Although Ukraine's major counterattack has made significant progress, despite the West repeatedly criticizing Russia. Fraud is one thing, but doing is another. After Putin issued a harsh warning, Biden and Western countries seemed to have begun to admit defeat, indicating that they were ready to abandon Ukraine.
It is undeniable that Ukraine's large counterattack changed the battlefield situation. Whether it is active or passive, after all, the Russian army has shown a retreat, and Ukraine is still carrying out a fierce counterattack. People have reason to suspect that the Russian army seems to be unable to fight.
However, although the United States and the West repeatedly praised the Ukrainian army's achievements in its major counterattack, they repeatedly criticized Russia. But what is the actual situation on the battlefield of Ukraine? They know it in their hearts.
Although the Russian army began to enter the retreat stage, Putin suddenly pushed the four parts of Wudong to enter Russia. If you really can't continue to fight, there is no reason to make such moves that further deteriorate the battlefield situation or escalate the war situation. It is one thing to support Donbass independence, but it is another thing to directly assign parts of eastern Ukraine to Russia. This is equivalent to completely changing the nature of special military operations. This turned the Russian-Ukrainian conflict into the Russian-Ukrainian war. Obviously Putin did not want to fight quickly, nor did he want to withdraw, but began to prepare for a big and bad war.
recruits 300,000 reserve soldiers to the battlefield, which is equivalent to double the Russian army. This directly shows that Putin is going to take greater military action. This is a sign of a death move.
Before taking major military actions, Putin also issued the toughest warning to the United States NATO , that is, to take "all means" to defend Russia. What is this "all means"? That's self-evident.
Next, not only will Ukraine escalate on the battlefield, but the risk of war spillover and even nuclear war is also rapidly escalating. Although it cannot be said that it is a burning deed, it also shows that Putin will do everything, which is equivalent to an external declaration that victory will always belong to Russia.
The first person to react to this is not the politician, but Musk, the world's largest rich man, Tesla Group.
He immediately put forward four suggestions to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. In fact, it is to let Ukraine "cede land for peace". This guy's transformation is very interesting.
Previously, Musk publicly admitted that his Starlink plan directly provided battlefield information and intelligence to the Ukrainian army. The Russian army also suffered a considerable loss. Russia once threatened to eliminate starlink , and Musk also publicly stated that he was not afraid of the threat of Russian nuclear bomb , and also said that the speed of Russia's explosion of Starlink is not as good as the speed of his launch of satellite .
Now, after Putin issued the strongest warning, he no longer took the right approach, but suddenly spoke for Russia. It is naturally unacceptable to let Ukraine cede land for peace and seek peace, and it will inevitably lead to Ukraine's dissatisfaction.
. Faced with the dissatisfaction of the Ukrainians in , Musk's response was: "I am a loyal fan of Ukraine, but not a fan of World War III."
His meaning is very clear, that is, if you continue to fight, you will be at risk of World War . This is a situation that businessmen are unwilling to face. This means that Musk may no longer use his starlink satellite to provide accurate and timely battlefield information to Ukraine. He was not completely afraid of the world war, but was afraid that Russia would really take action against his star links, which would be more than worth the loss. This is the bottom line of the United States.
Musk is not a politician, so he naturally won’t play with it. He must have realized the seriousness of the problem, and his reaction should be the most real.
In addition to his direct reaction, German Chancellor Polz's reaction was also direct and fast. He immediately stopped the aid weapons to Ukraine. The reason is too dangerous.
After this statement by Caplz, the statement of former German Prime Minister Merkel . Aunt Mom, who has been silent, pointed out at the commemoration ceremony of the 77th anniversary of the founding of the German " São Deutsche " in Munich, that the Ukrainian crisis was a "turning point" and warned that "we are all strongly recommended to take these words seriously, rather than treating them as bluffs from the beginning."Merkel also said that only with the participation of Russia can lasting peace in Europe be achieved, "as long as we have not really done this, the Cold War will not really end."
Merkel stressed that only with the participation of Russia can there be lasting peace in Europe, which is consistent with the statement of the French president at that time. If she hadn't been able to stand it, she wouldn't have made such a clear statement.
Although the United States has been hyping "nuclear war remarks" in recent days, slandering Putin's warnings, and even warning of making a tough response to Russia, Biden seems to suddenly wake up from the Alzheimer's state.
Biden pointed out on Thursday (October 6) that Russian President Putin mentioned that using nuclear weapons is "not a joke" and warned the world that is facing the largest nuclear threat since Cuban missile crisis .
Biden said he is trying to find a "downgrade" for Putin and let him "authorize and unharmed" out of the Ukrainian crisis. "What are we imagining Putin's way out? Where is his steps? Where can he find a way out? How can he think he is not embarrassed and not lose important power?"
At the same time, Biden also revealed that he could not rule out the possibility of meeting with Putin at the Bali summit next month.
First of all, Biden has confirmed that what Putin said this time is true, and "not a joke." This is to realize the seriousness of the problem. The next step is the US response, which is no longer head-on, but to find a way for Putin.
In fact, it is not so much to find a way for Putin, but Biden wants to take the opportunity to find a way for himself. Biden’s so-called ‘let him “indestructively” out of the Ukrainian crisis’ is actually an hinting that he no longer seeks to “weak” Russia. In other words, Biden dares not continue to stimulate Putin.
