2012 has passed a long time ago, but the end of the world is still hesitating and wandering at a certain point in the distant future...
Although it is just a false alarm, many people on earth have been busy for a while back then. There are really a variety of things: there are those who have scattered all their wealth, those who have stored food for 50 years, and those who have prepared 25,000 bullets and fired at home. There are all kinds of strange things, and there are many things.
Such a waste of money and money will always bring some gains. Here, the author initiates a "think experiment" to explore the path of human rejuvenation after the end of the world. Today's literary and artistic works (especially science fiction films and TV series) depict the survival status of survivors after the end of the world, which is overwhelming. "The Danger of the Doomsday", " Future Water World ", "The Walking Dead", " Survival Day "... are all about the topic of "survival after the end of the world". However, there are not many works to mention how survivors can restore productivity and revitalize human civilization.
This is probably because it depicts survival in the end, either humans fight against monsters, humans fight against humans, or humans fight against harsh environments, with fierce conflicts and flesh and blood flying, making it easy to tell wonderful stories. It is actually quite interesting to explore the process of post-catastrophe revival of civilization that is rarely mentioned. Let’s just say it a little bit, and choose the most common post-catastrophe setting, such as the science fiction American drama "The Walking Dead" that caused a huge population loss due to some kind of catastrophe, but the artifact civilization was not greatly damaged.
In this setting, although the path of human rejuvenation has fragments left by modern civilization that can be used, it is a "shortcut", it still faces huge difficulties. It can be said that there are traps step by step and risks every day. However, these difficulties and risks are roughly foreseeable. I hope that if the doomsday really comes, the surviving human beings can escape the danger smoothly and revitalize human civilization as quickly as possible.
Of course, I hope that humans will never have this day.
Aggregation of population is the top priority for rejuvenation. Without population, nothing can be said. When a species faces natural challenges, the number of populations is the key to whether the species can continue. Watching the TV series "The Walking Dead", we can actually bear the invincibility of human beings as long as they can successfully gather tens of thousands of people, they can completely stand invincible and rescue the earth from the zombie army.
The large number of people not only makes human beings confident and confident in fighting natural disasters, but also is the driving force and guarantee for the prosperity of civilization. Currently, most of the richest areas on the earth are extremely dense areas; while many sparsely populated areas have always been in extreme poverty. With a small population or a dispersed state, humans may not be extinct, but their level of civilization is likely to be imprisoned in the agricultural era or the nomadic era, making it difficult to revive industrial civilization.
Because in economic activities, specialized division of labor can greatly promote the improvement of productivity. The finer the specialized division of labor, the higher the economic and technological level. Whether a specialized division of labor can be achieved depends on the population density and quantity. The density is low and the quantity is small, so it is extremely difficult to form a specialized division of labor. In addition, if the population is small, the market size will be small, making it difficult for the exchange economy to be active. Therefore, only by gathering enough population can a professional and large-scale social division of labor be formed, prosperous commercial exchanges can be achieved, and industrial civilization will have the basis and hope for revitalization.
History is very clear. There is nothing new under the sun: after the end of the world, there have been countless literary and artistic works that have depicted the end of the world in the past few years. It seems that many people are particularly pessimistic about the behavior of human beings after the end of the world... Here, we can only remind humans: they must try their best to prevent such internal struggles, integrate human powers in all possible ways, and fight against disasters in unison. If humans meaninglessly consume the precious resources left over from the civilized world on their own killing, they will most likely miss the opportunity to quickly revive industrial civilization.
" Several lines of names in history, Beimeng countless desert hills."If the first step in the road to rejuvenation of civilization is a "magnificent" and "exciting" war "epic" with a large number of "heroes", it is a great misfortune for the people, a huge disaster for civilization, and a great sorrow for mankind.
The new era requires a new lifestyle and values. Even if this new world is a very bad world, survivors can only adapt to it because they have no choice. Trying to restore the lifestyle of the heyday of civilization from the beginning, such actions are incorrect and inappropriate, and very Dangerous.
A typical example is the choice of the "governor" in "The Walking Dead". This insidious and cunning gang leader constantly attacks other survivors and searches for all kinds of materials to maintain a false illusion: trying his best to restore the lifestyle before the disaster.
