It is said that Taiwan's leader Tsai Ing-wen promised the DPP's New Taipei mayoral candidate Lin Jialong, who can choose well, is expected to serve as the "Premier of the Executive", but the Tsai Office has denied it. In response, Shi Zhengfeng, a professor at the Department of Ethnic Affairs and Development at Donghua University in Taiwan, analyzed to the Hong Kong CME that Tsai Ing-wen is unlikely to be the "premier" of Lin Jialong, because Lin is not a direct descendant, so she is afraid that Lin Jialong will bite him at critical moments.
Shi Zhengfeng said that among the people of the DPP, Tsai Ing-wen is probably Lai Ching-te the most feared. Now the "independence faction" are betting on Lai, including former "China Research Director" Li Yuanzhe, who has made clear recent actions. Of course, Lai Ching-te is also low-key and is also losing sincerity to Tsai Ing-wen, but Tsai Ing-wen still does not trust him to avoid Lai Ching-te's power expansion. Lai is also very clear about Tsai Ing-wen's defense.
On the 19th, media reported that Tsai Ing-wen promised that if Lin Jialong did a good job in New Taipei, he would have the opportunity to serve as the "Premier of the Executive" and serve as the guardian of the "cabinet" after the 2022 election. However, both Cai Ban and Lin Jialong's camps denied this matter.
Shi Zhengfeng pointed out that Lin Jialong would not have chosen New Taipei City even if he was beaten to death. Logically speaking, he failed in Taichung City in 2018 and should go back. Of course, it can also be said that Cai Qichang, the candidate for Taichung mayor of the DPP, has been waiting for a long time, and the new trend will not allow Lin Jialong to go back. But then again, Lin Jialong has been in Taichung for 10 years and is a little absent-minded to be honest. Lin felt that he was only suitable for choosing the leader of Taiwan and mayor of Taipei, but Tsai Ing-wen would not let Lin Jialong choose the mayor of Taipei. Lin Jialong was exiled to the frontier, which shows that Lin was only used by Tsai Ing-wen to fight against the new trend.
Shi Zhengfeng said that no matter whether Lin Jialong loses or loses in New Taipei City in the end, it doesn’t matter if he loses or loses. When he comes back, at least he can be the deputy "Premier" and the throne of "Premier" may not be given to Lin Jialong, because he will play 2024 next time. This position is important and it is impossible to give to Lin Jialong. Because Lin is not Tsai Ing-wen's direct line, Tsai "swept the heart" ( Minnan , which means that he cannot be beaten from the heart and cannot be hurt), otherwise what should he do if Lin Jialong bites him back at an important moment? It is not easy for Lin Jialong to grow his "Persistent Congress".
Shi Zhengfeng analyzed that after the election of 2022, the current "Premier Prime Minister" Su Zhenchang is still waiting, and Su always respects Tsai. If the DPP wins the mayor of Taoyuan, Taoyuan Mayor Zheng Wencan can also come to take over the "Premier Prime Minister". Of course, Tsai Ing-wen has many cards, including Chen Jianren, and even former "Legislative Yuan President" Su Jiaquan, Su Jiaquan's nephew Su Zhenqing's is involved in the case, and the limelight has probably passed.
Shi Zhengfeng pointed out that Su Zhenchang originally cooperated with New Trends, but in recent years, Su Zhenchang and New Trends are in harmony. If the situation after the election is not very smooth to Tsai Ing-wen, Tsai Ing-wen still has to rely on Su Zhen-chang. If Zheng Wencan does not come up, Su Zhen-chang may continue to do it, and even choose the "big position".
