Many friends diagnosed thyroid cancer
because they meet the conditions, and are recommended to observe
Definition of the maximum diameter of micro-cancer increases by 3 mm
or ultrasound-visible lymph node metastasis is progressive
Although it is usually believed that thyroid cancer is more gentle in young people
stage is also lower (only stage one and two)
But in observable micro-cancers
The probability of progression in young patients is higher
The probability of tumor growth and lymphatic metastasis is significantly higher than that of older patients
20-year-old age group with a 16.9%
70-year-old age group with a 170-year-old age group with a 16.5%
The probability of lifelong progress
Further estimate the probability of lifelong progress
The average life expectancy of a normal person is 85 years old
Take patients with a confirmed age of 55 years old as an example
55 to 65 years old 5.6%
65 to 75 years old 6.6%
75 to 85 years old 3.5%
His micro cancer has a lifelong progression rate of
html l11-(1-0.056)*(1-0.066)*(1-0.035)=14.9%
But this calculation method is defective.
55-year-old confirmed patient with micro cancer has not progressed for ten years
shows that his tumor is relatively lazy.
The probability of progressing in the next decade is likely to be lower than that of
The probability of progressing in the next decade is likely to be lower than that of
65-year-old confirmed patient with progress in ten years
After adjusting the calculation method,
A chance to make lifelong progress in micro cancer in different age groups
20-year-old age group diagnosed with micro cancer
has nearly half of the chance to make progress
, but the longer the observation, the smaller the chance of progress
70-year-old age group diagnosed with micro cancer
has only 3.5% chance of lifelong progress
l2
96.5% probability of not developing in a lifetime
chance of life surgery
Progress in micro cancer does not mean surgery
For example, 4mm micro cancer diagnosed at the age of 55
75 hrs to 8mm does have progress
, but according to the current guidelines, it is still recommended to observe
Starting today, these thyroid cancers do not need to be cut html l3
Only when ultrasound visible lymph node metastasis occurs
or the maximum diameter of the tumor exceeds 13 mm progress
only meets the standard of surgery
Take the database provided by Kuma Hospital as an example
The probability of micro cancer progression within five years is 5%
About 2-3% of the surgery
According to half of the progression, surgery is required. The ratio calculation
20-year-old age group's chance of life-long surgery is 20-30%
40-year-old age group's chance of life-long surgery is 10%
70-year-old age group's chance of life-long surgery is only 2%
Microcancer observation or surgery has always been a hot topic
Before you make a decision, you might as well understand
Does your microcancer meet the observation standards?
What is the chance of your life observing micro cancer?
What are the consequences of the surgery if the surgery is finally delayed?
The decision you make after understanding is rational
Today's article
Let everyone know what the chance of observing a lifetime
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