As the UK and the EU reached an agreement on the content of the "Brexit" agreement, public opinion is paying attention to whether the draft agreement can be passed in the British Parliament and EU member states. At this time, the British Brexit minister temporarily changed players, undoubtedly another real version of the "Game of Thrones". So, what practical problems does the UK face in the "Brexit"? What is its future development trend?
According to the 585-page draft Brexit agreement released by the British government, the UK and the EU have reached a consensus on the four major "bottlenecks" of border issues, tariff issues, Irish agreement, and Brexit transition period. But the problem is that these are still unresolved matters in the UK. For example, after Theresa May announced his agreement to the draft Brexit agreement, senior officials such as Brexit Minister Raab, Employment and Pension Minister McVay, Brexit Deputy Minister Braverman, and Northern Ireland Deputy Minister Valla announced their resignations one after another. On the surface, the cabinet members have successively "hooked seals and sealed gold", but the deeper part is that this "painful divorce" has huge controversy within the UK.
The most controversial issue is undoubtedly the status of Northern Ireland after Brexit. After resigning, Brexit Secretary Raab told the media that the draft agreement had a fatal loophole, that is, the solution to the border issues between Ireland and Northern Ireland has caused damage to Britain's sovereignty and territorial integrity. Moreover, this relatively vague agreement at the operational level does not establish clear rules in the complex relationship between the UK and the EU in the future, let alone create a permanent framework. He believes that this undoubtedly poses hidden dangers for Britain, as a weaker side, to deal with the EU as a whole after Brexit, and will even be "blacklisted" and "oppressed" by the EU everywhere. This decision that "violates national interests" is not supported by the British people.
Review of the difficult "Brexit history" that has stumbled over the past year is not difficult to find that the sovereignty and territorial disputes caused by the Northern Ireland issue have long plagued the British and their European neighbors. Just after the "historic" meeting on March 19 this year, EU Chief Negotiator Barnier and Brexit Secretary Davis confirmed to the international media that the UK has finally taken a "decisive step" and finalized the transition period. However, as the "Achilles heel" of Brexit, the thorny Northern Ireland-Ireland border issue remains unresolved. The UK and the EU have only confirmed that if there is no better way, then implement the "stop-of-the-line" - after Brexit, the Northern Ireland region remains in the EU customs union to ensure that there will be no "hard border" with Ireland.
This means that Northern Ireland, which belongs to the same territory, will be separated from the British island by a "trade border" - the so-called British version of "one country, two systems". In this regard, Britain's attitude and position are obviously contradictory. On the one hand, the UK hopes to avoid resetting checkpoints on this border, that is, forming a "hard border" to protect the results of the Good Friday peace agreement reached by the parties to the Northern Ireland conflict in 1998. After all, for Britain, which has suffered from separatism such as Scotland in recent years, if the economic "http://www..com.cn.com.cn" is formed in the Northern Ireland region, it will undoubtedly add new injuries to the scar that has not yet subsided. But on the other hand, the May government does not want to form any customs alliance with the EU. This means that this border can only change from a "soft border" where goods and personnel flow freely to a "hard border" that requires verification of people and goods entering and leaving the EU and imposing tariffs.
Therefore, this plan was proposed by the EU before, but has been rejected by Theresa May. Now people are generally worried that even if the final Brexit agreement formally writes this plan, it will be just a symbolic move, and the UK will also seek other alternative solutions. In other words, uncertainty remains.
In the draft Brexit agreement, the relevant clauses on the border issues of Ireland and Northern Ireland were interpreted by the " Hard Brexit " factionists as continuing to stay in the customs union and the single market, so the independence of Britain after Brexit is still worrying.Although Prime Minister May strongly claimed that in negotiations with the EU, the UK will maintain the autonomy to withdraw from the "bottom-up" agreement at any time in the future, and give both sides enough space to resolve the "hard border" issue. But the tricky problem at present is that because of the "not good" in the aforementioned issues, the May government encountered a certain degree of personnel and trust crisis at the parliamentary and public levels. How to overcome and steadily advance the established route and conserve British rights and interests in future Brexit actions is a real problem that the May government, which has a tough statement that "I can survive it", must face.
