Zhu Lilun visited the United States and wrote an article at the beginning of the news disclosure "Why do you need to visit the United States without independent intentions?" The article believes that whether Taiwan's prospective candidate who intends to compete for the "general election" is up to whether he is in a hurry to visit the United States. Therefore, Zhu Lilun's political proposition is no different from Tsai Ing-wen. Under the years of construction by the Democratic Progressive Party, advocating "Taiwan independence" has become the "political correctness" on the island. For the sake of party interests (to obtain ruling status ), Zhu Lilun gradually gave up his position for his own interests (to be the "president".
The difference is that Ma Ying-jeou also used a "1992 Consensus " to cover up the storefront, and the mainland still had fantasies about him. In the past, Zhu Lilun did not dare to publicly deny the "1992 Consensus". This time, Zhu Lilun was completely unconcealed by his "courageous" situation.
Zhu Lilun is still in Taiwan, so he flattered him and slapped him on the other side of the Pacific Ocean. When we arrive in the United States, we are even more unscrupulous. It is reported that the Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun, who is visiting the United States, made a big fuss about cross-strait relations issues in his speech. Among them, there are two more eye-catching ones: First, he said that the "1992 Consensus" is "a consensus without consensus." Second, he said that the United States should pay more attention to Taiwan. If it sits on the verge of cross-strait reunification, it will endanger the security and interests of the United States.
Is this different from Tsai Ing-wen? No. Not only that, Zhu Lilun is competing with Tsai Ing-wen to see who is more loyal to the American master.
Why did Zhu Lilun have such a huge change compared to when he was first elected as chairman of the Kuomintang? In addition to the fact that "Taiwan independence" has been manipulated by the DPP to become the "political correctness" of Taiwanese society and Zhu Lilun attaches more importance to personal and party personal interests, the situation in Russia and Ukraine prompted him to make a major political decision - tore off the disguise.
So, what judgment does Zhu Lilun have on the situation in Russia and Ukraine?
first, the United States is still strong
In Zhu Lilun's view, the United States has shown great dominance in the conflict with Russia and Ukraine, and Russia, which seems to be powerful, is simply no match. Biden wants Putin to beat, Putin will beat. Although I was so embarrassed before the war, I finally couldn't hold it in and took action. During the fight, Biden skillfully regulated Zelensky's emotions like a tuner, thus indirectly manipulating Putin's offensive rhythm. In Zhu Lilun's view, mainland China is nothing more than that. Once there is war in the Taiwan Strait, the United States will also play China like Russia. Zhu Lilun is more secure in his favor to the United States. It’s still necessary to hurry up, and this shop may not be available after passing this village. At this point, Zelensky is a mind.
Second, the United States has a strong international mobilization capacity
During the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the United States mobilized about 50 countries, including major developed countries carrying out all-round economic, cultural and geopolitical encirclements against Russia. If something happens, the alliance of these 50 countries will inevitably support the Taiwan authorities. At that time, mainland China will be alone, and the Taiwan authorities will be large and powerful. What a wonderful prospect! If he doesn't catch up with this wave of momentum, not only Zhu Lilun, but also the Kuomintang will be finished.
In fact, there are many people who hold Zhu Lilun’s view on the US-Russia game that is manifested in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Russia has not performed well in military operations, which is much lower than people's expectations. Finland and Sweden actively join NATO . Although there is secret manipulation from the United States, there are also judgments on the situation between the two countries. If Russia's so-called second-stage military operation cannot eliminate the vital forces of the Ukrainian army, the more unfavorable the situation in this world will be to Russia and China.
Of course, Russia will not lose without underwear. I estimate that it is possible for Russia to gain a foothold in eastern Ukraine many times. But if you want to achieve greater victory, it depends on whether there will be a miracle.
Zhu Lilun's change in attitude sounded a wake-up call for China. China must have both determination and action in the face of the complex situation brought about by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
has a reality to face. From a material perspective, China's strength has been greatly enhanced, and even if it is directly confronted with the United States, it has a chance of winning.However, from a spiritual perspective, the Chinese people's ability to withstand major events and their ability to resist risks is not as good as during the resistance to U.S. aggression and aid Korea, and this must be taken seriously. Faced with the aggressiveness of the United States, the surrender factions within China may not be less than those in the War of Resistance Against Japan. I wonder how many "Zhu Lilun" are in our circle of friends. Through the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, they are even more afraid of the United States. They believe that it is better to follow the United States, the "boss", to have a good time and drink, and there is no need to confront the United States. For Zhu Lilun, the country is just a false concept, and interests are real.
China-US relations have become a confrontation under the unilateral manipulation of the United States. Although China has repeatedly stated that win-win cooperation is the main theme of Sino-US relations, the US government just doesn’t believe it and wants to confront it. Since there is this major premise, Zhu Lilun’s approach is the approach of a traitor.
In view of this, China must adjust the policy to Taiwan . Improve the intensity of "hard reunification" without giving up the hope of "peaceful reunification". I have repeatedly explained that the root of " Taiwan issue " is the "American issue", the "American issue" is the issue of "the United States wants to kill China", and Taiwan is the sharp blade for the United States to kill China. As long as the US problem is solved, this sharp blade will turn into scrap iron.
Of course, China should focus on both strategies for the United States, and should not give up its efforts to live in peace and be prepared to fight at will. The more you are prepared, the greater the hope for peace.
Zhu Lilun’s greatest “credit” is to remind mainland China that the Kuomintang, like the Democratic Progressive Party, opposes China’s unification. The difference is that the Kuomintang still has room for speculation, and the DPP has pushed itself into a dead end. However, Zhu Lilun's move also led himself and the Kuomintang to a dead end. Their endings may be the same: being nailed to the pillar of shame in history.
Note: The author of this article is Mou Lin, a core member of the "Qin'an Strategic Think Tank", and is the original work of on this platform . In the new year, I wish everyone join hands, overcome the epidemic, curb hegemony, and move towards a better future together.
