On March 14, A shares plunged again, Hong Kong stock Hang Seng Index fell by more than 1,000 points. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 2.61%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 3.08%, and the ChiNext Index fell 3.56%; Hong Kong stocks Hang Seng Index closed down nearly 5%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 11%.
Regarding this plunge, in the scale community, many creators and stock friends had a fierce discussion. In the Shanghai Composite Index shareholder group, everyone brainstormed and summarized the 10 negative factors that affect the market decline at present. Let’s take a look!
1, Fed rate hike expectation
Earlier this month, Fed rate hike Chairman Powell said that it is expected that hike rate hike in March will be appropriate, and the impact of the situation in Russia and Ukraine on the US economy is "highly uncertain". The labor market is very tight, and inflation is far higher than the target. Powell also said that the Fed's balance sheet will begin to shrink after the first rate hike, and the withdrawal of the easing policy involves interest rates and balance sheets.
In addition to the Federal Reserve, there are also many heavyweight central banks this week. will also hold monetary policy meetings this week, including the UK, Japan and the highly-watched Russian central bank.
2. The situation in Russia and Ukraine is turbulent
Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov said on the evening of the 13th local time that the fourth round of talks between Russia and Ukraine will be held via video on the 14th. No substantial progress has been made in the previous three rounds of talks, which has cast a shadow on the global economic market.
3, the epidemic is repeated
0-24:00 on March 13, 31 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 1,337 new local confirmed cases and 788 local asymptomatic cases.
As of 24:00 on March 13, according to reports from 31 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities directly under the central government) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, there are 8,531 confirmed cases, 103,735 cured and discharged cases, 4,636 deaths, 116,902 confirmed cases, and 5 suspected cases. A total of 1813,869 close contacts have been traced, and 161,403 close contacts are still under medical observation.
4. The decline in Hong Kong stocks dragged down
Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell 4.97%, falling below the 20,000 point mark for the first time since 2016. It has fallen by more than 20% in the past month. The Hang Seng Technology Index fell 11% today. As Hong Kong stocks fell continuously, A-shares were also affected by panic.
5, Chinese stocks listed in the United States plummeted and affected sentiment
Last Friday, five Chinese stocks listed in the "pre-delisted list" were included in the SEC and continued to ferment. Chinese stocks listed in the United States fell again, Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 10.18%, continuing to swipe the subprime mortgage crisis the largest single-day drop.
Hang Seng Technology Index fell 7.58% today, Wanguo Data fell more than 26%, Xiaopeng Motor and Ideal Auto fell more than 16%, Baidu Group fell 15%, Bilibili fell nearly 16%, JD.com fell more than 12%, Meituan fell more than 11%, Alibaba fell nearly 8%, and Tencent fell 4.5%.
6, peripheral influence reappears
3html March 12th evening. According to the [ Foreign Company Accountability Act ], the United States has listed five Chinese companies listed in the United States as a list of delisting risks. This news has a great impact on the A-share software sector and the technology sector.
7, foreign capital outflow
last week, with a net outflow of northbound funds for five consecutive days, with a cumulative net outflow of 36.32 billion yuan in one week, the highest in the past two years. The net outflow on Monday and Tuesday exceeded 8 billion yuan, and expanded to 10.934 billion yuan on Wednesday, and the net outflow was only reduced by Thursday and Friday. On March 14, northbound funds were net outflowed again for more than 11 billion yuan
8, and the overall fell
valuation sector, led by semiconductor chip and power equipment, especially the high-valuation sector led by lithium battery. These two sectors have been deeply retraceed since 2022 and have fallen again today. The semiconductor and original sectors fell nearly 19% this year, and the power equipment sector fell nearly 17% this year.
9, market trend and trading volume decline
Since mid-December, the Shanghai Composite Index has been in a volatile downward trend. As of today's closing down by more than 12%, with the largest decline of more than 15%.Compared with the normal daily trillion-dollar transactions last year, the trading volume of the two markets has shrunk significantly since this year. Today, the trading volume of the two markets is only 969.8 billion.
10, quantitative investment shrinks
With the continued decline in the index and the shrinking trading volume, the life of quantitative funds is not easy.
Recently, a WeChat chat record of the person in charge of the quantitative market of the Illusion Square "all recommended redemption, market and strategic views are recommended for redemption" circulated in the social circle. The above chat record shows that the person in charge of Huanfang Quantitative mentioned that the market fluctuations in 2022 may be greater, and the money-making effect may not be better than in the past three years. Ordinary investors who are not suitable for this fluctuation do not recommend keeping their products.
In the Shanghai Composite Index shareholder group of the Scale APP, the "Running Snail" said: "Every time the stock market falls to the bottom, there will be various negative news, but it is often to deceive retail investors to hand over cheap chips. Therefore, you should firmly believe that under the conditions of risk control safety, good stocks must be held or even replenished. The time for to buy the bottom is up!"
also investors believe that the current market is fragile, the external environment has not changed fundamentally, and the market is difficult to say reversal. In a weak market, you should be more cautious. In terms of operation, light or short positions should be used, and you should not be blindly optimistic!
What do you think about the continued decline of the stock market in recent times? Welcome to leave a message in the comment area for discussion.
