The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has lasted for hundreds of days so far. As for who can laugh to the end, it is still an unknown number. Although the Ukrainian army regained key areas such as Kharkov , bonus man and Ijium , anyone with a discerning eye knows that all this is just based on the assistance provided by NATO .
However, all this was gone as the Russian army launched an attack on many key cities in Ukraine. Although the Russian army mainly targeted military targets and still did not adopt cover bombing, Ukraine will probably be much more secure after this attack. Of course, in the eyes of the outside world, perhaps this is Russia's helpless move. Even if the first appointment of the commander-in-chief of the operation against Ukraine may not be able to truly help the Russian army reverse the decline.
In this case, Russia needs a decent retreat negotiation. This negotiation is not the West's previous proposal to retreat Russian troops to a position before the conflict broke out, and Russia absolutely cannot accept this result. In the West's view, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may soon usher in a major ending. The premise of ending the conflict is not that Russia takes over the entire Ukraine.
instead, Russia withdraws its troops, the West lifts sanctions, and at the same time, it also needs to hand over Crimea , which will be managed by United Nations . However, no Western country has taken the initiative to stand up and decided to negotiate with Russia. To put it bluntly, this is just a speculation of some Western countries and does not represent NATO's subjective wishes. It can also be said that in the eyes of Western countries, the only condition they can accept is that Russia withdraws its troops, then hand over all occupied territories, and at the same time, it must hand over Crimea. Only in this way can the two sides negotiate.
But have Western countries ever thought of a very critical question? As the global military strength, Russia is second only to the United States. If the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is ended like this, will it make polar bear extremely embarrassing? It can even be said that this move will make Russia's reputation in the international community plummet.
does not rule out that after the end of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, small European countries dare to ride on Russia's head and "do their power". Therefore, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may not end. Appointing Surovikin as the commander-in-chief of the Special Operations against Ukraine may further escalate the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. It is not even ruled out that if Ukraine further "takes evil", it is likely to face further bombing from Russia.
Of course, it is not ruled out that the Ukrainian army will "know shame and then be brave", and further launch a fierce counterattack against the Russian army, striving to regain more territory. However, the Russian army launched a large number of cruise missiles to attack key targets of the Ukrainian army, which was just the "first fire" since Surovigin took office. There are still "two fires" that have not started, so no one knows what kind of military actions Surovigin will take next.
In other words, the next one is not only a contest between Russia and Ukraine, but also a contest between Surovikin and Zalujne. Therefore, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict cannot usher in a finale in the short term. On the contrary, it is very likely that there will be a comprehensive escalation in the short term. Therefore, if the West wants Russia to hand over Crimea, it even requires the return of the four states and withdraw its troops by the way, and can only attribute it to the unrealistic imagination of the West. What's more, when is it the West's turn to do something in Russia?
(text/Huaqiang)
