Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio . Photo/Xinhua News Agency
According to Japanese media reports on August 6, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has decided to "massively" reorganize the cabinet on the 10th of this month and make personnel adjustments within Liberal Democratic Party . According to reports, Kishida Fumio will hold an interim high-level meeting of the Party on August 8 to obtain full appointment for senior personnel adjustments, and carry out cabinet restructuring and senior personnel adjustments of the Liberal Democratic Party on August 10.
Japanese media quoted people from Kishida authorities as saying that Japanese political anti-China vanguard, Minister of Defense, former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe younger brother Nobuo Kishi may be replaced due to physical reasons.
Nobuo Kishi was taken down. Is it a sign that Kita Cabinet adjusts its relations with China? What does it mean for Abe family ? Who else in Kishida Cabinet will be replaced? These contents are obviously worth paying attention to in the future.
Kida Nobuo was "stripped" by his illness and Kishida Fumio
Kida Fumio asked Kishi to remain as Minister of Defense when he came to power, indicating his recognition of the political power of the Abe family at that time and his respect for the "Qingwayan", the largest faction of the Liberal Democratic Party led by Abe .
But with Shinzo Abe being assassinated and the Liberal Democratic Party winning the Senate election, the Kishida regime has now stabilized, so it is not ruled out that Kishida now has the idea of reorganizing his own people by reorganizing his cabinet - this is also his long-term need to rule.
, and it happened that after Shinzo Abe was assassinated, "Qingwayan" announced that it would not have a new president, but instead was led by the former president of General Affairs Shitani Riki and seven others, including 7 people, also gave Kishida Fumio the opportunity to join forces with the and expand the discretion of within the Liberal Democratic Party.
另一方面，岸信夫也确有健康问题。 On August 10 last year, Nobuo Kishi was found leaving the Japanese Ministry of Defense for treatment at an acupuncture clinic in Tokyo. After getting off the bus, Nobuo Kishi was unable to walk for a while. On August 13 last year, Kishi Nobuo was found holding a cane in his right hand while visiting the Yasukuni Shrine.
By this year, Kishi Nobuo's health problems have been flashing even more. When he participated in Congress's defense in May, he could only sit in a wheelchair and was unable to stand up as required to defend. In fact, there has been a saying that Kishi Nobuo has serious bones and joints in Japan. However, Nobuo Kishi has never disclosed his condition to the public.
Nobuo Kishi did this with consideration of maintaining the political influence of the Abe family. The Abe family in Yamaguchi Prefecture has been a top political family in Japan for three generations. After Shinzo Abe was assassinated, Nobuo Kishi became the only spokesperson of the Abe family in Japanese politics. Nobuo Kishi and Shinzo Abe are brothers, but after they were born, Nobuka Kishi and Nobuka after they were adopted by his uncle and former president of Western Oil Group.
In the next generation of Shinzo Abe and Nobuo Kishi, Shinzo Abe's nephew Abe Hitohito and Nobuo Kishi's eldest son Chiyo Kishi are considered possible heirs, but they are not yet full of wings and Nobuo Kishi needs to "send it to another trip". However, judging from the current situation, it should be too late. If Kishi Nobuo is replaced, it is also the result of his illness and Kishida Fumio's "strike".
Japanese Defense Minister , former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's younger brother Nobuo Kishi. Photo/IC photo
The important positions that can be adjusted are probably the Minister of Defense
Regarding this time, Fumio Kishida reorganized the cabinet and adjusted the senior leaders of the Liberal Democratic Party, Japanese media revealed that in addition to Kishi Nobuo may be replaced, the two positions of Chairman of the Public Security Committee and Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries will also be changed. The chairman of the Public Security Committee is obviously responsible for the assassination of Shinzo Abe. As for the Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, this is not a key position.
Check whether the Kishida cabinet will change the direction of governance through reorganization. The key is whether the six positions will be replaced. In the cabinet, he is the Minister of Defense, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Chief Cabinet, and Minister of Finance; in the Liberal Democratic Party, he is the Vice President and Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party.
According to Japanese media reports, Foreign Minister Lin Fangmasato , Cabinet Secretary Hiroichi Matsuno may remain in office, and Liberal Democratic Party Vice President Taro Aso and Liberal Democratic Party Secretary-General Toshima Motegi may also remain in office. Cabinet Chief Cabinet Secretary has always been a trusted by the Prime Minister, but Hiroichi Matsuno is an Abe faction, and it is impossible to move it means Kishida's strength is not enough.As for the Minister of Finance Suzuki Shunichi , he is Aso's wife's brother and belongs to the Aso school, Kishida may not be able to move.
counts over and over again, the important position that Kishida can adjust is really the Minister of Defense. Given the importance of the position of Defense Minister, if Kishi Nobuo is replaced, who will replace him is also a window to observe whether Kishida's cabinet's defense policy will be adjusted.
. There are not many people in Kishida's cabinet now that they may be called their own people. Except for Foreign Affairs Minister Lin Fangzheng, Economic Security Minister Kobayashi Takayuki and General Affairs Minister Jin Zi Kyoshi were considered to be highly valued. Among them, Kobayashi Takanobu served as a government official in the Ministry of Defense and was an ally of the Aso faction and Abe faction, and may have the hope of replacing Kishi Nobuo.
Perhaps the Abe faction would propose his own candidate as a condition for the exchange for Kishi Nobuo's resignation, such as Ono Godenomiya who served as Secretary of Defense or others. If this is true, Japan's defense policy will continue to develop towards danger.
Overall, Kishida Cabinet and the core members of the Liberal Democratic Party will only make minor adjustments. This means that there will be no major changes in the direction of the Kishida Cabinet's governance. The extreme anti-China faction of Kishi Nobuo is of course good news for Sino-Japanese relations. But we must also see that individual choices cannot determine the evolution of Sino-Japanese relations.
Since the Kishida cabinet came to power, it has continued the constitutional amendment proposal of Abe cabinet and has vigorously promoted it. In terms of foreign relations, the United States is the leader, and has made frequent moves in promoting the Indo-Pacific strategy and forming a small circle supply chain. It constantly challenges territorial disputes in East China Sea , and even openly denies the historical view of " World War II ". Recently, Kishida Cabinet has not yet distinguished right from wrong, disregarding the provocative actions of Pelosi to China by intercepting Taiwan, and demanding that China stop military exercises on Taiwan.
The Kishida Cabinet did this to take advantage of the competition situation of major powers and make Japan a major political and military power with the help of the United States' geopolitical demand for Japan. Under such strategic considerations, it is unlikely that Kishida will reorganize the cabinet, and it will be difficult to reverse the decline in Sino-Japanese relations, and it will be even more difficult for neighboring countries to change their distrust in Japan's diplomacy.
Written by Xu Lifan (columnist)
Editing / Ma Xiaolong
Proofreading / Liu Jun