In the small town he occupied, people's lives looked similar to those before the disaster, but this was maintained by plundering precious materials robbed, even those who have some knowledge inside them It is difficult to agree with such a way to consume precious legacy materials in vain.
The idea that the road to civilized rejuvenation after the end of the world can be slowly taken is very dangerous. In fact, survivors are chasing very closely and cannot delay. Life like a wild crane is the most luxurious thing in this era.
The reason is very simple. The resources left over from the civilized world cannot be preserved for many years. Human beings must be extremely busy from the day of the disaster, and they cannot be wasted a day.
collects and saves all kinds of resources left over from the civilized world and preserves them properly. The first step in the road to revival should be to collect and rescue all useful materials and equipment. All kinds of production equipment and knowledge information should be rescued and preserved first, which is to preserve and revive the production capacity of human society.
does not need to worry about the survival problem for the time being. Food, clothing, medicines, etc. left over from industrial civilization can guarantee the lives of survivors, and even the living standards can be different from the industrial age in a short period of time. Not big. However, this happy time is very short, and the period is until the remaining food and medicines are spoiled and corrupt (not the shelf life marked on the packaging, but the actual deterioration). After industrially manufactured food and medicines are consumed, people must rely on natural economic production methods such as hunting and fishing to survive.
Therefore, the first social form of the road to revival will be the fishing and hunting society. People with technical knowledge in the team must go out every day and collect everything from everywhere to value The value of the remains of the civilization era. Food and medicine are naturally the first choice goal, and the most important thing is the machinery and equipment and information materials that are extremely important for industrial revival.
people who have no technology, do not know goods due to low knowledge level, and have poor physical strength, are responsible for hunting and fishing, and work hard for the team's food and clothing. The production method of fishing, hunting and gathering was extremely unstable in ancient times, but in the post-catastrophe era, the output was guaranteed because survivors have the legacy of the civilization era Efficient production tools, such as high-precision rifles, animal clips, and excellent fishing gear. Before these efficient production tools gradually become damaged and fail, human beings must upgrade civilization to a more advanced form-agricultural era.
If this cannot be done, it will be dangerous. The failure of efficient production tools will greatly reduce production efficiency, and the sharp drop in output will not be able to support a huge population. A large reduction in population will be inevitable until it decreases to the point where the collective production method can effectively support it. During this period, wars are likely to break out.
In view of the instability of the fishing, hunting and gathering economic model in the original natural state, human beings cannot place their hopes on learning and mastering the original fishing, hunting and gathering skills and adapting to backward production methods, but should strive toward the agricultural era. When survivors still have a large number of efficient production tools in their hands, they should prepare for the development of agriculture in the future.
Revival of agriculture is an important part that cannot be skipped in the process of civilized rejuvenation.Eating is the top priority. It is produced by fishing, hunting and gathering. The output is unstable. Even the higher-level nomadic production methods have weak risk resistance. We must first revitalize agriculture and ensure a relatively stable food supply in order to revitalize industry.
Agricultural revival is the loss of agricultural machinery and equipment, and pesticides and fertilizers can no longer be expected. The most serious ones are the high-yield, disease-resistant and insect-resistant hybrid crop seeds and genetically modified crop seeds that cannot be retained (forcing seeds and then sowing them again, the trait separation will occur. The offspring is of varying quality, and the yield and quality will be greatly reduced). The survivors will completely enjoy the "green and organic" traditional crop seeds from now on, but the grain yield will be greatly reduced. In addition, animal husbandry is also very likely to have large-scale epidemic diseases due to the lack of livestock drugs and vaccines, and livestock and even personnel may be seriously threatened... The modern socialized agricultural production method supported by industrial civilization has collapsed, and survivors have to learn to master primitive and traditional agricultural production technologies to adapt to this era of degradation.
This is completely different from the choice of relying entirely on efficient production tools in the fishing, hunting and gathering stage, without reviving the original production methods and refusing to adapt to the era of degradation. Because of this, the agricultural era is much more dangerous for the revival of civilization than the fishing, hunting and gathering era. The extreme dependence on efficient production tools in the fishing and hunting stage, but Huala, which can be reminded from time to time, must also speed up its development and get rid of its dependence on non-renewable efficient production tools as soon as possible.
