Will the world break out of World War ?
If this issue was discussed in the past few years, I believe everyone would think it was a fantasy, alarmist, and a whole crazy. However, I believe that when we talk about it now, many people will no longer think it is alarmist, but will remain highly vigilant about it.
Although the terrifying nuclear balance between major powers will not easily cause humanity to fall into a new world war, everyone has seen the world situation today. The most powerful country in the world leads a group of allies to no longer abide by the world rules set by World War II . The mutual trust between major powers will be gone, and the risk of a world war will increase significantly.
zhanhao Here two points are mentioned, one is the United States and Russia, and the other is China and the United States.
The United States and Russia have completely fallen into hostility. Although the United States has repeatedly emphasized that it will not directly break out of military conflicts with Russia, Russia has fought with Ukraine, the direct agent of the United States. This is a war directly involved in one of the major powers, and it is actually only a step away from the war between major powers. Is it possible to see if the US-Russia relations are still good now? At least there is no possibility of even a slight chance in the expected time! The result must be achieved on the battlefield!
Zhan Hao judged from November last year that the Russian-Ukraine war would be fought, and it was also determined that Russia would not lose in this war. It would be a war to destroy the country against Ukraine. Even though the Russian battlefield seemed difficult a while ago, a large number of media and public opinion believed that Russia's war in Ukraine would likely fail. Zhan Hao kept emphasizing two points: , one is that the Russian army cannot fail; the other is that Ukraine will likely destroy the country, and it is most likely to be divided into three in the future. The current pattern is the development trend.
Is Zhan Hao a god? How to predict so accurately? In fact, the reason is very simple. The intention of a great country is there, the contradictions are irreconcilable and must be developed. There are so many factors that can be played around and acted around, and the result is that. As long as you don’t simply look with tinted glasses of emotions, you can see clearly. There is no secret. Back to the Russian-Ukrainian war, it is impossible for the United States to fight for him, so his ending was destined since the beginning of the war!
So, what about between China and the United States?
The US official listed China as its number one strategic competitor in 2017. In the past five years, it has actually been various attempts to suppress China, including trade wars, technological wars, street revolution in Hong Kong, frequent smear and attacks on China's internal affairs... All of this is a blow by the US to regard China as its primary strategic rival. The whole world has seen the result of the attack. The United States cannot defeat China on its own, so the United States will unite its allies to suppress China. All the actions of the United States now revolve around this action. The Russian-Ukraine war also broke out in this context. The United States aims to "unified front" Europe and make NATO a tool to maintain world hegemony.
The ultimate goal of the United States is China. If the United States wants to maintain hegemony, it must interrupt China's path of rejuvenation. Whoever wants to interrupt China's path of rejuvenation is the enemy of the 1.4 billion Chinese people. How can this contradiction be reconciled? So is it an alarmist statement that a proxy war or even a direct military conflict broke out between China and the United States? Of course not!
In fact, at this stage, the possibility of a military conflict between China and the United States is no less than that between the United States and Russia, and may even be even higher. Why do you say so? Because there are still many buffers between the United States and Russia, especially in Eastern Europe, countries like Ukraine serve as cannon fodder for the United States. Ukraine is a hole in the conflict between the United States and Russia. Even if we take a few steps back, for the United States, there is still a NATO platform buffer between the United States and Russia, and there is room for competition such as Polish , Baltic Three Kingdoms , and Romania . Therefore, the possibility of a direct conflict between the United States and Russia is very small at least in terms of geographical terms. The United States only regards Europe as a tool for its global hegemony.
Although China and the United States are separated from the Pacific Ocean, in fact, once the United States loses the first island chain , it means that the entire East Asia and the Western Pacific are lost. Compared with Eastern Europe, the United States expanded after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Most of the Western Pacific is the traditional territory of the United States since World War II, so military conflicts are likely to break out between China and the United States in the competition for the first island chain . For China, Taiwan Province and the South China Sea region on the first island chain are both a must-fight for China, and this is also a must-fight for US hegemony, so the room for conflict reconciliation is actually very small.
Moreover, due to China's commitment to not first use nuclear weapon , the possibility of a military conflict between China and the United States triggering nuclear war is lower. What's more, the United States also ranks China as its first strategic opponent, and its ultimate goal is China, which is the fundamental reason why China must be prepared.
Of course, at this stage, it is still far from the world war, and the probability of the new Cold War breaking out is already very high. At the same time, the COVID-19 pandemic, a major event at the world war level, is deepening. Just like the judgment made by Zhan Hao in March 2020, this is a major event at the level of a world war. This epidemic has objectively promoted the sharp advancement of all political and economic orders.
World War I and World War II Why did it happen? In the final analysis, the world's colonial resources are not enough to divide the great powers, and the world has entered the stage of game of existing resources. In fashionable terms, it has entered the stage of inverse . Battle of and World War II are essentially a great war triggered by the internal circulation of the great powers. Today, the world is a game state of stock resources, and it has many similarities with the situation during World War I and World War II.
At this stage, the overall development of science and technology has been stagnant, and the capital of developed countries’ capital is increasingly demanding for profits, but at the same time they do not participate in production. People from all over the world have the need to improve their living standards, so the core contradictions broke out. When the world's increments are gone and demand continues to grow, the existing resources are definitely far from enough, and the fierce competition begins. Global internal circulation, the game between big powers is the first to be affected, and small countries are of course in the first place!
In fact, at this time, the small country is just honestly not taking sides. The consequences of small countries taking sides and charging ahead are very serious, and Ukraine is the consequence we see first!
The world is in a chaotic war, and it has been reflected in the past few days!
