Now the Russian-Ukrainian war has entered a stage of long-term, persistent and attributable war. Donbas The big siege is turning into a small siege of North Donetzk. And now, the small siege of North Donetzk is not so easy to achieve. I don’t know how many days it takes to cut off the 40-kilometer building area.
Donetsk Former Defense Minister, Russian Army Gruu Special Forces Former Colonel Strerkov is now working on social media every day, believing that even in the summer, he may not be able to attack the suburbs of North Donetsk.
Strerkov shouts mobilization every day, and a general mobilization must be carried out to resolve the war. The Russian-Ukraine War is different from the Syrian War, which has only 5,000 Russian troops participated in the war for a long time, and can be carried out for a long time. In the Russian-Ukrainian War, the Russian army, the Ukrainian eastern armed forces, the Chechen armed forces and the Wagner mercenaries combined had more than 200,000 people.
html More than 1.2 million troops have wartime wages and allowances, casualties subsidies and pensions, all the way to various tanks, armored vehicles, fighter jets, missiles, shells, radars, and other light and heavy equipment. The daily consumption is at least dozens of times that of the Syrian battlefield.
From the document of the 1st Guards Tank Army on March 15, we can know that when the war started for 2 and a half weeks, the 1st Guards Tank Army lost 308 tank armored vehicles including 131 tanks and . So far, the 12 Russian army has been fighting for 12 weeks, and it is easy to imagine how many tanks, armored vehicles the Russian army has lost.
However, in 2022, the Russian military industry can only provide 400 tanks. Recently, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that it will deliver more than 400 new Russian tanks and armored vehicles in 2022. This batch of new equipment is probably going to be put into the Ukrainian battlefield. Specifically, it includes T-72B3M, T-80BVM and T-90M, infantry fighting vehicle BMP-3, BMP-2M and BTR-82A armored personnel carriers equipped with Berezhok turret.
Russia can only replenish more than 400 tank armored vehicles in a year, which is enough for a Guards Tank 1st Army to lose 3 weeks. If it is a river crossing battle, in early May, the Russian army lost about 150-200 tank and armored vehicles in nine river crossing battles.
The United States is also under great pressure. Ukraine needs at least $10 billion in aid in a month. In order to counterattack, Ukraine needs to build a million troops. Even if it is armed with the minimum standards, it will cost tens of billions of dollars. If the war is fought until the end of the year, the United States will spend at least $100 billion.
1 aircraft carriers have 10 billion US dollars. In order to support Ukraine in fighting a war, the United States has to pay 10 aircraft carriers. At the end of the Russian-Ukraine War, the United States and Russia will inevitably be the rhythm of both defeat and being dragged down.
Russia's military Brexit plan to defeat Ukraine failed, and the United States' attempt to defeat Russia economically quickly also failed. In the end, both the United States and Russia have lost too much blood in Ukraine, so they must recover their blood quickly. Then, the opportunity for neutral country is coming.
The Russian army even mobilized the guards of the Arctic Circle nuclear submarine base to the Ukrainian battlefield, and the Russian army in Central Asia was almost dispatched. With the prolonged war between Russia and Ukraine, Russia's control over the Middle East and Central Asia will inevitably decline. The United States devotes most of its aid and energy to Ukraine.
Then, the United States' military aid investment in Southeast Asia in the Middle East will drop significantly. It will even seriously affect the development and production of new weapons and equipment by the US military. In this wave, the United States is preparing to provide US$40 billion in accordance with the lease bill . If there is no Ukrainian war, it would be 600 F-35 stealth fighter jets .
Russia, which is subject to Western sanctions, loses too much blood in the Ukraine war, and will also think. Isn’t it too far-fetched to rely solely on the energy and military industry? As a big country, we should also develop light industry, electronics industry, etc. at the same time. Therefore, if the Russian-Ukraine war suddenly causes both the United States and Russia to lose too much blood, it also means a lot of opportunities.
