(This article is compiled by the official account Yuesheng Investment Research (yslcwh), for reference only and does not constitute operational advice. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
The most difficult thing for novices to enter the market to understand - profit and loss are the same source
Profit and loss are the same source, which is a cognitive attitude towards the market towards risks. What investors often say is that "you can win when you lose" is the evolution of profit and loss.
For example, if you use the same strategy (some signal appears) to hit the board, you may win today, and you may lose tomorrow, but it must be seen that you can still make money.
However, you are not satisfied with this profit. What to do? You want to optimize your strategy. If you reduce the number of times you hit the board, you should look for opportunities with strong certainty before going forward. Of course.
However, in the end you will indeed lose less times, but you will earn less money. Because while you reduce risks, you also reduce your chances of making money.
This is the same source of profit and loss.
You don’t know which time you will make money. The so-called strong certainty cannot be falsified unless you try and make mistakes. So you are doing meaningless things.
If the profit you make is stable within a certain number of transactions (not necessarily the winning rate), then in order to expand profits, leverage should be used instead of optimization strategies.
The stability of risk and return is the natural certainty of the trading model. Profits and losses are the same. When consistency is established and you actively avoid risks, you are avoiding profits. This is what we investors often say, "the correct loss" is the reason why you continue to make profits in the future.
main force late trading what is the purpose of smashing the market?
There is a saying that goes, you will always be shallow in your knowledge. You must practice it yourself in practice. In practice, you are the best teacher.
What is the general purpose of the main force smashing the market in the late trading?
as shown in the figure below:
The stock price was in the sideways fluctuation range on the same day. In the time-sharing chart, the main force of the stock was mainly absorbing funds before 14:30 pm that day, but to smash the stock price to the end of the trading day? Didn’t his previous absorbing funds depreciate? Is the main force crazy?
In fact, the main force will never be crazy. He will only torture retail investors through various means to lose their minds.
Normally, the main force smashed the market in the late trading mainly for the following purposes:
first. During the upward process, the dealer should clean up the following chips and smash the market significantly at a certain price, causing the stock price to fall sharply, causing retail investors and followers to panic and sell, thereby getting more chips.
Second, the dealer completed the fund-absorbing, and the stock price was at a high level. The dealer achieved the goal of escape by selling stocks significantly.
Third, it should be noted that during the main market absorption stage, foodies often raise the stock price. By smashing the market at the end of the market, they can also hide traces and hide them. This phenomenon is common in the sideways stage or in the pull-up stage where the rise is not obvious.
As the saying goes: if you can buy it, it is silver, and if you can sell it, it is gold. If you buy a good stock and fail to choose a good selling opportunity, it will bring many regrets to stock investment. The following are the rules for selling stocks
First, 7-8% lower than the buying price, firmly stop loss
The first and most important selling rules are very difficult for many investors. After all, it is difficult for many people to admit that they have made mistakes. The most important thing about investing is to quickly recognize the mistakes when you make mistakes and keep the losses to a minimum, which is the reason for the 7% stop loss rule.
Through research, it was found that 40% of the big bull stocks often return to the initial explosion point after the explosion. The same study also found that stocks that fell 7-8% at key points have less chances of performing better in the future. Investors should be careful not to see only a few examples of stocks rising sharply after a big drop. In the long run, investing will achieve better returns by continuously controlling losses to a minimum.
Therefore, the bottom line is to sell the stock when the stock price falls below 7-8% of the buying price! Don’t worry about taking small losses when making mistakes. When you don’t make mistakes, you will get more compensation.
Second, Sell stocks after climax
There are many ways to judge that a bull stock will peak and fall back to a reasonable price. One of the most commonly used methods of judgment is when all investors in the market try to own the stock. After a stock gradually climbed 100% or even more, it suddenly accelerated its rise, and the stock price rose 25-50% in 1-2 weeks, which was almost vertically rising from the graph. Is this situation very exciting? However, when the stockholders are happy, they should realize that it is time to sell the stock. This stock has entered the so-called climax zone. It is difficult for stock prices to continue to rise because no one is willing to buy at a higher price.
Third, the continuous shrinkage hits a high point, which is the time to sell
The stock price is determined by the supply and demand relationship. When a stock price begins to rise sharply, its trading volume often rises sharply. The reason is that institutional investors are rushing to buy the stock to scramble ahead of their competitors. After a longer period of upswing, the momentum of rising stock prices has been exhausted. The stock price will continue to hit new highs, but trading volume will begin to decline. At this time, you have to be careful. At this time, few institutional investors are willing to buy the stock again. The supply begins to exceed demand, and the selling pressure eventually increases. A series of shrinking volume increases often indicate reversals.