The agricultural era is not the case, so its danger may be second only to war, because humans have to restore traditional agricultural production methods. Unlike the modern socialized agricultural production mode with detailed division of labor, extensive collaboration and openness, the essential characteristics of traditional agricultural production mode are scattered, isolated, closed and narrow, which is extremely unfavorable to the promotion of human enterprising spirit. Many people may be addicted to the self-sufficient and leisurely farm life (in the second season of "The Walking Dead", Rick's team showed this tendency on the farm, but in the end they almost sat down and waited for death, and the team suffered heavy losses), and lost interest in the future. The closed and conservative small peasant economy can barely live a stable and peaceful life as long as the harvest is good, so it is easy to destroy people's will, making them unwilling to tighten their nerves and hurry to run towards the industrial society.
If you wander in the small peasant era for too long, it will waste too much time. The artifacts and equipment left over from civilized society will gradually fail and rust, thus causing human beings to be imprisoned in the small peasant economy era for a long time. We must be highly vigilant against such a huge danger!
In fact, the biggest enemy of the revival of civilization is the laziness of human beings themselves. There are several important choices worth talking about during this period.
Selection of settlement and development location After the disaster is over, survivors should go to the north, because the temperature in the north is low, and it is not easy to cause plagues to break out due to the rotten bodies of the victims. Moreover, in the low-temperature and dry environment in the north, the mechanical equipment left over from the civilized world ages and rusts slowly than in the south.
Selection of talents The talents needed for the great cause of rejuvenation after the disaster are technical application scientists, engineers and technical workers, as well as experts in agricultural planting and breeding; while R&D talents (especially cutting-edge scientists) are not urgently needed,
Because the most needed era of revival is to copy the development path of the heyday of human civilization, but it is not to conduct "trial and error" exploration of unknown fields. In other words, the "doomsday ticket" is likely not to be issued to Hawking ...
The most important items should be revived first medical technology medical technology is related to life and death, and is extremely important. The top priority is to concentrate efforts and resources to restore the production of antibiotics as soon as possible. The revival and production of other drugs are not urgent. The greatest medical revolution in human history is the emergence of antibiotics. Only after the birth of antibiotics has an explosive population growth. It is most urgent to significantly increase the population size and restore antibiotic production. There is also fertility medicine technology, which must also be restored as soon as possible.
2012 has passed a long time ago, but the end of the world is still hesitating and wandering at a certain point in the distant future...
Although it is just a false alarm, many people on earth have been busy for a while back then. There are really a variety of things: there are those who have scattered all their wealth, those who have stored food for 50 years, and those who have prepared 25,000 bullets and fired at home. There are all kinds of strange things, and there are many things.
Such a waste of money and money will always bring some gains. Here, the author initiates a "think experiment" to explore the path of human rejuvenation after the end of the world. Today's literary and artistic works (especially science fiction films and TV series) depict the survival status of survivors after the end of the world, which is overwhelming. "The Danger of the Doomsday", " Future Water World ", "The Walking Dead", " Survival Day "... are all about the topic of "survival after the end of the world". However, there are not many works to mention how survivors can restore productivity and revitalize human civilization.
This is probably because it depicts survival in the end, either humans fight against monsters, humans fight against humans, or humans fight against harsh environments, with fierce conflicts and flesh and blood flying, making it easy to tell wonderful stories. It is actually quite interesting to explore the process of post-catastrophe revival of civilization that is rarely mentioned. Let’s just say it a little bit, and choose the most common post-catastrophe setting, such as the science fiction American drama "The Walking Dead" that caused a huge population loss due to some kind of catastrophe, but the artifact civilization was not greatly damaged.
In this setting, although the path of human rejuvenation has fragments left by modern civilization that can be used, it is a "shortcut", it still faces huge difficulties. It can be said that there are traps step by step and risks every day. However, these difficulties and risks are roughly foreseeable. I hope that if the doomsday really comes, the surviving human beings can escape the danger smoothly and revitalize human civilization as quickly as possible.
Of course, I hope that humans will never have this day.
Aggregation of population is the top priority for rejuvenation. Without population, nothing can be said. When a species faces natural challenges, the number of populations is the key to whether the species can continue. Watching the TV series "The Walking Dead", we can actually bear the invincibility of human beings as long as they can successfully gather tens of thousands of people, they can completely stand invincible and rescue the earth from the zombie army.
