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Ukraine's battlefield is in a stalemate, marking that Russia is gradually at a disadvantage. Russia has shrunk its battlefields to try to control Ukraine's eastern and southern cities. However, with the continuous shipment of NATO weapons to Ukraine, the United States continues to provide Ukraine with an information system, and Russia will be in a very disadvantageous position in this war. More importantly, since the United States and other Western countries ban the Ukrainian government from signing peace agreements with Russia, Russia must grit its teeth and persevere. This war will become Russia's Waterloo. Afghan War dragged down the Soviet Union, and the Ukrainian War may drag down Russia.
Ukrainian war has become a comprehensive war in politics, economy, society, culture and diplomacy. Russia is likely to announce the end of its military activities in the short term and withdraw from Ukraine. This marks the failure of Russia's strategic attempt to control Ukraine and prevent the expansion of North Atlantic Treaty Organization to the east.
Russia's strategic goal is to establish a strategic buffer zone by controlling Ukraine to build a puppet government, thereby ensuring that Russia's national interests are not damaged. At the beginning of the war, Russian soldiers were in the forefront and adopted the tactic of besieging Wei to rescue Zhao. They directly penetrated into the central region of Ukraine, and elite troops rushed towards Ukraine's capital Kiev .
However, during the occupation of the airport, it encountered Ukraine's tenacious resistance, especially Russia's communication system was fully mastered by the United States and other NATO countries, resulting in partial failure of Russia's military operations.
Russia adjusts its strategy, on the one hand, hits the strategic goals of the central and western regions of Ukraine. On the other hand, controlling the eastern and southern regions of Ukraine hopes to divide Ukraine into two. But now it seems that Russia can achieve its goals on the battlefield. However, in the international community, Russia is already in a state of embattledness.
Although more and more countries remain neutral, refuse to condemn Russia and have not joined the camp of sanctions against Russia, it seems impossible for Russia to exist in the Ukraine region for a long time.
The reason is that the full-scale war has made it difficult to eliminate the hatred between Ukraine and Russia in the short term, and Ukraine will definitely be more active in the embrace of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. The United States will definitely use Ukraine to contain Russia. Ukraine has become the second Afghanistan .
Russia has a vast land and wealth, and there is no problem with economic self-sufficiency. However, Russia cannot exist in isolation. If NATO increases military deployment in areas around Russia and Russia has to use more fiscal funds to expand its military facilities, Russia will be overwhelmed.
Russia is now facing double pressure. On the one hand, the United States and other Western countries will definitely launch a color revolution in areas around Russia and even within Russia. Although the Russian president still has a support rate of up to 80% in the country, as long as the Russian economy continues to be sluggish, Russia's political situation will definitely change. On the other hand, since the Russian government is highly dependent on the oil and gas energy economy, when Western countries impose an embargo on Russia, although Russia has abundant oil and gas resources, it is very difficult to promote the development of the Russian economy. Russia certainly hopes to get out of the predicament as soon as possible. However, the war has turned Ukraine into ruins, and the contradiction between Ukraine and Russia cannot be eliminated in the short term. Even if an agreement is signed and a ceasefire is achieved, it is almost impossible for Russia to control Ukraine unless Russia immigrates a large number of people.
Western countries led by the United States spare no effort to attack Russia at full capacity.The Ukrainian president is an actor. He makes full use of his acting talent and constantly demands that Western countries impose sanctions on Russia, and stages one tragedy after another in Ukraine, trying to arouse sympathy and attention of the international community, and thus increase the intensity of sanctions on Russia.
Russia has only the ability to resist but not the power to fight back in the complex international public opinion market. Although Russia has obtained sufficient evidence that Ukraine has a biochemistry laboratory, both United Nations and World Health Organization refuse to discuss the relevant issues, and Russia is actually in a very embarrassing situation.
The fundamental reason why Russia is in a difficult situation is that it tries to force Ukraine to sign a city alliance through a full-scale war. The reason why the United States stimulated Russia and planned the Ukrainian war was to turn Ukraine into a pawn and use Ukraine to drag Russia into the quagmire of war.
For Russia, this war is a war imposed on Russia by the United States, and this war is related to Russia's life and death. Russia had to do its best to win the war. However, because the United States and other North Atlantic Treaty Organizations support Ukraine to fight a modern information war, the traditional Russian mechanized force is at a clear disadvantage. Now Russia has to consider shrinking its position and controlling the eastern and southern cities of Ukraine. However, if Ukraine conducts guerrilla wars in eastern and southern cities, Russia will fall into a difficult situation similar to the Afghan war, and after paying a huge price, it will eventually have to withdraw its troops in a hurry.
This war is a war that can only be won but not failed. However, since Russia has not gained an initiative in conventional wars, it is almost impossible to strive for space for peaceful development through negotiations. The Ukrainian president once tried to end the war through negotiations, but the United States added fuel to the fire, transporting a large number of advanced weapons to Ukraine and refused to end the war. For the Ukrainian puppet government, this war has turned the country into ruins, but the United States and other NATO countries are still unwilling to accept it and hope to use this war to completely drag down Russia. The Ukrainian government must grit its teeth and persevere until the United States and other NATO countries achieve their intended goals.
Judging from the weapons list provided by the United States, except for a few heavy equipment including tank , the vast majority still belong to individual weapon . This is actually requiring the Ukrainian government to launch guerrilla warfare to the Russian army. If Ukrainian guerrillas appear in areas controlled by Russia and use advanced weapons provided by the United States to launch attacks continuously, it will take no time for Russia to change Ukrainian policies and Ukraine will become a hell on earth.