Although this is a conflict between Russia and Ukraine, it is obviously a proxy or a hybrid war between the United States and Russia, at least Putin defines it like this. It is also the strong military aid support from the United States that directly undermined the previous negotiation process between Russia and Ukraine.
As the United States increases its support, it is equivalent to an increase in the depth of intervention. In Russia's view, the United States has actually completely intervened on the battlefield. Whether Putin's warning or threat is actually targeting US President Biden.
suddenly announced that the four eastern parts of Ukraine were incorporated into the Russian Federation, and the special military operation against Ukraine became a war to safeguard Russia's territorial sovereignty, and the nature changed. This shows that Putin has begun to prepare for a protracted war.
No matter what the situation on the battlefield in Ukraine is, the risk of war spillover is increasing significantly. For Americans, they have always like to play the game of the Edge of War. To fight Afghanistan A small country like Iraq Libya can take the initiative and go to war with Russia, the world's second military power. Americans definitely don't have the courage to do so. You should know that Russia has even surpassed the United States in terms of strategic strike capabilities.
Even if Russia has no intention of going directly with the United States, Putin has mobilized 300,000 reserves to the battlefield. This is equivalent to more than double the troops on the Ukrainian battlefield.
The Ukrainian army that was counterattacking had already attacked the Russian army, and the Ukrainian army's weapons and ammunition were rapidly consumed. The logistics supply line and arsenal were also severely hit. After Putin re-deploys, it will be almost winter. The Ukrainian army, which faced the Russian army, lost its barrier. Once the Russian army begins to launch a large-scale attack, the hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian troops may not even have a chance to flee.
Importantly, European countries no longer actively provide military aid to Ukraine. The United States can only "add a trick" to it. As long as the United States does not directly participate in the war, no matter how many weapons and equipment is provided, it will not change the situation on the battlefield of Ukraine.
In recent times, Russia has not taken advantage of its air superiority. On the one hand, we do not want to cause large-scale damage, and on the other hand, we try our best to avoid damage to the Air Force. If a major battle is fought in the next stage, the Russian Air Force should become the main force. The bombing of fighter jets should exert great power. This battle cannot be fought.
Zelensky is currently fighting back. On the one hand, they are ignorant of the depth of the situation; on the other hand, they are afraid that the United States and the West will lose confidence in the Ukrainian army.That is, they are afraid that the United States and the West will abandon themselves. Or in other words, I also want to create an illusion for the United States and the West that I can defeat Russia.
Once the Russian army severely damages these hundreds of thousands of troops, Ukraine will actually achieve "demilitarization", and there is only one way to surrender. Under such circumstances, no matter how Biden firmly supports Ukraine in fighting a protracted war, it will lose its meaning. A war that is doomed to be unable to win, although it is a proxy war, has lost its meaning to the United States. The focus of the
problem is that Europe has begun to weaken its military support for Ukraine. The explosion of the Nord Stream pipeline, no matter who did it, completely interrupted Europe's last hope of resolving the energy crisis .
In the case of an energy crisis and inflation crisis in Europe, what is needed is to increase energy production capacity. But OPEC and other oil-producing countries suddenly made the decision to cut production. Although this is for one's own benefit, it also indirectly plays a role in supporting Russia. What’s important is that this means that the United States has lost control of , the Middle East, . This shows that the oil dollar is completely decoupling. This has a huge impact on the world situation. The blow to American hegemony is even more huge.
Europeans probably don’t have the courage to support Ukraine in fighting a protracted war. We will inevitably reflect on the issue of Russia's relations. Otherwise, on the basis of the energy crisis intensifies the economic recession crisis, the political unrest in Europe and the division of EU will also intensify. The EU has really no rescue at all.
Although some senior American officials advocated that spending money to hire Ukrainians to go to war with Russia, if the policy direction of the conflict with Russia and Ukraine is not adjusted. On the one hand, the United States may put itself into the war. On the other hand, the conflict between the United States and Europe on the Russian-Ukraine conflict will intensify.
European powers have long since not wanted to fight a protracted war, and have long been pushing for an end to the conflict as soon as possible. If Biden continues to strongly incite a protracted war, he may even want to bring Europe into the war. It is not a situation that the United States and Europe will turn against each other and become enemies.
Therefore, Biden is best to take the lead in seeking change at the moment. But Biden doesn't know how to find a way for Putin, and he doesn't know how to find a way for himself. This requires communication with Putin.
sends some signal to Putin in the name of finding a step, and may also expect Putin to slow down the pace of his next action and play a slowing role.
However, at the critical moment when Sino-US relations deteriorated, Putin suddenly made efforts to "annex" the eastern Ukrainian region, which showed that he did not want Biden to shift his strategic focus. He must defeat Biden completely.
If the Russian-Ukraine conflict does not come into force, Europe will not be determined to establish a new balanced relationship with Russia. If it is just to calm down the situation or to temporarily relieve the pressure, the United States will use Ukraine to harass Russia in the future. Therefore, Putin used China's hindering role to force Biden to compromise and force Europe to change its strategy to Russia. The only way to sacrifice Ukraine.
Therefore, it is not a question of Biden finding a step for Putin at the moment, but a question of how to find a step for himself. How to make Zelensky surrender decently is what Biden needs to consider the most.
(Source: Kunlun Ce.com [Authorization] , converted from "Dynamic Reference", revised and published)
