wen brought Chen Shizhong to the Guild to pay tribute. After Tsai Ing-wen introduced Chen Shizhong, everyone just applauded. As soon as Tsai Ing-wen and Chen Shizhong left, Jiang Wanan came in and had not yet taken the stage. Everyone warmly welcomed him and rushed to take photos with him. This is the so-called fame.
As for the third one, my friend in Chiayi City told me that the cold election situation is not conducive to the election of the DPP. I even asked the stakeholder in Chiayi City and they thought it was about 6:4. He only told me this result. From this we can see that this overtime is Chen Qimai's first tough battle as acting party chairman, and it is also Su Zhenchang's first battle to defend the "cabinet". But we can see that whether it is Chen Qimai or Su Zhenchang, he has just completed the process in this election. In other words, the enthusiasm of the DPP in the south is no longer there. This is a very big warning sign for the DPP. The so-called warning sign does not lie with Li Junli, but with the fact that the DPP has lost its momentum.
Have you noticed that whether it is Tsai Ing-wen, Lai Ching-te, Secretary-General of the Central Party Committee Lin Xiyao, or people from the "British Department", have they continued to help Li Junli in the election? They seem to have withdrawn from the stage now, Chen Mingwen helped him, Weng Zhangliang helped him, they are just standing on the street to sweep the streets. Have they mobilized? Let me tell you if they have. seems to be waiting for the results of the election to come out, and then review it. The DPP's laziness has reached this point. You can't say that Huang Minhui is very strong, but that this time the Chiayi Mayor's playoff, the DPP did not come up with the theme at all. Secondly, that is to say, on his "pre-election night", there was almost no interaction on and off stage. This kind of lack of interaction was rare in the DPP in the past.
Li Junyan has been talking about it for 13 years. Now I also want to ask Su Zhenchang, who has lost so ugly. Does he still have the nerve to assist in the election? Then will he still stay in the game? When there is no theme in Chiayi City, of course Huang Minhui wins. It can be seen from this place that the playoff in Chiayi City was a last resort. It was the Democratic Progressive Party who came up with and Austrian steps. When you still can't win the election after all your Austrian efforts, I will tell you that the DPP will die in a very ugly way. is not Li Junli's personal problem, but the result of the complete collapse of the morale of the Democratic Progressive Party. Therefore, Huang Minhui should win Li Junli, and Li Junli's hope of being elected is very slim.
Copyright statement: This article is an original article by the author. The picture information comes from the Internet. The text content of this article is strictly prohibited from being reproduced without authorization. If you need to reprint or quote, you must obtain the author's consent and indicate the source.