Fourth, after making a profit of 20%,
Not all stocks will continue to rise, and many growth investors often sell stocks after the stock price rises by 20%. If you can sell stocks at 20% profit and stop loss at 7%, then you will not suffer any losses if you invest 4 times or 1 time. An exception to this rule ohnell , he pointed out that if the stock price rises 20% within 1-3 weeks after the outbreak point, do not sell it, hold it for at least 8 weeks. He believes that such a fast-rise stock has the momentum of a 100-200% increase in stock prices, so it needs to be held for longer to share more profits.
Fifth, when a stock breaks through the latest platform, sells stocks
Everyone knows that spring, summer, autumn and winter changes in the four seasons, and the trend of big bull stocks also has a similar cycle. These stocks are undergoing alternating changes in rapid rise and building platforms. Generally speaking, the longer the platform is built, the greater the increase in the stock price. But this also has the possibility of a stock price reaching its peak, and the stock price may fall sharply. Usually, when the stock price peaks, profit and sales growth are very good because the stock price reflects the future.
Both stocks and stock markets follow certain rules. The key to successfully selling stocks is to simply implement the rules we summarized above without exception. After buying stocks, you should always be careful and resolutely sell stocks when they meet the selling rules.
How to look at the end of the market?
1. The end of the market indicates the future market trend
In the stock market, the relationship between trading volume and stock price (referred to as the volume-price relationship) has always been valued by technical analysts. Among the four important indicators of transaction price (opening price, highest price, lowest price and closing price ), the most important thing is the closing price.
2. Changes in volume and price at the end of the trading session
Under normal circumstances, there is a slight increase or a slight decline in the late trading session, which is a correction of the late trading session and has no practical significance. If the stock price of a certain stock is not in the rising stage, the trading volume is quite normal, but at the last moment of the market, one or several orders that are obviously large in trading volume suddenly appear, resulting in a sharp rise in the stock price. This situation generally means that the main force is setting a closing price, and its purpose is as follows.
(1) If the stock trades flat on the same day, it means that the market has forgotten the stock. Even if the main force sets the closing price, except for those who originally held the stock, few people will pay attention. Then the main force's purpose is to protect the market .
(2) If the stock price has seen some large trading volume near a specific low-price zone during the session, and the stock price does not continue to fall due to a large number of selling orders, it means that these transactions may be tacit understanding, that is, the main force transfers some of the orders to others, or other people's orders to the main force, but it cannot be a transaction that has nothing to do with people in the market. Since it is a bargaining chip exchange, the main purpose is also to protect the market.
(3) If there is a relatively large buy order during the session, the sell order will be sold immediately, and the stock price will continue to decline, and the intraday trend is obviously weaker than the market, but it will rise slightly in the late trading.There are two possibilities for this situation. One is that the main chips have not yet been released, so the closing price is set at the end of the market. Furthermore, the main force had to push up in the late market to protect the market.
3. Tips for buying late trading - pulling up late trading
shows a "lasting up late trading". The key is to judge whether stocks are at a low or high level? Does it still have the potential to continue to rise? Is the large amount of capital intervening or exiting?
1. Individual stocks 'lasting up late trading' at high levels. This is a dangerous signal, indicating that the stock is already in the top area. Even if it is possible to hit a new high in the future, it is essentially the end of the strong. The sharp rise is obviously weak, and investors need to sell it in time;
2. The "last-term pull-up" trend appears in the consolidation area of individual stocks' decline relay platform, and the platform is very likely to break down in the future;
3. The "last-term pull-up" of individual stocks at low levels is a noteworthy intervention signal. If the stock price gradually rises from the bottom before the "latest trading pull-up" occurs, and the trading volume steadily increases, indicating that the main funds have sufficiently built positions, then when the "latest trading pull-up" occurs, investors can actively follow up.
Advantages of buying at the end of the trading session
First: Regardless of the rise and fall of the market, the intention of the main stock to operate ten minutes before the closing will definitely be seen, and the probability of the rise of the next day.
Second: Although you can also buy stocks with rising boards in the morning, it is difficult for short-term experts to avoid the risks facing the market in the afternoon.
Third: Although band playing is worry-free, it does not have high short-term returns, and it is difficult to operate and it is easy to make a car.