Unless Russia implements a race plan, immigrates a large number of Russians to eastern and southern cities in Ukraine, and firmly controls these areas by democratic elections, it is almost impossible for Russia to gain a foothold in Ukraine for a long time.
From controlling the entire territory of Ukraine, turning Ukraine into a neutral region, completely disarming Ukraine, demilitarizing and Naziizing, to controlling the eastern coast of the Dnieper River and southern cities, Russia has changed its military strategic plan. But even so, the United States and other NATO countries are still aggressive, not only sanctioning Russia in an all-round way, but also hope to further compress Russia's space on the Ukrainian battlefield.
For the Russian president, a decision must be made whether to continue to retreat or use his own weapons of mass destruction to create an unmanned land in Ukraine, thereby achieving his own strategic goals.
This war gives people many aspects of inspiration: First, this war is an asymmetric war. In the initial stage, Russia used its mechanized forces to quickly control strategic locations, impose a comprehensive siege of Ukraine, and was in an absolute initiative on the battlefield.However, as NATO military officials entered Ukraine and used their information weapons to command the Ukrainian army to conduct guerrilla warfare on the spot, the battlefield situation took a sharp turn and Russia was in a passive position of being beaten.
This is a war between informatization and mechanization. Russia has insufficient information capabilities and has not effectively controlled Ukraine's information, which has caused the troops commanded by senior generals to suffer heavy damage. On some key battlefields, Russia has lost the initiative.
Informatized war means comprehensive control of the information on the battlefield, so as to ensure that the other party cannot understand the overall situation of the battlefield and effectively and reasonably allocate military resources. The biggest lesson of this war is that Russia did not attach importance to informatization, or did not consider that NAD quickly entered the Ukrainian war and helped the Ukrainian army achieve informatization transformation.
Second, this war is a full-scale war. Although the United States always says it will not join the war, the United States actually put all its actions into the battlefield. NATO, led by the United States, sent commanders to help Ukraine build an information network in important areas of Ukraine, thus rapidly increasing Ukrainian military combat capabilities.
In addition, the United States requires Western countries to impose a complete sanction on Russia, whether it is finance, energy, technology, or culture, and to completely ban Russia, thus putting the Russian economy in danger for a time. Although Russia is an energy country and the Russian government requires that all countries that purchase Russian energy must use Russian ruble to settle, although this practice can ensure that the Russian currency remains stable, it cannot change its passive status.
Russia must consider that if EU refuses to purchase Russian oil and gas, it is almost impossible for Russia to use its own energy weapons and seek initiative on the economic front. Although Russia attracts foreign investment and American oil companies develop oil resources in Russia's Caspian region, so far, the United States still purchases large quantities of Russian oil and natural gas, but as sanctions further escalate, American oil companies may withdraw from Russia. By that time, Russia will not only face the problem of market shrinkage, but also the problem of lack of technology and equipment for oil and gas companies. Russia has won local victories in the economic field, but it is still difficult to estimate whether it can win the war.
Now the US Exxon Oil Company is still operating in Russia. If the US Democratic government requires US oil companies to withdraw from Russia, these companies will pay a huge price. Russia has lost the support of Occupy Petroleum and will probably need to make greater efforts to maintain the current scale of oil and gas extraction. This is an economic war that you can know the result from the beginning. If US oil and gas companies continue to help Russia, the United States and other Western countries will not be able to play a fundamental role in economic sanctions on Russia. However, if the U.S. oil and gas company is forced to withdraw from Russia, then Russia will face a very serious situation.
, Russia still has a large number of supporters in the vast number of Asia, Africa and Latin America countries, and they continue to buy Russian oil and gas. From a demographic perspective, more than 50% of the world's population refuses to impose sanctions on Russia, and more than 40% of the population continues to establish energy cooperation relations with Russia. The Russian alliance led by the United States cannot represent the entire world. However, considering the purchasing power and the prospects of energy cooperation between the majority of developing countries in , developing countries in and Russia, people have reason to believe that if the United States and other Western countries attack, continue to impose comprehensive sanctions on Russia, and use the financial settlement system they control to force developing countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America to cut off energy cooperation with Russia, then Russia will lose an important source of income.
Although the Russian Prime Minister has made plans and through various means to ensure that Russia's social welfare will not decline, the Ukrainian war has regressed Russia's economy for ten years. At least from the current situation, Russia's GDP may shrink by 30% or more significantly, while Ukraine's GDP may decrease by more than 70%. Both Russia and Ukraine paid a heavy price for both the war. In order to achieve its own geopolitical purpose, the United States planned this war, and the final result was a severe recession in the world economy.
The Afghan War dragged down the Soviet Union back then, and now the Ukrainian War may completely drag down Russia. For Russia, if an agreement cannot be signed with Ukraine, the Ukrainian war will become Russia's bleeding hole. However, if the Ukrainian government cannot be replaced, even if an agreement is signed, it may not be able to change the state of mutual hatred. For Russia, there is only one possibility, to change passive to active, that is, to take targeted elimination actions, completely replace Ukrainian regimes, and cultivate a pro-Russian government. However, Russia has lost the ability to change the Ukrainian regime, and Russia's decline will become an inevitable and high-probability event.