The large number of people not only makes human beings confident and confident in fighting natural disasters, but also is the driving force and guarantee for the prosperity of civilization. Currently, most of the richest areas on the earth are extremely dense areas; while many sparsely populated areas have always been in extreme poverty. With a small population or a dispersed state, humans may not be extinct, but their level of civilization is likely to be imprisoned in the agricultural era or the nomadic era, making it difficult to revive industrial civilization.
Because in economic activities, specialized division of labor can greatly promote the improvement of productivity. The finer the specialized division of labor, the higher the economic and technological level. Whether a specialized division of labor can be achieved depends on the population density and quantity. The density is low and the quantity is small, so it is extremely difficult to form a specialized division of labor. In addition, if the population is small, the market size will be small, making it difficult for the exchange economy to be active. Therefore, only by gathering enough population can a professional and large-scale social division of labor be formed, prosperous commercial exchanges can be achieved, and industrial civilization will have the basis and hope for revitalization.
History is very clear. There is nothing new under the sun: after the end of the world, there have been countless literary and artistic works that have depicted the end of the world in the past few years. It seems that many people are particularly pessimistic about the behavior of human beings after the end of the world... Here, we can only remind humans: they must try their best to prevent such internal struggles, integrate human powers in all possible ways, and fight against disasters in unison. If humans meaninglessly consume the precious resources left over from the civilized world on their own killing, they will most likely miss the opportunity to quickly revive industrial civilization.
" Several lines of names in history, Beimeng countless desert hills."If the first step in the road to rejuvenation of civilization is a "magnificent" and "exciting" war "epic" with a large number of "heroes", it is a great misfortune for the people, a huge disaster for civilization, and a great sorrow for mankind.
The new era requires a new lifestyle and values. Even if this new world is a very bad world, survivors can only adapt to it because they have no choice. Trying to restore the lifestyle of the heyday of civilization from the beginning, such actions are incorrect and inappropriate, and very Dangerous.
A typical example is the choice of the "governor" in "The Walking Dead". This insidious and cunning gang leader constantly attacks other survivors and searches for all kinds of materials to maintain a false illusion: trying his best to restore the lifestyle before the disaster.
In the small town he occupied, people's lives looked similar to those before the disaster, but this was maintained by plundering precious materials robbed, even those who have some knowledge inside them It is difficult to agree with such a way to consume precious legacy materials in vain.
The idea that the road to civilized rejuvenation after the end of the world can be slowly taken is very dangerous. In fact, survivors are chasing very closely and cannot delay. Life like a wild crane is the most luxurious thing in this era.
The reason is very simple. The resources left over from the civilized world cannot be preserved for many years. Human beings must be extremely busy from the day of the disaster, and they cannot be wasted a day.
collects and saves all kinds of resources left over from the civilized world and preserves them properly. The first step in the road to revival should be to collect and rescue all useful materials and equipment. All kinds of production equipment and knowledge information should be rescued and preserved first, which is to preserve and revive the production capacity of human society.
does not need to worry about the survival problem for the time being. Food, clothing, medicines, etc. left over from industrial civilization can guarantee the lives of survivors, and even the living standards can be different from the industrial age in a short period of time. Not big. However, this happy time is very short, and the period is until the remaining food and medicines are spoiled and corrupt (not the shelf life marked on the packaging, but the actual deterioration). After industrially manufactured food and medicines are consumed, people must rely on natural economic production methods such as hunting and fishing to survive.
Therefore, the first social form of the road to revival will be the fishing and hunting society. People with technical knowledge in the team must go out every day and collect everything from everywhere to value The value of the remains of the civilization era. Food and medicine are naturally the first choice goal, and the most important thing is the machinery and equipment and information materials that are extremely important for industrial revival.
people who have no technology, do not know goods due to low knowledge level, and have poor physical strength, are responsible for hunting and fishing, and work hard for the team's food and clothing. The production method of fishing, hunting and gathering was extremely unstable in ancient times, but in the post-catastrophe era, the output was guaranteed because survivors have the legacy of the civilization era Efficient production tools, such as high-precision rifles, animal clips, and excellent fishing gear. Before these efficient production tools gradually become damaged and fail, human beings must upgrade civilization to a more advanced form-agricultural era.