Practical skills for stock selection in the late trading
operation points:
1. After the opening of the stock, the longest time of the stock fluctuates around the moving average , and fluctuates up and down within 1 point. The longer the oscillation time, the greater the probability of starting to pull out the daily limit!
2. During the process of individual stocks fluctuation, the volume below shrinks severely. The smaller the volume shrinks, the greater the probability of individual stocks starting to pull out the daily limit!
3. When starting, the time-sharing line and moving average start together, and a large number of them are quickly released below. You can buy decisively!
Short-term operation risk control is the first priority. When finding this type of stock, you must quickly analyze the fundamentals and technical aspects of the stock. If the fundamentals and technical aspects are fine and the stock trend is very strong, then if you buy decisively, this type of stock will have great returns in the short term!
(I) Breakthrough the previous high
Operation points:
1. When it exceeds the peak of the previous period, you can go long with confidence when the first and second breakthroughs the previous high. Be careful on the third time, because the price is already high and it is difficult to make a profit, but it is OK at the end of the market.
2. Pay attention to the trend of the daily chart. Only when the daily chart is on an upward trend and the price is not high can you go long. If the stock price is at a high level in consolidation and decline, it should short when it breaks through the previous high for the third time.
The most important thing is to grasp its starting point
(two) three-step high
operation points:
1. Before this pattern is formed, the stock price must have a deep down trend, with the decline greater than 2%.
2. The stock price line has always been below the average price line , and there cannot be a trend of crossing the average price line in the middle.
3. The low points at the three bottoms can only be slightly raised, and the low points at the third bottom cannot be higher than 5% higher than the low points at the first bottom.
Core: 1. There are two most expensive buying points
2. Here it refers to the stock price line being below the average price line, and it is formed before the stock price line rises to the average price line after the opening.
3. The standard three-step height is higher than the bottom one. Non-standard three-step highs allow the first and second lows to be the same, and the third bottom is higher than one and two
(three) double flat bottom
operation points:
1. The stock price decline is relatively large, generally greater than 3%.
2. The bottom points of the two bottoms should be the same value
3. After the second bottom appears, the stock price line must reverse upward and exceed the average price line or the "neck line". At this time, it is "double flat and low".
Core: The white vertical bar is the best buying point for large double bottoms
Note:
1, there are two most expensive buying points for double flat bottoms.
2. The two low points and the neckline high points between the two bottoms can only be below the average price line.
3. Double flat bottoms have small double flat bottoms and large double flat bottoms, both of which can be used for too many.
4. How to tell whether the late trading rise is an opportunity or a trap?
individual stocks that quickly pull up in the late trading need to be comprehensively analyzed in combination with stock prices and K-line patterns.
1. If a stock is running in a slow rising channel, and the stock price suddenly rises at the end of the trading day, it is conducive to the accelerated rise of the trend and K-line pattern. It is in the early stage of the rise, you can track and pay attention appropriately, otherwise you should wait and see.
The above chart is the K-line and time-sharing trend chart of 002619 Julong Pipe Industry on August 16, 2016. The stock price has been running in a slow rising channel. At the end of August 16, Julong Pipe Industry suddenly pulled the stock price from -1.28% to the red market. A cross star K-line closed throughout the day, and the volume shrunk significantly, sending a bullish signal. In the next half month, the stock price rose by nearly 50%.
2. Individual stocks that fluctuate at high levels often experience rapid increase in stock prices at the end of the trading day. Such stocks should be vigilant, especially during the trading hours of each day, which basically maintains a volatile downward trend. At the close, large buying markets actively push up the stock price, leaving the daily K-line in a fluctuating or bullish pattern, covering up the traces of the main force's shipment.
The above chart is the K-line and time-sharing trend chart of 002614 Monvalli on August 8, 2016. The stock price started on July 27, with a large volume rising rapidly, closing two crosses at a relatively high level. Judging from the August 8th time-sharing chart, the early trading plunged rapidly and fell 3%. It was suppressed by the time-sharing moving average and fluctuated at a low level. It ran around the time-sharing moving average in the afternoon. As the closing approached, the main force suddenly pulled the stock price by nearly 1.5%, closing a K-line with a long lower shadow throughout the day, giving people the illusion of strong support below. In fact, it was to cover up the main force's intention to ship, and the stock price fell back to the start position the next month.
