text | Chen Jingsheng
The "election battle" on the island has basically come to an end, ending with the Democratic Progressive Party's defeat and only protecting 5 counties and cities. This result is a shame for the Democratic Progressive Party, which is a "ruling" force.
Therefore, in the subsequent election of Chiayi mayors and the by-election of two public opinion representatives of Taipei City and Nantou City , the DPP will inevitably do its best to cleanse up the shame in order to revive morale. But ideals are full, reality is skinny.
Judging from the current election situation, the by-election of Taipei City’s public opinion representatives has just begun the stage of canvassing votes, and the support of the Democratic Progressive Party candidate Wu Yinong, who is nicknamed "gorgeous candid". Recently, a poll of the mayoral election of Chiayi was released, and the Kuomintang candidate Huang Minhui also crushed the Democratic Progressive Party candidate Li Junqi!
Korean Party runs for the People's Congress crushes the Democratic Progressive Party candidate
According to the latest poll, among the five candidates who were postponed by Chiayi Mayor, the Kuomintang candidate Huang Minhui, who is striving for re-election, has a far ahead of the support, up to 59%. The support of DPP candidate Li Junqi is nearly 37 percentage points away from Huang Minhui, only 22%. In addition, about 17% of respondents did not make any statements.
. From the perspective of respondents’ preferences, Chiayi citizens’ preferences for Huang Minhui reached a high value of 64%, and those who don’t like her were around 13%. Li Junqi's preferences are 31%, which is also a difference of more than 30 percentage points, while those who don't like him are about 26%.
From the above data, it can be seen that there is almost no suspense that the Kuomintang won again by postponing the election of Chiayi Mayor. Whether it is support or the public's preferences, it is one-sided.
However, even if the DPP is difficult to win, it will inevitably do its best to narrow the votes between the two to win over. What the Kuomintang has to do is to continue to consolidate the basic foundation of supporters, and on the other hand, it actively strives for the support of middle-aged voters and encourages the public to vote for the Kuomintang on the voting day.
The DPP manipulated the postponement of election, but the result may not be as good as it wished
In fact, the mayor of Chiayi did not need to postpone election. Although Huang Shaocong, one of the candidates, suddenly died suddenly of , the relevant assessment stated that he could still catch up with the voting schedule, and many other candidates also suggested "should be held as scheduled." However, the DPP finally decided to postpone the election. In this way, the election time will be extended, and the green camp can concentrate on helping Li Junqiu to win the election and catch up with Huang Minhui, who is in a stable leading position. However, the DPP is smart in its abacus, but the final result is probably not as it wishes!
On the one hand, delaying the election and mobilizing troops will not only increase the cost of manpower, material resources and financial resources, but also some people from other places may not be willing to return home to vote again in a short period of time.
On the other hand, the DPP authorities have been in trouble recently, and labels such as "black gold politics" and "green terror" cannot be torn off. The "paper gate" storms broke out one after another. In addition, the drafting of the DPP chairman is imminent, so I may not have extra energy to help the election. Moreover, the chaos has further reduced the impression of the Democratic Progressive Party by the people on the island.
More importantly, Huang Minhui has served as the mayor of Chiayi for many years and has achieved many outstanding results. focuses on education, care for weaknesses, create a friendly and elderly environment, and pay attention to employment and entrepreneurship of young people are the main axis of her long-term governance. During the severe epidemic situation on the island, she actively protested against the epidemic. The number of people infected with the epidemic in Chiayi City is the smallest in Taiwan, and the coverage rate of vaccine is also among the best. Moreover, although Huang Minhui has served as mayor for many years, she has always been low-key and humble, doing practical things for the people, and has no arrogance and slackness of the DPP. This poll shows the recognition and support of the Chiayi citizens for her.
Therefore, the DPP wants to turn the Chiayi mayoral election into a "spread-up match" so that it can be said that it is a mistake to make the abacus!
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