The "Spring Edition World Economic Outlook Report" released by the International Monetary Fund has caused heated discussions around the world. Among them, it includes , Vietnam News Agency, . The general idea of the article is: Due to the influence of the mutant virus, Vietnam's economic growth rate in 2021 slowed to 2.58%, significantly lower than market expectations.
Even in 2020, when the new coronavirus was raging around the world, Vietnam achieved a real growth of 2.91%. However, it slowed to a mere 2.58% in 2021, setting a "new low since Vietnam's economy took off", which to a certain extent damaged the development confidence of Vietnamese residents.
However, starting from the fourth quarter of 2021, Vietnam has strengthened its efforts to resume work and production, and prevention and control measures have gradually relaxed. By the first quarter of this year, work has basically resumed completely. The large number of orders that were lost before have returned. Nan Sheng noticed that the Vietnam News Agency had published an article on order return of the textile industry.
clearly mentioned: After the epidemic control measures were gradually lifted, Vietnamese textile industry orders have been "arranged to the third quarter". , coupled with the introduction of foreign investment and a number of official investment plans, and the implementation of free trade agreements such as RCEP, Vietnam's economy will once again achieve high growth.
What scale is Vietnam’s economy expected to reach in 2022? What level can
, this "high growth" reach? IMF (International Monetary Fund) predicts that 6%, which is more consistent with the growth target set by the Vietnamese authorities. Please note that this is the "real growth rate after excluding the rising price factors". If the price factors are added, the nominal growth rate will exceed 10%.
This means: Vietnam's GDP will increase from "more than US$360 billion in 2021 to around US$408.95 billion in 2022" - the IMF predicts that Vietnam will successfully enter a new level of US$400 billion this year, and will further narrow the gap with Philippines , Malaysia and other countries.
At the same time, the IMF also estimates that the per capita GDP in Vietnam will increase significantly from around US$3,700 in 2021 to US$4,120 in 2022. In other words, Vietnam's economic scale and per capita GDP will likely achieve a breakthrough of "two four thousand" in 2022. Do netizens agree? How did
IMF predict China, the United States, India and Russia?
Our neighbor, Vietnam's economy, is expected to achieve a major breakthrough in 2022. So how did the IMF predict for China, the United States, Russia, India and other countries? Let’s look at China first. The IMF’s expectations are to grow by 4.4%, and GDP will rise to US$19.91 trillion, with an average of approximately US$14,100 per capita.
is close to the expected $20 trillion, which is basically consistent with Nan Sheng’s previous prediction. Judging from the current situation, my country's economy is still facing pressure on epidemic prevention and control, and a number of data also show that "sluggish domestic demand and external demand slow down, appearing simultaneously." Stabilizing growth is urgent.
Although the IMF's estimate of the US economic growth rate in 2022 is only 3.7%, it is still lower than that of my country. But "the growth rate is not enough, inflation is coming to make up", driven by the rising CPI and PPI , the scale of the US economy is likely to exceed US$25 trillion - the IMF predicts to be US$25.35 trillion.
U.S. per capita GDP will also increase significantly from nearly US$70,000 in 2021 to around US$76,000 in 2022, continuing to lead the world's major economies. In comparison, Russia's economy may actually shrink by 8.5%, with GDP around US$1.83 trillion and per capita close to US$12,600.
In India, the IMF (International Monetary Fund) continues to give an optimistic assessment - the growth rate is expected to be 8.2%, which will be the highest among the world's major powers. India's economic scale in 2022 is estimated to be US$3.29 trillion, and the per capita is expected to be around US$2,340. This article is compiled and written by [Nan Sheng]. Please do not reprint or plagiarize without authorization!