According to CCTV reports, Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on May 27 local time saying that due to violations of relevant laws, Iranian seized two Greek tankers in the waters of the Persian Gulf of on the same day.
Why does Iran seize Greek tankers? The reason is also very simple, because last month a tanker flying a Russian flag and loading Iranian crude oil was seized by Greece in Greek waters. The reason why the tanker flies the Russian flag is that it is an oil tanker operated by Russian companies, but the tanker is loaded with Iranian crude oil. The tanker was seized by Greek police on its way to Turkey last month. The ship carries 115,000 tons of Iranian crude oil, with a total value of nearly US$100 million.
Why did Greece detain Russian tankers equipped with Iranian crude oil? The explanation given by Greece is that the tanker violates the sanctions regulations of EU on Russia. However, things were somewhat strange, because Greece later announced that the ship belonged to it was doubtful and released it. However, it is strange that the tanker has been staying in Greek waters after being released and has been changed to flying the Iranian flag from May 1. Later, media reported that the US government announced on May 25 that it would impose sanctions on the "oil smuggling" network related to the " Quds Travel " under the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Greece announced on the same day that at the request of the US judicial department, Greece would hand over the cargo on the tanker to the United States.It turned out that the reason why the tanker did not leave was that Greece unloaded the oil from the tanker. The so-called release was also fake. No wonder Iran was furious and took action.
Regarding the Greek government's behavior, Iran said that the tanker had legal transportation procedures. Greece's behavior violated international law , and seizing cargo on the ship was a "typical piracy."
With this background, everyone understands that Iran intercepts Greek tankers and seizes crew members because Greece's "pirates" were the first. Iranian Ports and Maritime Organization said on the 28th that the crew members of the two Greek tankers who were detained were safe and healthy, and are still on board, and Iranian authorities have not arrested them. The crude oil loaded on the two Greek tankers seized by Iran this time comes from Iraqi and Qatar respectively. The Greek Foreign Ministry said that Iran dispatched a helicopter to land on the tanker and then controlled the crew, with Greek citizens among them. Both ships were sailing on the high seas at the time of the incident.
Why does Greece withheld Iranian oil operated by Russia? The answer is actually very simple, and it is instructed by the United States. In response, on May 27, Guangming News Agency, which belongs to Iran's Supreme National Security Council, made a clear warning to Greece that Iran would take "punitive actions" against Greece's move to assist the United States in detaining Iranian crude oil. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Sayed Khatibzad said on social media on the 28th: "Our relationship should not be hindered by extremely short-sighted misjudgment, including blocking the road and robbing according to orders of third parties."
In its actions against Iran, the Greek Foreign Ministry immediately issued a tough statement accusing Iran of "pirates" and demanding that Iran immediately release the seized ships and arrested crew members immediately. The Greek Foreign Ministry said these actions seriously damage the bilateral relations between Greece and Iran and the relations between Iran and the EU. The Greek Foreign Ministry demanded that Iran release the ships and their crews immediately.
Warning against Greece, and Iran issued a stronger warning. If the oil and tankers detained by Greece last month were not returned, the other 17 other Greek-flagged tankers in the Persian Gulf currently will be detained by Iran.
I don’t know what you feel when you read it, but Zhan Hao has a very clear signal, that is, the United States has restored its pirate nature, and its behavior has begun to return to the early piracy of the British Navy , and has infiltrated these behaviors into international politics and diplomacy in expiration. Of course, the British Navy was originally a pirate in the early days. For example, the United States instructed Canada to illegally detain Meng Wanzhou , the United States and allies seized more than $300 billion in foreign exchange assets in Russia, the U.S. government directly privately divided Afghanistan US$27 billion in deposits, the United States quietly continued to steal crude oil in the north of Syria , and Western countries such as Britain and Italy directly confiscated the property of Russian wealthy people... In short, you will find that the United States and allies are breaking all normal rules for their own selfishness, and find a crime to directly rob the legal property of other countries.
In this case, the global political and economic ecology, international rules, industrial chains and supply chains will be severely hit, which will greatly increase the number of distrust between countries and transactions will become more costly. transaction cost is higher, and the economy is worse. The US economy, which relies heavily on the global hegemony of the US dollar, will suffer a more serious blow and the deficit will be greater. Then he will be even more unruly. If such a vicious cycle continues, how can the era of global chaos not come?
The global chaos is definitely a blow to the Chinese economy, but it is a bigger blow to the global economy, because China still has a unified market of 1.4 billion people.Having written this, should you deeply understand the strategic value of our country to establish an internal unified market? China's advantages will definitely become more and more prominent in the global future, but China's risks are also there. On the one hand, it is the risks of the global supply chain. What if the United States and the West also rob China's tankers? And there is a huge amount of Chinese products? China must have a strong people's army to protect all this! On the other hand, the economic pressure brought by the global chaos in supply chain disorder will inevitably be reflected in each of us, so the days ahead will definitely be difficult, but not just us, but other countries will be even more difficult!
In this context, we must unite and support the country, tap into our internal potential, and demonstrate our advantages, so that we can gain greater advantages in the competition with Western developed countries! Let us not forget that the ultimate goal of the United States is us, and he has been thinking about how to mess up China and how to rob China when China does not take care of it!
Beware! Time is endless! In today's China, we must have guns to prevent jackals, and we must make jackals believe that we can kill them with guns to avoid getting close to us! Don’t follow some people to label others as so-called wolves or satirize those tough people. If our country does not have the spirit and temperament of war and does not make the enemy think that China is a wolves but a sheep, then these wolves will have come up to tear us apart, and will they still smear and encircle us here? The warmth of the humiliation of modern China for a hundred years is still there!
In the current world, you must fight or not, and only fight can you survive! The times are right in front of us, and we have no choice!
