According to the Hong Kong China Review News Agency, senior media person Huang Weihan analyzed on a political commentary program that the 2020 candidate of the Kuomintang, Han Kuo-yu, will definitely choose better than the former New Taipei Mayor Zhu Lilun, because last time it was a year-end condolence fund issue, which made the military, public and religious affairs not want to vote for the Kuomintang, so they simply did not vote. There is also the "Card Change" incident that leads to dissatisfaction with Zhu Lilun, which is a fair and just procedure. Now that Han Kuo-yu is in the Kuomintang, some people may not like him, but the current situation lies in Song Chuyu, it depends on whether the pendulum effect will occur. Huang Weihan predicts that no matter how bad Han Kuo-yu is, he will receive at least 5 million votes in 2020.
Huang Weihan pointed out in the political commentary program "Ping Lu Wushuang" that the last time Song Chuyu received a huge vote, with 1.57 million votes, which was the most for his personal election. But Song Chuyu got 1.57 million votes, and the People First Party party votes only got 790,000 votes, and there was still a gap of more than 700,000 votes. So at that time, the Blue Army generally believed that Taiwan leaders could not win at all, so they did not want to vote, resulting in Zhu Lilun only getting 3.81 million votes.
Huang Weihan said that no matter how successful a Taipei mayor is, there will be 600,000 votes. No matter how bad Han Kuo-yu is, he has at least 5 million votes, about 40%. It won’t be like what we see now that Korean polls are 22% or 25%, and then Tsai Ing-wen is in the 50s, so the votes will be different from the polls. Han Kuo-yu still won’t win 40%, but he won’t lose more than 3 million votes as ordinary people imagine.
Former DPP "legislator" Shen Fuxiong said that no matter how bad the Kuomintang is this time, the number of seats in the "Legislative Yuan" will not be worse than the last time. There were only 35 seats last time, and this time there will be between 40 and 45 seats. No matter how bad Han Kuo-yu is, the degree to which he drags down the "legislator" is not as bad as last time, so Han Kuo-yu won the votes as ugly as Zhu Lilun, and would be better than Zhu Lilun, but I'm afraid there will not be so many.
Senior media Shang Yifu believes that Han Kuo-yu will get at least 4.5 to 4.8 million votes, and it’s enough to listen to some polls.
