The nine-in-one election on the island has been over a month since the battle in Taipei has become the focus of attention from the outside world. According to the latest poll by "Zhen Media", "Who will be voted for for the election of Taipei Mayor?", the results showed that the candidate of the Kuomintang Jiang Wanan received 31.3% support, Huang Shanshan, an independent member, got 26.2% and Chen Shizhong of the Democratic Progressive Party, was 23.4%. In this regard, former "legislator" Shen Fuxiong analyzed today that the support for the second and third polls combined is about 50%, a difference of about 5 percentage points. "If this trend remains unchanged, then Jiang Wan'an will be stable."
Shen Fuxiong talked about the radio program "POP Crash News" today that the "Zhen Media" poll is different from the "Mahua" in the latest poll of "Beautiful Island Electronic News", but similar to the polls of "TVBS" and "ETtoday News Cloud", the gap in support for the three candidates has been slightly widened, and when the three polls are very similar, the credibility is actually high.
Shen Fuxiong mentioned that there is another point, that is, the support level of Chen Shizhong and Huang Shanshan is 50% (actually 49.6%), while former "green committee" Guo Zhengliang once said that the second and third place are at most 5 percentage points different; Shen believes that if the trend of the poll support level of Chen and Huang is about 50% and the difference is about 5 percentage points unchanged, the more "entangled" they are, the safer Jiang Wanan will be.
In addition, for the Taoyuan mayoral election, Shen Fuxiong predicted that whether it is air combat or land combat, Zheng Yunpeng would gradually feel difficult, and the princes of all parties of the Kuomintang would finally integrate and complete, so it would be more beneficial to Zhang Shanzheng .
Shen Fuxiong said that according to various polls, Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng are comparable, but whether it is air or land battle, it is more difficult for Zheng Yunpeng.
Shen Fuxiong pointed out that the Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun did not hold the primary election, and there was no way to integrate the princes of all parties in the blue camp. After a period of time, they finally felt that the DPP could not win, such as "legislator" Lu Yuling, Wan Meiling, Speaker Qiu Yisheng and others. Finally, the integration was completed, and this force would greatly offset the grassroots power of Taoyuan Mayor Zheng Wencan.
Shen Fuxiong believes that in air combat, Zhang Shanzheng himself will not fight, but all the Kuomintang generals will come in to help, so in the last 40 days, it is more beneficial to Zhang Shanzheng. (Xue Yang/Edited)
