2020 "General Election" counts down 20 days. A senior media person who has been supporting Korea has been Chen Huiwen . Last night, he also boldly predicted Han Kuo-yu on the radio program and Tsai Ing-wen won the votes on January 11 next year. The incisive and logical analysis triggered a heated discussion among the audience in the chat room!
Chen Huiwen hosted a radio program last night to predict the number of votes Han and Cai will receive next year, and humbly said that if it is not accurate, please forgive me; he believes that Zhu Lilun won 3.8 million votes in the 2016 "general election", and these votes will be voted for Han Kuo-yu in the 2020 "general election", because the Kuomintang was already so miserable in 2016, and these people are still unwilling to leave, which is simply "blue enough to produce juice".
, and Song Chuyu got nearly 370,000 votes in 2012 and more than 1.57 million votes in 2016. Chen Huiwen conservatively estimated that the 1.2 million votes that Song Chuyu had more than 1 million votes, and the 8% votes that did not vote (the turnout rate in 2012 was 74%, the turnout rate in 2016 was 66%, and the 1% was about 130,000 people). The total number of 2.2 million votes may not necessarily be voted for Han Kuo-yu.
So what is the final vote of Han Kuo-yu? Chen Huiwen believes that Zhu Lilun has 3.8 million votes on the floor, 1.2 million votes with Song Chuyu, and 1 million votes with a lower turnout rate. "I think Han Kuo-yu starts at least 5 million." He even pointed out the doubts about the poll. If Tsai Ing-wen really leads Han Kuo-yu by 30%, the number of votes is 4 million votes. "Zhu Lilun only lost 3.08 million votes, do you think it is possible? Do you think Han Kuo-yu loses 4 million votes?"
Tsai Ing-wen was elected with 6.89 million votes that year, but Chen Huiwen said that Tsai Ing-wen's votes will be revised down next year. Why? Because she didn't do it well. "You really ask yourself, have you been doing better in the past three years? If you have, you must vote for Tsai Ing-wen."
Tsai Ing-wen got 6.09 million votes for the first time and 6.89 million votes for the second time. Chen Huiwen believes that this election is a battle to defend Tsai Ing-wen with 6 million votes. Tsai Ing-wen's votes will be revised downward and Han Kuo-yu will rush upward. He said bluntly that Han Kuo-yu may win. The reason is very simple, that is, more or few people are deceived. "Tsai Ing-wen will be re-elected, and Han Kuo-yu will win if he is deceived." The decisive point is the middle voter.
Source: Zhongshi Electronic News
