2020 election campaign, former Japanese "representative to Taiwan" Kumada Kumata analyzed that the blue-green gap is within 5%. Wang Youmin, the convener of the Yunlin County "People's Opinion Group", estimated that the Kuomintang candidate Han Kuo-yu can get 6.3 million votes, while the Democratic Progressive Party Tsai Ing-wen has 5.8 million votes. Han Kewang won a small victory of 500,000 votes, but the premise is that the number of votes Song Chuyu of the People First Party must be reduced to less than 500,000 votes.
Wang Youmin said in an exclusive interview with the Hong Kong media "China Review News Agency" that based on previous observations and the figures of underground gambling, Han Kuo-yu can get 6.3 million votes, while Tsai Ing-wen can get 5.8 million votes, and the difference between the two is around 500,000 votes. He also used his polls in various universities to support Tsai Ing-wen, and only more than 20% supported Han Kuo-yu, but nearly 30% of young people did not express their opinions, which proves that not all young ethnic groups will vote for Tsai Ing-wen.
Wang Youmin emphasized that due to the impact of incidents such as Hong Kong and the Kuomintang’s non-district list, Han Kuo-yu may have a decrease in the number of votes, but he is still expected to win 500,000 votes. However, the premise is that the Blue Camp must reduce Song Chuyu's votes to less than 500,000 votes.
Article source: Hong Kong China Review Newsletter
