This article was first published as "debate". The author authorized the push of
Pelosi . Perhaps it has never been as popular as it is now.
not only landlines are watched by the entire network. For example, as soon as its special plane landed at the Paya Lebar Air Force Base in Singapore, it was released by netizens: it landed at 4:20 am on August 1.
Perhaps an old politician like her who is about to end has a perverted hobby. The more you are watched, the more "excited". As the third person in constitutional power, known as the "world's number one power", not only has the diplomatic visit schedule been unannounced, which has made it sneaky.
No wonder on the "War Zone" website where American hawks gathered, after the relevant information was disclosed, the biggest hope of many Americans leaving messages is to "restrict the age of members of parliament like Pelosi" and not to engage in "hereditary".
According to the green media's "excited" statement, Pelosi's team has booked a hotel and visited Taiwan as early as the evening of the 2nd and spent one night overnight. According to the currently public Pelosi itinerary: visit Singapore on Monday, visit Malaysia on Tuesday, visit South Korea on Thursday, and then Japan.
There are at least 36 hours between Tuesday night and Thursday.
It can be said that the whole world will tighten the strings for these 36 hours.
So does Pelosi really have the courage? What are the Americans calculating?
(I)
Tactical bets
Judging from the public information and the sea and air monitoring information released by China, the main force of the US military currently operating in East Asia is the USS Reagan aircraft carrier battle group located in the Bashi Channel in southwest Taiwan. This is the area for long-term exercises of US aircraft carriers. From a geographical point of view, the main range of US aircraft carriers can provide alertness and escort for Pelosi's special planes.
The US military said that it did what it said to use aircraft carrier escort. But can this really protect Pelosi's safety? The perception of the strategic situation of the South China Sea by Chinese private think tanks, and being able to publish the detailed trajectory of the USS Reagan aircraft carrier, shows that the US military's activities, at least in , , have no secret to China.
Modern warfare, being discovered often means being destroyed. Especially in China, the Dongfeng-17 hypersonic missile , which was clearly demonstrated recently, is a powerful tool for targeting high-value targets such as aircraft carriers and is temporarily undefensible. In addition, before Pelosi's visit, the US military released the news and grounded the F-35, indicating that the enemy was weak.
This is completely a bet on the Chinese military that it will not intercept or shoot down the plane when Pelosi is visiting.
(II)
Strategy gambling
Strategy gambling
is a tactical tactic that Chinese people dare not intercept, but strategically, Americans are also gambling. Biden Although the authorities talked about adhering to the one-China principle after the China-US summit, they have always been letting Pelosi visits and hype on the grounds that they have "no jurisdiction over Pelosi". The statement of Kirby, the White House security coordinator, may have exposed the true mentality of Americans: there is no specific sign of China's strengthening of Taiwan's direction of strengthening military deployment, and the United States and China have no reason to move to the point of taking action or aggravating actual tensions.
What does this mean?
Americans are betting that even if Pelosi visits Taiwan, China will leave it alone for the sake of development, swallowing up the bitter fruit of the United States' continuous cutting of China and trampling on China's core interests; and will not really take action to advance the process of unification in advance.
Not only that, while speculating on the Taiwan Strait, Americans have accelerated the advancement of several anti-China bills, not only establishing chip industry alliances with Japan, but also further tightening the output of chip manufacturing-related technologies and equipment, in an attempt to lock down the development of China's semiconductor technology.
Americans are still betting that even if China starts the unification process in advance, it will inevitably be costly. The United States can send weapons to fight agent wars and bleed China while making huge profits.
For example, using the threat of war, TSMC and people brought goods to the United States. On July 27, TSMC social media announced that the Fab 21 factory in Arizona, USA held a ceremony to promote the Liangdi . will start 5nm chip production as scheduled in 2024 and will be the most advanced chip production factory in the United States.
So on the evening of August 1, the US media still disclosed in the form of a sudden news that Pelosi will visit Taiwan Province.
(III)
Repeat the misjudgment from more than 70 years ago
The reason why the United States is gambling? It is also because the Americans’ misjudgment of China is exactly the same as more than 70 years ago.
On August 1, China once again warned the United States: China is on high alert, and the People's Liberation Army of China will never sit idly by.
On September 15, 1950, MacArthur launched the Incheon landing battle. On September 29, after learning that the United States publicly claimed that it would march north of 38th parallel , the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China decided to give a solemn warning to the United States' attempt to expand the war of invasion of North Korea. In the early morning of October 3, Zhou Enlai urgently summoned Indian Ambassador to China Pani Ying, warning again: If the US military crosses the 38th parallel and expands the war, "we cannot sit idly by and watch, we must pay attention to ."
At that time, MacArthur, the commander of the Pacific Theater of the US military, did not believe in the newly established New China at all, and dared to send troops to fight with the US military . Even though the US intelligence agencies continue to discover that the Chinese People's Volunteer Army has gathered, the US decision-making authorities have always firmly believed in their judgment that "China will not send troops."
Now, notices have been issued for many exercises launched by Pelosi in visit to Taiwan. The 80th Army of the Northern Theater Command announced "preparation for war"; the Eastern Theater Command issued information to "ready for battle and fight to the order"; but the Americans have always judged that "China has not strengthened its military deployment" and "no reason to take action."
No matter whether it is on high alert or will never sit idly by, in fact, China has made up its determination to dare to turn the table over if Pelosi dares to come. Taiwan is China's core strategic interest and is a red line that cannot be compromised by China. On the way to stand up, China dared to send troops to North Korea when it was poor and deserted, to confront the most powerful American coalition at that time; now China may still have a certain gap in its soft and hard power with the United States, but it is far from the bigger than that of the United States 70 years ago. On the journey of becoming stronger, if China inevitably wants to prove itself with a battle, then use the strongest in name to demonstrate its strength!
China has been missing for 5,000 years, but there is never a lack of spirit of daring to fight in its bloodline. The stronger the enemy, the more dare you fight, the more you dare to win; even when facing gods and demons, the same is true!
(IV)
is destined to lose to the sky Pelosi
If Pelosi is traveling, then just like Korean War changes the direction of the world, when Pelosi lands in Taiwan, the world pattern changes greatly and huge waves sweep the world.
In fact, if Pelosi fails to visit South Korea and Japan in shame, and then flees back to the United States honestly, it will also significantly change the direction of the world. Just like in 2016, Harris, the commander of the US Pacific Fleet, clamored to "go to war tonight" with China. After China sent four generals to prepare for the battle, the US fleet fled from , South China Sea , and China obtained the rights to the South China Sea dialect.
When Pelosi shouted for a visit to Taiwan, he was destined to fail no matter what he did. Even in American history, it will be remembered as a clown.
(V)
How to do Chinese under the major changes
On July 30, the day after Pelosi's plan to visit Asia was launched, , known as permanent neutrality, , Switzerland , through the British Reuters, threatened: If China uses force to recover Taiwan, Switzerland will take strict measures like , EU , to sanction China. Even because China's economy is ten times larger than Russia, Switzerland will use more extreme means to deal with China.
How did Switzerland, a country known as permanent neutrality, treat Russia? By the end of July, Switzerland had frozen approximately $7 billion in assets of the Russian elite.
is preparing to deal with China's Switzerland with more extreme means. How much property will it take on Chinese people? At least 10 times or more. 300 years after stealing world dominance, the West has already exuded a scent of decay. In order to maintain one's last dignity and a degenerate life, one must treat the rising power more fiercely.
A gentleman does not stand under a dangerous wall! overseas wanderers, I hope you plan to do it sooner