If this cannot be done, it will be dangerous. The failure of efficient production tools will greatly reduce production efficiency, and the sharp drop in output will not be able to support a huge population. A large reduction in population will be inevitable until it decreases to the point where the collective production method can effectively support it. During this period, wars are likely to break out.
In view of the instability of the fishing, hunting and gathering economic model in the original natural state, human beings cannot place their hopes on learning and mastering the original fishing, hunting and gathering skills and adapting to backward production methods, but should strive toward the agricultural era. When survivors still have a large number of efficient production tools in their hands, they should prepare for the development of agriculture in the future.
Revival of agriculture is an important part that cannot be skipped in the process of civilized rejuvenation.Eating is the top priority. It is produced by fishing, hunting and gathering. The output is unstable. Even the higher-level nomadic production methods have weak risk resistance. We must first revitalize agriculture and ensure a relatively stable food supply in order to revitalize industry.
Agricultural revival is the loss of agricultural machinery and equipment, and pesticides and fertilizers can no longer be expected. The most serious ones are the high-yield, disease-resistant and insect-resistant hybrid crop seeds and genetically modified crop seeds that cannot be retained (forcing seeds and then sowing them again, the trait separation will occur. The offspring is of varying quality, and the yield and quality will be greatly reduced). The survivors will completely enjoy the "green and organic" traditional crop seeds from now on, but the grain yield will be greatly reduced. In addition, animal husbandry is also very likely to have large-scale epidemic diseases due to the lack of livestock drugs and vaccines, and livestock and even personnel may be seriously threatened... The modern socialized agricultural production method supported by industrial civilization has collapsed, and survivors have to learn to master primitive and traditional agricultural production technologies to adapt to this era of degradation.
This is completely different from the choice of relying entirely on efficient production tools in the fishing, hunting and gathering stage, without reviving the original production methods and refusing to adapt to the era of degradation. Because of this, the agricultural era is much more dangerous for the revival of civilization than the fishing, hunting and gathering era. The extreme dependence on efficient production tools in the fishing and hunting stage, but Huala, which can be reminded from time to time, must also speed up its development and get rid of its dependence on non-renewable efficient production tools as soon as possible.
The agricultural era is not the case, so its danger may be second only to war, because humans have to restore traditional agricultural production methods. Unlike the modern socialized agricultural production mode with detailed division of labor, extensive collaboration and openness, the essential characteristics of traditional agricultural production mode are scattered, isolated, closed and narrow, which is extremely unfavorable to the promotion of human enterprising spirit. Many people may be addicted to the self-sufficient and leisurely farm life (in the second season of "The Walking Dead", Rick's team showed this tendency on the farm, but in the end they almost sat down and waited for death, and the team suffered heavy losses), and lost interest in the future. The closed and conservative small peasant economy can barely live a stable and peaceful life as long as the harvest is good, so it is easy to destroy people's will, making them unwilling to tighten their nerves and hurry to run towards the industrial society.
If you wander in the small peasant era for too long, it will waste too much time. The artifacts and equipment left over from civilized society will gradually fail and rust, thus causing human beings to be imprisoned in the small peasant economy era for a long time. We must be highly vigilant against such a huge danger!
In fact, the biggest enemy of the revival of civilization is the laziness of human beings themselves. There are several important choices worth talking about during this period.
Selection of settlement and development location After the disaster is over, survivors should go to the north, because the temperature in the north is low, and it is not easy to cause plagues to break out due to the rotten bodies of the victims. Moreover, in the low-temperature and dry environment in the north, the mechanical equipment left over from the civilized world ages and rusts slowly than in the south.
Selection of talents The talents needed for the great cause of rejuvenation after the disaster are technical application scientists, engineers and technical workers, as well as experts in agricultural planting and breeding; while R&D talents (especially cutting-edge scientists) are not urgently needed,
Because the most needed era of revival is to copy the development path of the heyday of human civilization, but it is not to conduct "trial and error" exploration of unknown fields. In other words, the "doomsday ticket" is likely not to be issued to Hawking ...
