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2020-11-03 09:17
In the past week, Europe has accounted for half of the world's new confirmed cases, and the cumulative number of cases has exceeded 10 million. After France and Germany, the United Kingdom, , Austria, and other places have joined the team of "lockdown" for the second time.
According to Reuters statistics, it took about 9 months for the first time since the outbreak of the new crown epidemic in Europe to reach 5 million, and then it took only one month to break through the second 5 million mark. According to the latest official statistics, the average number of new coronavirus cases in Europe exceeds 175,000 per day. Among them, the UK has the highest number of new crown deaths in Europe, with the cumulative number of confirmed cases of new crowns exceeding 1 million. Last Saturday, Johnson announced that England would enter a one-month "lockdown" mode from the 5th. A day later, British Cabinet Office Secretary Goff added that if the COVID-19 infection rate cannot be reduced during this period, the "lockdown" period may be extended.
In Germany, which has implemented a "lockdown", as of the early morning of this day local time, the number of new confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia exceeded 12,000 in a single day. Because medical and auxiliary personnel themselves are also ill or quarantined, there is a sharp shortage of staff in local hospitals. Although the German government said it would double the number of existing 500,000 beds, local doctors are worried that this will not keep up with the surge in the coming weeks.
In addition to Britain, France and Germany, Austria, Belgium and Ireland have also resumed epidemic control measures implemented in the spring, including closing bars and restaurants and restricting people's social movements. Italian media reported that the new Prime Minister's Office decree to be issued on November 8 does not rule out the possibility of a complete lockdown.
What are the reasons why Europe has become the epicenter of the epidemic in recent weeks? Is it too late for Europe to lock down the city for the second time now? Why did Germany see a sharp increase in new cases after the lockdown? For Europeans who have been tired of fighting the epidemic, what obstacles will the new epidemic prevention measures encounter in the implementation of the new epidemic prevention measures? Will the repeated surges of cases make European countries that were already disunity more differentiated? How to judge the development of the winter epidemic in Europe?
related issues, Lu Hongzhou, an expert of the National Medical Treatment Expert Group of COVID-19 and a professor at the Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, and Cui Hongjian, director of the European Institute of China Institute of International Studies, expressed his views.
With the second counterattack of the epidemic, the European economy has also begun to sound the alarm.
The latest data released by the Financial Times shows that euro zone GDP may shrink by 2.3% in the fourth quarter of this year. Data released by the German European Economic Research Institute shows that in September this year, the German economic prosperity index reached the highest level in nearly 20 years, but this data plummeted to 56.1 points after entering October. The French National Bureau of Statistics recently lowered France's fourth-quarter economic growth forecast from 1% to 0. French Economic and Finance Minister Le Maire said last week that France's GDP is also expected to shrink by 11% this year due to the second round of lockdown. Under the severe situation, European Central Bank President Christina Lagarde is also worried about the European economic outlook. She said that the recovery of the eurozone economy has also "lost motivation" due to the resurgence of the epidemic in Europe and the strengthening of containment measures.
Data released on October 30 showed that the eurozone's GDP grew by 12.7% month-on-month in the third quarter, far exceeding market expectations. To what extent will the sharp rebound in the epidemic in Europe drag down the pace of European economic recovery? There is probably another time bomb that drags down the European economy, that is, after the private call with the EU President failed to make a decisive breakthrough, Johnson threatened to enter a decisive transition. Does this mean that the possibility of a no-deal Brexit has increased significantly, and what does it mean for the European economy? Cui Hongjian, director of the European Institute of the China Institute of International Studies, expressed his views on these issues in an interview.
