European Report:
pork has been talked about N times in 2020. Of course, many consumers will start to be the spirit of Ah Q: "Isn't it just that pork is expensive? Then I won't eat it, it's a big deal."
But behind the surge in pork prices, there are more deep problems, which are related to people's livelihood, economy and capital. With one move, the pork price may become the butterfly that flapped its wings and caused a tornado.
Pork has entered the "50 yuan era". Since the beginning of summer, prices have also risen steadily. No matter how many batches or tons of reserve meat are invested, or how much imported meat is purchased from countries around the world, the price of pork in the domestic market cannot be reduced.
According to the current data from the 500 counties in the country, the average price of pork in May was 45.98 yuan/kg. After five consecutive weeks of increase, it has risen to 55.50 yuan/kg in July. Among them, the price of live pigs rose the most significantly, with an increase of 10 yuan per kilogram. In the terminal retail market, the pork that consumers buy is naturally much more expensive. Among them, the price of pork in Shandong broke through the 55 yuan mark at the end of July, reaching 57.22 yuan/kg.
(the "historical pork price" that may be difficult to reproduce)
The value of the "second senior brother" is higher than that of the master, and my country's CPI (consumer price index) has also increased as a result. The latest data on August 10 showed that my country's CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year in July. Pork accounts for a large proportion of my country's CPI. Simply put, the greater the increase in pork, the higher the CPI will also rise. Pork rose faster at the end of July, and egg prices also rose by 20%. Typhoons are coming soon, and rain will affect the prices of fruits and vegetables. It can be expected that the CPI in August will only be higher, and it is possible to break through 3%.
(Pork price is on the hot search again)
Under the post-epidemic era, the economy restarted in the second half of 2020, resuming work and production, and the catering industry and even cinemas have reopened one after another. One of the important reasons is the implementation of the tax and burden reduction policy. In order to support enterprises in epidemic prevention and control this year, a total of 150.45 billion yuan of tax cuts have been reduced. In addition, the central bank's monetary easing policy has promoted the financial industry to make concessions to the real industry, and tried every means to restore the economy to order.
However, the CPI data remained high, causing negative interest rates to begin to rise. The price of pork seems to be a problem of how many yuan a pound per pound, but if the CPI continues to rise, negative interest rates will continue to intensify. Should we face the need to adopt a generous policy to stimulate the economy or tighten policies to curb inflation?
In addition to such an "upper-level" impact, the underlying people's livelihood problems are more obvious. In July, the year-on-year prices including pork, fresh vegetables, aquatic products, eggs, fresh fruits, etc. were all rising. This is not only the star-studded people who buy groceries will be affected, but also the breeding industry, catering industry, retail industry, supermarket and transportation industry will all affect the whole body.
This year, the people's money bags have not only not bulged, but have also become deflated due to prices, unemployment and salary cuts. This is not a problem that can be solved by eating one less pork. Now it’s really “pig prices and housing prices are not conducive to young people’s struggle”!
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