The most important items should be revived first medical technology medical technology is related to life and death, and is extremely important. The top priority is to concentrate efforts and resources to restore the production of antibiotics as soon as possible. The revival and production of other drugs are not urgent. The greatest medical revolution in human history is the emergence of antibiotics. Only after the birth of antibiotics has an explosive population growth. It is most urgent to significantly increase the population size and restore antibiotic production. There is also fertility medicine technology, which must also be restored as soon as possible.The production of fertility medical devices should be ensured to recover as soon as possible, and the maturity and mastery of efficient and safe delivery technology (focus on caesarean section technology) should be achieved, so as to reduce fertility mortality and ensure the strong reproductive ability of humans. The reproductive power of species is the most important weapon to fight catastrophes. Many species have fallen on the long road of evolution because of problems with reproductive power.
After the revival of these two technologies, the most priority should be restored is medical technology, which is the development and production of various types of vaccines. Selection of mechanical equipment. A large-scale manufacturing equipment is due to the collapse of the industrial system and the breakdown of the industrial chain, resulting in the lack of power and raw materials, and most of them cannot be used. They can only be kept as properly as possible in order to copy in the future. Household electromechanical equipment is the most common. The focus of collection should be on equipment that can operate independently without relying on the system, such as cars, ships, cooking equipment, washing machines, household generators... and cannot operate independently, such as TVs, mobile phones (no signal is waste). If you can't take care of it, you can give up and save only some samples for future research and replication.
The cars scattered all over the ground are very valuable resources. Intact cars are spontaneously ignited by themselves as the best means of transportation. Try not to give up even if they are damaged cars. The whole body of a car is full of treasures, and the engine is a good source of power and can be converted into agricultural machinery. Other parts are also used in many ways, and even steel plates, screws, steel balls, cannot be wasted. These are precious treasures before industrial manufacturing capabilities are restored. Collect and copy
information - this is an extremely important event. The current increasingly fierce wave of information electronicization is extremely unfavorable to the preservation and replication of information in the post-catastrophe era. This dangerous trend must be taken with sufficient attention. During the collection process of
, any valuable books must naturally be kept, while all kinds of computers and smartphones, and various electronic information storage devices (mobile hard disks, CDs, USB disks) cannot be missed, because all kinds of real
knowledge information may be stored (although most computers currently mainly save games and movies). After retrieval, a person must be arranged to search immediately to collect useful technical information. The power provided by small fuel generators must be given priority to this work. Then, select middle-aged and elderly women who have good cultural cultivation but are weak in physical strength and cannot participate in production activities, constantly copy various technical knowledge from the computer, and copy the electronic information to paper media as soon as possible to facilitate inheritance. Therefore, paper and pen and ink should also be the key targets of collection.
Papermaking technology is also one of the technologies that should be revived first. However, this technology does not have to rely entirely on the revival of industry. It can learn more primitive classical papermaking, which neither occupies industrial resources nor provides employment opportunities for manual laborers without industrial technology.
and other humans have successfully overcome many crises and have developed to the threshold of industrial rejuvenation, things actually become simple. The core key to industrial rejuvenation is actually very clear, which is to establish a coal-steel combined heavy industry as soon as possible. Specifically, it is to concentrate resources (especially the mechanical equipment collected and preserved) in the coal and steel industries. Coal mining produces coke to make steel. The steel produced is given priority to factories related to coal mine production. The coal and iron departments are expanded in circulation and finally restored the basic industry.
This trick has been tried and effective and is very effective. Not only did the industrial revolution start with this, but the famous industrial revival cases in human history also basically followed this path. For example, the industrial revival of Japan and Europe after in World War II began with the joint production of coal and steel. Therefore, survivors should choose their settlements from the beginning in areas with large fertile land and abundant coal mines and iron ore, so that after the agricultural revival, the coal-steel consortium can be developed conveniently and smoothly. After the joint production of coal-steel in combination has formed a climate, we should have the ability to produce primary power machinery and pressure processing machinery as soon as possible to rebuild the equipment manufacturing industry. The equipment manufacturing industry is known as the "industrial master machine" and is the cornerstone of the manufacturing industry. As long as the machine tools and basic manufacturing equipment can be produced, the production of other mechanical equipment is naturally no problem.For people, food and clothing must be met first, so agricultural machinery and textile machinery should be given priority after having "industrial mother machines", followed by the recovery of electricity and fertilizer production.