3. The stock price is instantly raised at the end of the trading day, and it is necessary to distinguish between two differences: a rapid pull and an infinite rise. [a] The probability of a high pull-up of volume is that the main force is fighting against each other. From the trading stage, we can see that many large orders and integer orders are buying large numbers. In this case, 80 to 10 are the main traders deliberately showing off their strength to retail investors to show them, and luring the trend of the trend; [b] The infinite rise is a sudden stimulus, and the off-market funds are eager to enter, and the stocks can easily reach the daily limit without increasing volume often show two meanings: one is that the main force is reluctant to sell, and the other is that the chips are highly concentrated. In this case, the infinite pull-up, especially the daily limit, can definitely be higher in the future.
[Selected indicators] Tongdaxin Follow the dealer's stock selection tool at the end of the market The index formula of the main chart of the dealer carries
(If you have been in the market for many years and can't choose stocks and buy or sell, you might as well try the "Stock Follow the dealer at the end of the market". The results are all stocks with the main force and the potential of a dark horse. The next thing we have to do is to find the entry position, how to sell high and buy low, and how to find the peak to leave in time; copying the formula code will inevitably cause some format errors. If it cannot be successfully imported, you can follow the official account: Yuesheng Investment Research, get the source code for free!)
White column has no market control, red column has installed control, purple column highly control , green column bank maker ships!
VAR1:=EMA(EMA(CLOSE,9), 9);
control disk:=(VAR1-REF(VAR1,1))/REF(VAR1,1)*1000;
STICKLINE(control disk 0, control disk, 0, 1,0), COLORWHITE;
A10:=CROSS(control disk, 0);
No control disk: IF(control disk 0, control disk, 0), COLORWHITE, NODRAW;
Start control disk: IF(A10, 5, 0), LINETHICK1, COLORYELLOW;
STICKLINE(control disk REF(control disk, 1) AND Control disk 0, Control disk, 0, 1, 0), COLORRED;
You Zhuang Control disk: IF (Control disk REF (Control disk, 1) AND Control disk 0, Control disk, 0), COLORRED, NODRAW;
VAR2:=100*WINNER(CLOSE*0.95);
STICKLINE(VAR250 AND COST(85)0, Control disk, 0, 1, 0), COLORFF00FF;
Height Control disk: IF(VAR250 AND COST(85)0, control disk, 0), COLORFF00FF, NODRAW;
STICKLINE (control disk 0, control disk, 0, 1, 0), COLOR00FF00;
main shipment: IF (control disk 0, control disk, 0), COLOR00FF00, NODRAW;
small tricks for stock trading, great wisdom
1. Technical analysis should be adaptable. Tools can grasp the pulse of stock prices, but they must also break out of the rules and regulations to find the natural and smooth flowing plate; no moves are better than moves, not without moves, but forget the fixed moves and integrate into them. The highest level is to combine two into one.
2. Shrinking volume is the need for the healthy development of stock prices, and immeasurable quantity is a manifestation of weak stock prices. There are essential differences between the two. The volume ratio ranking is a monitoring of individual stock movements, and the capital flow ranking is a display of the main force's dispatch of troops.
3. The angle of moving average changes reflects the speed of stock price change. The size of trading volume determines the range of stock price rise and fall. Things are not good, and it is best to move, and there is no time to hesitate.
4. Don’t care about the level of selling when you make money, but you only make more money and make less money. You can continue to get it if you are sure of not doing risky things. Don’t regret it if you return all the profits. You must know how to cherish what you get, and don’t wait until you lose it before you know how precious it is.
5. Investing is not a 100-meter race, but a marathon. The winning or losing momentarily cannot determine anything. As long as you don’t leave, it may not be possible for anyone to reach the end. Those who can reach the end are destined to be lonely.
6. The stock market is ruthless and people are kind. They defeat the market, invest rationally. They operate against the trend and make up for the more they fall. The more they make up for the more they lose. In a vicious cycle, we must take a break and wait for the trend to operate.
Everything needs to be learned and summarized. There are no experts in the stock market, only losers and winners, and the market is the best teacher. When trading stocks, you need to learn the correct method, especially the trading method that suits your personality. If you are wrong, it will be in vain. The valuable experience gained from trading practice is extremely precious. Reviewing your delivery orders more is also a good way, especially for loss orders, and learn to think hard and summarize more.
If you want to know more about the current A-share stage operation skills and free formula codes, or if you have any doubts, you can follow the official account Yuesheng Investment Research (yslcwh) to obtain the most important investment information and original stock technical analysis methods as soon as possible, and there is a steady stream of dry goods!
(The above content is for reference only and does not constitute operation suggestions. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
Statement: This content is provided by the official account Yuesheng Investment Research (yslcwh), which does not mean that the investment news approves its investment views.