Since resources have been concentrated in heavy industry for a long time, the consumer goods industry will not take care of development for a long time, and people's living standards will be difficult to improve in a short period of time. This may be the most painful stage in the industrial rejuvenation process. However, due to the existing leftover mechanical equipment and household electromechanical equipment collected and preserved before, this stage may not be so painful...
It should be noted that early industrial production must first solve the problems of "existence" and "nothing", and the quality and advancedness of the product are not the most critical. Relying on the materials and equipment left over from the previous civilization, despite the many crises, mankind is still very sure of reviving modern industrial civilization. The most valuable and most effective thing on the road to revival is information and experience. With them, the direction of development will be clear. Because it is a replication of previous successful experience, humans do not have to pay a huge price like headless flies to rush around and do "trial and error" everywhere, and will not take detours, so the speed of revival is very fast.
However, after the revival, human civilization is very likely to encounter a crisis, that is, the development model that focuses on replicating past experience will form path dependence, resulting in extremely insufficient innovation capabilities of human society. Therefore, after the civilization returns to the highest level before the disaster, it will encounter bottlenecks and the technological level will enter a long-term platform period of lingering in the same place. Moreover, path dependence will make humans miss opportunities for better choices.
After the catastrophe, everything was demolished and rebuilt. Human beings can actually choose some more reasonable new technologies, new designs and new systems, but path dependence is likely to cause human beings to miss this great opportunity. For example, if the revival was based on electric vehicles and were the mainstream and charging stations were built instead of gas stations, it would be difficult to promote fuel vehicles, thus achieving the rise of electric vehicles. However, there are hundreds of millions of fuel vehicles left over from the civilization era, and many engines and parts will definitely be used in agricultural machinery manufacturing. A large number of cars that are properly kept will be increasingly unsealed and used by the functional departments of the authorities and the powerful and wealthy people. On the road, there will be a wonder of carriages running side by side with the master's cars. Therefore, the fuel delivery method will eventually be mainly refueling, and humans still embark on the road...
Sometimes, with foresight, it will not be possible to work... I can only hope that humans at that time can overcome this inertia and get rid of path dependence.
For people, food and clothing must be met first, so agricultural machinery and textile machinery should be given priority after having "industrial mother machines", followed by the recovery of electricity and fertilizer production.
Since resources have been concentrated in heavy industry for a long time, the consumer goods industry will not take care of development for a long time, and people's living standards will be difficult to improve in a short period of time. This may be the most painful stage in the industrial rejuvenation process. However, due to the existing leftover mechanical equipment and household electromechanical equipment collected and preserved before, this stage may not be so painful...
It should be noted that early industrial production must first solve the problems of "existence" and "nothing", and the quality and advancedness of the product are not the most critical. Relying on the materials and equipment left over from the previous civilization, despite the many crises, mankind is still very sure of reviving modern industrial civilization. The most valuable and most effective thing on the road to revival is information and experience. With them, the direction of development will be clear. Because it is a replication of previous successful experience, humans do not have to pay a huge price like headless flies to rush around and do "trial and error" everywhere, and will not take detours, so the speed of revival is very fast.
However, after the revival, human civilization is very likely to encounter a crisis, that is, the development model that focuses on replicating past experience will form path dependence, resulting in extremely insufficient innovation capabilities of human society. Therefore, after the civilization returns to the highest level before the disaster, it will encounter bottlenecks and the technological level will enter a long-term platform period of lingering in the same place. Moreover, path dependence will make humans miss opportunities for better choices.
After the catastrophe, everything was demolished and rebuilt. Human beings can actually choose some more reasonable new technologies, new designs and new systems, but path dependence is likely to cause human beings to miss this great opportunity. For example, if the revival was based on electric vehicles and were the mainstream and charging stations were built instead of gas stations, it would be difficult to promote fuel vehicles, thus achieving the rise of electric vehicles. However, there are hundreds of millions of fuel vehicles left over from the civilization era, and many engines and parts will definitely be used in agricultural machinery manufacturing. A large number of cars that are properly kept will be increasingly unsealed and used by the functional departments of the authorities and the powerful and wealthy people. On the road, there will be a wonder of carriages running side by side with the master's cars. Therefore, the fuel delivery method will eventually be mainly refueling, and humans still embark on the road...
Sometimes, with foresight, it will not be possible to work... I can only hope that humans at that time can overcome this inertia and get rid of path dependence.
